Bond yields can easily go higher.
Dimon believes bond yields have room to rise significantly from current levels due to factors like AI investment demand, global deficits, and government debt refinancing needs. He notes that the bond market has seen a multi-decade bull market and now may be shifting to a regime of higher rates.
Avoid credit spreads at current levels.
Dimon says he is not a buyer of credit spreads at current tight levels, citing potential stress from high leverage, rising rates, and sentiment changes that could lead to widening. He expects that many companies and governments will face higher refinancing costs, which could pressure the system.