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u/Evening-Interview981
Reddit r/ValueInvesting
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Тикер
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Цена колла
P&L
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29 июл
$1404000.00
-7.3%
Commodity DRAM drove the earnings spike, but HBM (higher-margin, long-term contract) is cannibalizing capacity and has fixed pricing. DRAM prices may reverse. Market’s selloff likely reflects this structural risk—further downside if commodity DRAM rolls over, as Hynix’s best-in-class margins become unsustainable. Short SK Hynix on the thesis that the current earnings quality is low, and peak commodity pricing masks a deteriorating business mix. HBM demand keeps pricing stable; DRAM stays elevated; competitors like Samsung limit capacity shifts; stock already down 41% could mean mean-reversion risk.
Commodity DRAM drove the earnings spike, but HBM (higher-margin, long-term contract) is cannibalizing capacity and has fixed pricing. DRAM prices may reverse. Market’s selloff likely reflects this structural risk—further downside if commodity DRAM rolls over, as Hynix’s best-in-class margins become unsustainable. Short SK Hynix on the thesis that the current earnings quality is low, and peak commodity pricing masks a deteriorating business mix. HBM demand keeps pricing stable; DRAM stays elevated; competitors like Samsung limit capacity shifts; stock already down 41% could mean mean-reversion risk.
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У u/Evening-Interview981 на Buzzberg отслеживается 1 торговых идей по 1 тикерам с июля 2026. Чаще всего покрывает: 000660.KS.
