|
Feb 17
|
|
$63.00
$63.06
+0.1%
|
SHORT
|
Narrator
Financial Reporter
|
"We've seen video game stocks get hit after a new Google Gemini launched." Generative AI reduces the barrier to entry for game creation (coding, art assets) to near zero. If consumers can generate their own experiences or if small teams can build AAA-quality games using AI, the valuation premium for large gaming studios and engine providers (Unity/Roblox) collapses due to hyper-competition and margin compression. SHORT. The market views GenAI as deflationary for gaming IP value. These companies may integrate AI tools to lower their own production costs, boosting margins. |
Bloomberg Markets
Are AI Fears Triggering a Stock Market Doom L...
|
|
Feb 17
|
|
$63.00
$63.06
+0.1%
|
N/A
|
Finnhub News
|
— |
Finnhub - RBLX
Alger Mid Cap Growth Fund Q4 2025 Portfolio U...
|
|
Feb 10
|
|
$71.94
$63.06
-12.3%
|
SHORT
|
Deirdre Bosa
Anchor/Reporter, CNBC Tech Check
|
Deirdre notes that when Google released "Project Genie" (AI world generation), "You had Unity, Roblox, Take-Two all falling... The entire US software sector is in freefall." The market views generative AI as a displacement threat rather than an enhancement for US gaming and software incumbents. If AI can generate interactive worlds from a prompt, the value proposition of coding engines (Unity) or existing gaming ecosystems (Roblox) is perceived to be at risk of obsolescence. SHORT. Sentiment is currently punishing US software incumbents as "killable" rather than beneficiaries. AI tools could eventually prove to be margin-accretive for these companies if they successfully integrate them, reversing the narrative. |
CNBC
U.S. vs. China AI spending gap widens
|
|
Feb 10
|
|
$71.94
$63.06
-12.3%
|
LONG
|
KreekCraft
Top Roblox YouTuber & Streamer
|
Kreek states that Roblox currently has more players now than during the pandemic, specifically citing a massive influx of Gen Alpha users via viral games like "Grow a Garden" (23M plays in days). The market sentiment (represented by Kreek noting "red arrows" on the stock) reflects management's clumsy pivot to "Metaverse/AI" tech. However, the core fundamental asset—user attention and engagement—is at an all-time high. The platform's "moat" is so strong that it is growing despite management's disconnect. LONG. The discrepancy between stock performance and record-breaking user engagement creates a value opportunity. The ecosystem is sticky because developers have zero marginal costs (Roblox pays for servers). Management continues to force unpopular features (realistic avatars/AI) that alienate the core user base, or Fortnite's UGC maps successfully capture market share. |
Thread Guy
Inside Roblox’s Billion-Dollar Dev Economy (f...
|
|
Feb 03
|
|
$65.40
$63.06
-3.6%
|
SHORT
|
Thread Guy
Crypto Commentator / Streamer
|
The speaker reviewed these charts individually and described them as "disgusting," "terrible," "scary," or "rolling over." He specifically notes Robinhood (HOOD) is down 43% since October highs and looks "fried." The macro backdrop is one of capital exhaustion ("no money left to buy assets") and institutional fear (Epstein files). If the SPY rolls over as the speaker fears, these high-beta, over-owned tech and consumer names have no support and are technically broken. Short / Avoid. These are the victims of the capital rotation into commodities. Federal intervention (Trump administration) forcing markets up to preserve optics. |
Thread Guy
Trump RUINED Crypto..? + Market Updates & New...
|
|
Jan 29
|
|
$75.73
$63.06
-16.7%
|
LONG
|
—
|
"2025 Q2 is 111 million daily active users... Roblox acts as the Fed of the Metaverse... Roblox takes a tax on transaction fees... The developer receives $16 [on a $100 purchase]." Roblox has achieved sovereign economic status. They have successfully externalized the cost of content creation (UGC) while retaining ~84% of the revenue through "exchange rate" arbitrage (selling Robux high, buying them back from devs low). With AI ("vibe coding") lowering the barrier to entry, the volume of content—and thus the probability of viral, revenue-generating hits—will explode, all while Roblox incurs zero production risk. LONG. The unit economics are predatory but exceptionally bullish for shareholders. Regulatory scrutiny over child labor/exploitation or changes to the "take rate" due to developer revolt. |
Thread Guy
I Exposed The $50B Industry Behind Roblox..
|