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u/TheJok3r20
Reddit r/ValueInvesting
Винрейт
100.0%
доходность
+5.5%
Загрузка графиков...
Тикер
Сторона
Упоминания
Первый колл
Цена колла
P&L
Тезис
Тема
Источник
Лонг
01 июн
$4.53
+5.5%
Management still guides $990M revenue, $380M EBITDA, $145M FCF despite losing 10-13% revenue from Avis; market cap is ~$700M. If remaining customers (Hertz, Enterprise) remain stable, the business still generates >$100M FCF, implying single-digit FCF yield expansion – a classic value opportunity if the sell-off is overdone. The 70% drop reflects worst-case scenario (all major customers leave), but current guidance and balance sheet (high debt but not distressed) suggest the market is mispricing the probability of recovery. Further contract losses (Hertz/Enterprise renegotiate or leave) or inability to service ~$1B net debt could trigger distress; the debt load limits downside protection.
Management still guides $990M revenue, $380M EBITDA, $145M FCF despite losing 10-13% revenue from Avis; market cap is ~$700M. If remaining customers (Hertz, Enterprise) remain stable, the business still generates >$100M FCF, implying single-digit FCF yield expansion – a classic value opportunity if the sell-off is overdone. The 70% drop reflects worst-case scenario (all major customers leave), but current guidance and balance sheet (high debt but not distressed) suggest the market is mispricing the probability of recovery. Further contract losses (Hertz/Enterprise renegotiate or leave) or inability to service ~$1B net debt could trigger distress; the debt load limits downside protection.
Строительство/инфраструктура
Показано 1 из 1 коллов · сортировка по упоминаниям
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У u/TheJok3r20 на Buzzberg отслеживается 1 торговых идей по 1 тикерам с июня 2026. Чаще всего покрывает: VRRM.
