u/AnonymousTimewaster

President Trump has declared the conflict with Iran is effectively over, suggesting a rapid de-escalation of hostilities in the Middle East. A reduction in geopolitical conflict, particularly in a major oil-producing region, decreases the risk premium on crude oil, leading to lower prices as supply fears subside. The market is pricing in a lower probability of supply disruptions from the Strait of Hormuz, causing oil futures and related ETFs like USO to fall. The President's statement may be premature or inaccurate. The conflict could easily re-escalate, or Iran could dispute the claim, causing oil prices to spike.