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Trade Ideas (6)
Date Ticker Price Dir Speaker Thesis Source
Feb 13 LONG Scott Bessent
Treasury Secretary
Bessent acknowledges the current sell-off (noting a historical 58% average drawdown) but reiterates the goal to make the US the "digital asset capital of the world" and pushes for the "Clarity bill." The Treasury Secretary is framing the current volatility as a standard cycle feature ("self-induced") rather than a structural failure. His push for legislation (Clarity bill) indicates a regulatory floor is being built, which is historically bullish for institutional adoption. LONG Bitcoin and Crypto Infrastructure on volatility. Failure of the Clarity bill to pass or continued "bad actor" behavior in the space. CNBC
Squawk Pod: AT&T CEO John Stankey & Treasury ...
Feb 12 LONG Industry Experts
Varies, often "Analyst, Research Firm
Hong Kong is actively competing with the UAE (Dubai/Abu Dhabi) to be the global crypto hub, with HK officials promising "no surprises" and stability. Jurisdictional competition is bullish for the asset class. As major financial centers fight to offer the best regulatory clarity to attract capital, the "regulatory risk" discount applied to crypto diminishes, encouraging institutional entry. LONG the broader Digital Asset sector as regulatory frameworks harden and compete for business. Geopolitical tensions between China/HK and the West affecting capital flows. CoinDesk
BlackRock: 1% of Asian Wealth Could Trigger $...
Feb 11 LONG Vlad Tenev
CEO, Robinhood
"We announced the test net of Robinhood chain, which we intend to be the world's number one chain for trading real world assets... we see a world where crypto and TradFi increasingly convergent." Robinhood is not just acting as an exchange but building the *layer* (L1/L2) for asset tokenization. If they succeed in becoming the settlement layer for tokenized stocks or treasuries, they capture infrastructure fees, not just transaction fees. LONG. Bullish on the RWA narrative and infrastructure plays facilitating TradFi/Crypto convergence. Regulatory rejection of tokenized securities; failure of the Robinhood Chain to gain developer traction. Bloomberg Markets
Robinhood CEO Still 'Tremendously' Bullish on...
Feb 10 LONG Changpeng Zhao
Founder & Former CEO, Binance
CZ states the Biden administration "declared war on crypto" and was "hostile," but the new incoming administration represents a "180-degree change." He notes that for the US to be the crypto capital, it cannot exclude the largest players. The regulatory headwinds that suppressed crypto valuations and stifled US-based innovation are turning into tailwinds. A friendly DOJ/SEC environment reduces legal risk premiums for major assets and US-domiciled exchanges. LONG. The removal of existential regulatory threat is a massive repricing event for the entire sector. The new administration fails to pass concrete legislative frameworks; regulatory clarity takes longer than anticipated. All-In Podcast
Binance CEO: 4 Months in Prison, $4 Billion F...
Feb 09 WATCH Will Rhind
Founder and CEO, GraniteShares
Rhind characterizes the current market slide as a "healthy correction" caused by external factors rather than a loss of faith in the asset class. The sell-off is a mechanical "deleveraging" event. As investors lost money on the previously high-flying AI trade, they were forced to sell liquid assets like Crypto and Gold to cover margins. This suggests the price drop is technical (liquidity-driven) rather than fundamental. Rhind points to simultaneous "big liquidations" in unrelated assets like Gold and Precious Metals as proof of systemic deleveraging. Continued volatility if the "risk-off" mentality persists or if underlying investors lose faith during the downturn. CNBC
How crypto's 2026 slide is dragging ETFs, acc...
Feb 04 LONG Cosmo Jiang
Portfolio Manager at Pantera Capital / Director at HSDT
"If there's a debt [DAT] trading at 0.5, you can get it back to 0.7 that's a 40% gain... shareholders are going to look out for what's best for shareholders." Digital Asset Trusts (like Grayscale products or similar closed-end funds) are trading at deep discounts to the crypto they hold. Two catalysts will close this gap: 1) Activist investors forcing liquidations/buybacks, and 2) M&A where strong DATs buy weak ones to acquire assets cheaply. LONG. Buying $1 of assets for $0.50 offers a safety margin even if crypto prices remain flat. Management teams refusing to capitulate; prolonged "crypto winter" widening discounts further. Unchained (Chopping Block)
Crypto Markets Are Down Bad. Are DATs to Blam...