Matthew Piepenburg argues that the US dollar's hegemony is ending due to unsustainable debt and de-dollarization trends, and that gold will continue to rise as paper money debases. He recommends owning physical gold in safe jurisdictions and warns against gold ETFs due to counterparty risk.
- The petrodollar system is cracking, with countries moving away from dollar-denominated oil trade.
- The US dollar has lost trust since the weaponization of reserves against Russia in 2022.
- The closure of the Strait of Hormuz threatens global oil supply and accelerates de-dollarization.
- The Fed is forced to monetize debt, leading to currency debasement and negative real rates.
- Central banks are buying gold at record levels, signaling a shift away from US Treasuries.
- Gold has outperformed paper currencies by 1580% since 2000.
- The speaker advises against owning gold in ETFs and recommends physical gold in Switzerland or Singapore.
- The US is negotiating from a position of weakness in trade talks with China.
Gold will continue to rise because paper money, including the US dollar, will continue to historically debase itself to inflate its way out of an unsustainable, unprecedented debt crisis. It is not a bull market in gold; it is a bare market in paper money.
Do not own gold in an ETF because it is a paper claim with counterparty risk. Physical gold should be held outside the banking system in a safe jurisdiction.
This Milk Road Daily video, published May 14, 2026,
features Matthew Piepenburg
discussing GLD.
2 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.