Can Bessent's Bond Buyback Work?

Смотреть на YouTube ↗  |  20 августа 2026, 21:18  |  1:30  |  Bloomberg Markets
Спикеры
Scarlet Fu — Ведущий, Bloomberg Television
Stephanie Roth — Chief Economist, Wolfe Research
Scarlet Fu and Stephanie Roth discuss the Treasury's surprise increase in longer-dated bond buybacks and whether it can stem the rise in long-end yields. Fu argues long-end yields may keep drifting higher unless the buyback marks a new regime, while Roth expects future economic shifts to eventually bring Treasury yields lower. They agree the buyback alone cannot fix a fundamental global issuance problem. - US Treasuries fell after the Trump administration's surprise increase in longer-dated bond buybacks. - The move did little to counter concerns about surging government debt and some yields hitting 19-year highs. - Scarlet Fu says long-end yields may drift higher unless buybacks become a new regime. - Stephanie Roth says Treasury buybacks cannot solve fundamental supply-demand issues. - Roth expects economic dynamics to change and bring relief to Treasury yields. - The discussion highlights global issuance and elevated real 30-year yields.
Идеи
Scarlet Fu Ведущий, Bloomberg Television 0:14
Long-end yields drift higher without regime.
If the Treasury's increased buyback is not the start of a larger policy regime, longer-dated Treasury yields will likely keep drifting higher. The market is using non-conventional tools to address a fundamental global issuance problem, and there is a real conversation about whether 20- and 30-year auction sizes are too large; elevated real 30-year yields add an important nuance.
Stephanie Roth Chief Economist, Wolfe Research 1:07
Expect Treasury yields to eventually fall.
Treasury buybacks cannot solve the fundamental supply-demand problem. The real issues are an unclear Fed reaction function and hot data. Stephanie Roth expects economic dynamics to change into the future, which should bring relief to Treasury yields; she also says the prior day's move in Treasuries was too big and markets have reversed it, with rates needing other drivers to change to come down.
Далее

This Bloomberg Markets video, published August 20, 2026, features Scarlet Fu, Stephanie Roth discussing Longer-dated US Treasuries, TLT. 2 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Scarlet Fu, Stephanie Roth  · Tickers: Longer-dated US Treasuries, TLT