My technique for finding value stocks

u/Constant-Bridge3690 · Reddit — r/ValueInvesting · 02 мая 2026, 15:14 · ⬆ 18 очк. · 💬 15 комментариев  | Открыть на Reddit ↗
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=== SUMMARY === - Author describes a value stock screening technique using "Value Points" (projected revenue growth + operating margin) vs. "Value Score" (EV/projected operating profit), claiming 30% YTD returns with leverage. - He explicitly calls MU his "bet the ranch pick" with a Value Score of 18.44 (threshold >2.0 considered a buy), and lists NVDA, GOOGL, MSFT, META, LLY as existing holdings. - Quality assessment: Mixed – the methodology is original and data-driven (spreadsheet linked), but the post lacks detailed backtesting or risk discussion and relies on leverage, making it more of a personal strategy than rigorous DD. === SENTIMENT === BULLISH === TRADE IDEAS === MU - LONG | confidence: 0.90 | sentiment: +0.85 Speaker: u/Constant-Bridge3690 Thesis: 1. THE FACT: MU has a Value Score of 18.44 (EV/projected operating profit), far above the 2.0 buy threshold, indicating extreme undervaluation per the author’s model. 2. THE BRIDGE: The author is using 50% leverage on a concentrated portfolio and calls MU his "bet the ranch pick," suggesting high conviction that the market misprices MU’s growth and margins. 3. THE VERDICT: MU presents a high-conviction long opportunity based on a proprietary quantitative screen that has historically generated strong returns (46–80% annual gains). 4. RISKS: Leverage amplifies drawdowns; the model may fail if projected revenue or margins miss; sector cyclicality in memory chips could hurt MU; single‑stock concentration adds risk. Timeframe: medium-term Key Points: - Author’s top pick with strong score - Proven track record (46-80% annual) - Requires monitoring of revenue/op margins - Leverage increases risk significantly
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u/Constant-Bridge3690 Reddit r/ValueInvesting
MU has a Value Score of 18.44 (EV/projected operating profit), far above the 2.0 buy threshold, indicating extreme undervaluation per the author’s model. The author is using 50% leverage on a concentrated portfolio and calls MU his "bet the ranch pick," suggesting high conviction that the market misprices MU’s growth and margins. MU presents a high-conviction long opportunity based on a proprietary quantitative screen that has historically generated strong returns (46–80% annual gains). Leverage amplifies drawdowns; the model may fail if projected revenue or margins miss; sector cyclicality in memory chips could hurt MU; single‑stock concentration adds risk.
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This Reddit post, published May 02, 2026, features u/Constant-Bridge3690 discussing MU. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: u/Constant-Bridge3690  · Tickers: MU