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Trade Ideas (1)
Date Ticker Price Dir Speaker Thesis Source
Feb 11
AGR
SHORT Doug Burgum
US Secretary of the Interior
Burgum cites a classified report stating offshore wind causes "radar interference above the water and sonar interference below," labeling it a "National Security risk" and confirming the administration will appeal court rulings to reinstate stop-work orders. While economic arguments (subsidies) can be debated, a "National Security" designation is a regulatory kill-switch that is difficult to fight in court. If the DoD opposes offshore wind, permits will be revoked or denied, stranding billions in capex for developers. SHORT / AVOID. The sector faces not just subsidy removal, but an existential permitting ban. Courts may rule against the administration's national security claims; state-level mandates could sustain some projects. Bloomberg Markets
Coal Kept the Lights On During Storms, Burgum...