MV MVST Microvast Holdings, Inc. Загрузка... : Бычьи и медвежьи мнения аналитиков

Microvast is restructuring US subsidiaries (new LLC, dissolving old entities) after surrendering air permit for NMC cell production. CEO holds a 10b5-1 plan adopted at $3, has not sold yet, and faces a May 28 loan maturity that converts to ~53M shares. The restructuring suggests asset isolation for a potential JV or buyout by Oshkosh, while extremely low expectations for Q1 earnings create a beat-and-run catalyst. CEO’s refusal to sell at $2 implies he expects shares to go higher. Bet on a Q1 earnings surprise (May 11 AH) and continued restructuring news to lift MVST from $2 toward $5+ by October 2025. June calls offer short-term leverage. Q1 earnings miss; no Oshkosh deal materializes; CEO sells into the 10b5-1 plan; further dilution from loan conversion; going concern risk if US revenue doesn’t sustain.

Two highly-voted comments express extreme losses and regret for holding Microvast (MVST). One user explicitly states it's "headed straight to 0" and congratulates put holders. A recent WSB post appears to have pumped the stock, which is now seen as a clear "sell" signal by the community. The subsequent price collapse indicates the pump has failed and sentiment has inverted to maximum bearishness. The community consensus is that MVST was a pump-and-dump. With the hype cycle over, the stock is expected to continue its collapse, making puts or short positions attractive. The stock has already fallen significantly; the majority of the move down may have already occurred. US MARKETS (SPY/QQQ) - SHORT | confidence: 0.65 | sentiment: -0.7 Speaker: r/wallstreetbets community Thesis: Commenters express a bearish outlook, citing that the president's ("mango") words are having less impact, market manipulation is rampant, and the Fed ("Jpow") is expected to "tank this shit" on Wednesday. A combination of fading political catalysts, perceived market manipulation trapping bulls, and anticipated hawkish action from the Federal Reserve creates a strong bearish case for the overall market in the immediate future. With multiple negative catalysts converging (geopolitical uncertainty, Fed meeting), the path of least resistance for the broader market is down. The sentiment is that "Bols are trapped." The bearish sentiment is widespread, which can sometimes be a contrarian bullish indicator. A dovish surprise from the Fed or a positive geopolitical development could cause a sharp rally.

MVST paused ATM dilution, held a major lawsuit in abeyance, and hired specific M&A/JV corporate roles. These actions strongly imply an impending corporate transaction (likely a JV with OSK) rather than bankruptcy, which will blindside the 28M short interest. Buy shares or calls before Monday's after-hours earnings call to capture the short squeeze and JV announcement pop. The circumstantial evidence is misinterpreted, no JV materializes, and the company faces insolvency or further ATM dilution.