u/Prabuddha-Peramuna ·
Reddit — r/algotrading
· 2026년 7월 19일, 17:39
· ⬆ 16 포인트
· 💬 18 개 댓글
| Reddit에서 보기 ↗
AI 요약
=== 요약 ===
- 작성자는 거래량 가중 POC 로직을 사용하여 충격적인 움직임(FVA 확장)이 발생하기 전 기관의 '응축된 스프링(coiled spring)' 구간을 식별하는 Fair Value Accumulation(FVA)이라는 독자적인 개념을 소개합니다.
- 작성자는 Fair Value Gaps와 같은 주관적인 시각적 패턴을 비판하며, 이전에 발표한 Volatility Expansion Index(VEI)를 언급하면서 데이터 기반의 체계적인 모델을 주장합니다.
- 이 게시물은 구체적인 백테스트 결과, 코드 또는 매매 사례가 없는 정량적 프레임워크에 대한 고차원적인 제안이며, 실행 가능한 리서치라기보다는 개념적인 논의에 가깝습니다.
=== 시장 심리 ===
중립
=== 투자 아이디어 ===
이 게시물에는 실행 가능한 투자 아이디어가 없습니다.
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Lately, it seems like the entire trading space is obsessed with Fair Value Gaps (FVG). While they are highly visual, they are often subjective and lack the statistical edge required for long-term survival.
As a quantitative researcher and algorithmic developer, I’ve moved away from eye-balled patterns and toward pure systematic logic. This has led me to develop a concept I call **Fair Value Accumulation (FVA)**.
I’ve spent significant time refining a quantitative algorithm to strip away market noise and identify what I call FVA Pockets (Fair Value Accumulation).
These are specific zones identified by my algorithm (the red dot clusters in the attached chart) where high-volume, institutional-grade activity is concentrated. Instead of treating these as static lines, I view them as "coiled springs" where the market is accumulating value before a major move.
My algorithm filters price/volume data to highlight these high-conviction zones. It isn't just about price; it’s about where the volume too.
The market rarely stays in an FVA Pocket for long. When it breaks out, it typically triggers an " FVA Expansion " a high-velocity, impulsive move that confirms the dominant institutional direction.
I do not front run the zone. I wait for the algorithm to flag the FVA Pocket, then I look for the FVA Expansion to confirm the move before entering to ride the impulse.
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If the industry relies on visual patterns, the edge is already gone. Real potential lies in math and logic. Earlier this year, I introduced the **Volatility Expansion Index (VEI)** to the public, a concept that was subsequently tested and verified by Kevin J. Davey and featured in *Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities* magazine.
**Volatility Expansion Index (VEI)**
[https://www.reddit.com/r/algotrading/comments/1phv4zz/the\_signal\_i\_use\_to\_detect\_hidden\_instability\_in/](https://www.reddit.com/r/algotrading/comments/1phv4zz/the_signal_i_use_to_detect_hidden_instability_in/)
I mention VEI to prove a point, **Quantitative researchers and Algo traders have more to contribute to this industry than any other group.**
I am not releasing the code or the specific math behind FVA. My goal here to challenge the community. My FVA algorithm works by identifying "coiled springs" clusters of high volume, institutional-grade positioning that precede impulsive **FVA Expansions**. It is a systematic, data driven approach that completely outperforms the predictive accuracy of standard FVG models.
Stop looking at the market through the lens of what you can see. Start looking at it through the lens of what the data is *doing*.
We need to stop obsessing over retail patterns and start building models that rely on volume weighted POC logic and statistical significance. Use your intelligence. Build your own tools. The market is math, not a picture, and it’s time we treated it that way.