=== SUMMARY ===
- The author asks when the prolonged downturn in SaaS stocks (the "SAASpocalypse") will end, noting many are down 50-75% but still growing revenues, earnings, and FCF at 15-20% annually.
- No specific thesis or directional bet is offered; the post is a market-timing question about the rerating of software companies, with AI disruption as the key variable.
- Quality assessment: This is noise / a discussion prompt, not a detailed DD. The author provides no original analysis or data.
=== SENTIMENT ===
NEUTRAL
=== TRADE IDEAS ===
No actionable trade ideas in this post. The author does not explicitly state or strongly imply any position, ticker, or trade.
=== COMMENTS SUMMARY ===
The top comment provides a table of FCF yields and buyback yields for major SaaS names, noting that only CRM, ADBE, and INTU have attractive FCF yields (10-13%) and are doing buybacks. Another comment suggests the SAASpocalypse started mid-2025 and may take ~2 years to resolve (similar to the Google-AI dip), hinting at a potential bottom in mid-2027. No counter-arguments are offered; the community focuses on valuation metrics and timing rather than specific trade ideas.
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Some of the companies will face minimal disruption from AI, some a decent amount, and some will essentially be gone from AI. Regardless of which cohort, when do you think the market will start to rerate the software companies? And how long could an uptrend go for if/when they start to recover?They've been taking a beating for well over a year now, with many names down 50-75%. Despite that, a decent portion are still growing fundamentally well, some at clips of 15-20% per year in terms of revenue, earnings, and free cash flow.