| Ticker | Direction | Speaker | Thesis | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LONG |
Changpeng Zhao
Founder & Former CEO, Binance |
CZ states the Biden administration "declared war on crypto" and was "hostile," but the new incoming administration represents a "180-degree change." He notes that for the US to be the crypto capital, it cannot exclude the largest players. The regulatory headwinds that suppressed crypto valuations and stifled US-based innovation are turning into tailwinds. A friendly DOJ/SEC environment reduces legal risk premiums for major assets and US-domiciled exchanges. LONG. The removal of existential regulatory threat is a massive repricing event for the entire sector. The new administration fails to pass concrete legislative frameworks; regulatory clarity takes longer than anticipated. | — | |
| LONG |
Changpeng Zhao
Founder & Former CEO, Binance |
CZ argues that in the near future, millions of AI agents will transact on behalf of humans. He explicitly states, "Agents cannot use banks... banks won't onboard and AML/KYC an agent." Traditional finance (TradFi) relies on identity (KYC). AI agents are software. Therefore, AI agents *must* use permissionless, programmable money (Crypto) to function. This creates a massive, non-human source of transaction volume and demand for high-throughput blockchains and stablecoins. LONG. This is a structural demand shock. Assets that facilitate high-frequency, low-cost machine-to-machine payments will capture this value. AI development slows down; agents use closed-loop internal credits instead of public blockchains. | — | |
| WATCH |
Changpeng Zhao
Founder & Former CEO, Binance |
Chamath states he is not a Bitcoin maximalist because it lacks fungibility and privacy. CZ agrees, noting that "Bitcoin and most cryptocurrencies do not have enough privacy features" and that "no one is really focusing on [privacy] right now" among the big caps. As crypto adoption grows, the "public ledger" problem (everyone seeing your net worth/location) becomes a blocker for mainstream commerce and safety. There is a market gap for a privacy solution that is scalable and compliant enough to exist. WATCH. The speakers identify a critical product-market gap, but do not name a specific winner. Investors should look for protocols solving on-chain privacy (e.g., ZK-proofs) that can still satisfy regulatory requirements. Privacy coins are often the first target of regulators (delistings); technology is complex and computationally expensive. | — | |
| LONG |
Changpeng Zhao
Founder & Former CEO, Binance |
Despite the $4B fine and CZ's imprisonment, Binance remains the largest liquidity pool in the world. CZ mentions that his pardon might be a signal that allows Binance to "enter the US in a proper way." The market had priced in existential risk for Binance (collapse/shutdown). The survival of the platform, combined with the resolution of the DOJ case and a potential path to US compliance, removes the "death discount" from BNB. If Binance re-enters the US, volume and utility for BNB increase. LONG. The "survival event" has passed, and the asset is now a play on global liquidity dominance. Further regulatory actions from other jurisdictions; loss of market share to compliant competitors like Coinbase. | 10:37 |