#196 Альфа-оценка 84.7

Thread Guy

Криптоинфлюенсер, независимый
@notthreadguy · отслеживается с янв 2026
196
BUZZBERG Лидерборд ранжируется по Alpha Score, который учитывает среднюю доходность спикера, число его коллов и репутацию — рейтинг авторитетности источника, который может только повысить скор, но не понизить. Читать FAQ
Альфа-оценка 84.7
Сигналы
196
Винрейт
49.0%
доходность
+3.4%
Сигналы 196 4281 Постов отслежено · 17.8/день Постил сегодня
Сигналы
3
30д 13
90д 64
Лучшие сигналы
HYPE Лонг +212.0%
PUMP Лонг +150.3%
MU Лонг +125.5%
Худшие сигналы
ZEC Шорт -116.8%
RKLB Лонг -53.6%
RBLX Лонг -51.1%
Самые упоминаемые
BTC ×91
HYPE ×70
ZEC ×69
Последние сигналы
ELV Лонг 14 часов назад
GPRO Лонг 14 часов назад
STRK Лонг 1 день назад
Винрейт 49% Лонг 155 Шорт 41
Винрейт
46%
30д 47%
90д 54%
Средняя доходность +3.4% Доходность лонгов +6.2% Доходность шортов -6.9%
Средняя доходность
-0.9%
30д -0.7%
90д +4.9%
Загрузка графиков...
Результат
Результат
Сортировка
Тема Позиция
Тикер
Сторона
Упоминания
Первый колл
Цена колла
P&L
Тезис
Тема
Источник
Лонг
04 янв
$91305.80
-15.4%
Buying spot Bitcoin on alt-beta scarcity thesis
Buy spot BTC as the author enters a position, citing a potential rip that would leave little beta elsewhere in alts, with the broader alt market weighed down by equity/valueless token overhang.
Криптоактивы
Лонг
04 янв
$26.44
+212.0%
Hyperliquid clears alt overhang, biddable on BTC rip
Author identifies Hyperliquid as one of the few alts that clears the current overhang of equity/valueless tokens, suggesting it is biddable in a Bitcoin-rip scenario where most alts lack beta.
Криптоактивы
Лонг
04 янв
$499.78
+65.6%
Spot Zcash long alongside Bitcoin position
Author enters spot Zcash position alongside Bitcoin, implicitly as a higher-beta play in a market where most alts are stuck under equity/valueless token overhang, with Zcash selected as one of the few alts that "clears."
Криптоактивы
Лонг
16 июл
$0.00
+150.3%
Pump Fun token undervalued, memecoins sticky
Pump Fun token is massively undervalued relative to its revenue and buyback power. DEX volume is astonishing and memecoins are proving sticky, not a passing fad. The market underestimates the permanence of memecoin infrastructure, and the team may soon deliver an airdrop that restores community trust, triggering a re-rating.
Криптоактивы
Лонг
06 мар
$108.77
+10.2%
"Crude oil not looking good... getting ready to just break out. There's such a thing as a quad top." Later notes traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has plunged 95%. The technical setup (quad top breakout) combined with the fundamental catalyst (war in the Middle East/supply choke points) creates a high-probability upside for oil. If oil rips, major US producers (XOM, CVX, COP) are the direct beneficiaries. Long exposure to energy is the primary hedge against the "WW3" narrative. De-escalation in the Middle East causes a rapid price collapse.
"Crude oil not looking good... getting ready to just break out. There's such a thing as a quad top." Later notes traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has plunged 95%. The technical setup (quad top breakout) combined with the fundamental catalyst (war in the Middle East/supply choke points) creates a high-probability upside for oil. If oil rips, major US producers (XOM, CVX, COP) are the direct beneficiaries. Long exposure to energy is the primary hedge against the "WW3" narrative. De-escalation in the Middle East causes a rapid price collapse.
Сырьё
Лонг
02 июн
$2.02
+27.7%
IRL trends and YouTube movies boost AMC.
AMC benefits from the IRL (in-real-life) maxing trend where people are eager to go out and do things. Movies are a cheap, popular hangout. Additionally, a new wave of YouTube creators making successful movies (like Back Rooms, Obsession) is driving attendance higher. The stock has a low market cap (~$1.3B) and could catch a bid from these tailwinds.
Гейминг и развлечения
Лонг
13 фев
$411.66
+125.5%
Thread Guy cites Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei's prediction that AI revenue could hit $1 trillion by 2030 (up from ~$14B currently). If software revenue scales to $1 trillion, the physical infrastructure required to support it must grow exponentially. This is the "Bits to Atoms" trade: longing the hardware, memory, and raw materials that exist *now* to power the future. LONG the "picks and shovels" of AI: Compute (NVDA), Memory (MU, WDC), and the raw materials (Rare Earths). AI scaling laws hit a wall; over-investment in capex leads to a bubble burst before revenue materializes.
Thread Guy cites Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei's prediction that AI revenue could hit $1 trillion by 2030 (up from ~$14B currently). If software revenue scales to $1 trillion, the physical infrastructure required to support it must grow exponentially. This is the "Bits to Atoms" trade: longing the hardware, memory, and raw materials that exist *now* to power the future. LONG the "picks and shovels" of AI: Compute (NVDA), Memory (MU, WDC), and the raw materials (Rare Earths). AI scaling laws hit a wall; over-investment in capex leads to a bubble burst before revenue materializes.
Память для ИИ
Лонг
28 янв
$103.40
+0.3%
Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev published a post-mortem on GameStop, arguing that the trading halts were due to T+2 settlement and the solution is real-time tokenized settlement on-chain. This signals a major strategic push by a retail giant to move equities onto blockchain rails. If Robinhood succeeds in lobbying for the "Clarity Act" and tokenization, they become the bridge between retail equity flows and crypto infrastructure. LONG. Bullish on the company's direction aligning with crypto adoption. Regulatory pushback from the SEC or failure of the Clarity Act to pass.
Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev published a post-mortem on GameStop, arguing that the trading halts were due to T+2 settlement and the solution is real-time tokenized settlement on-chain. This signals a major strategic push by a retail giant to move equities onto blockchain rails. If Robinhood succeeds in lobbying for the "Clarity Act" and tokenization, they become the bridge between retail equity flows and crypto infrastructure. LONG. Bullish on the company's direction aligning with crypto adoption. Regulatory pushback from the SEC or failure of the Clarity Act to pass.
Брокеры
Лонг
19 мая
$33.14
-2.5%
VVV looks great
VVV looks great as well, alongside other alts that are performing well. No further detail but the comment indicates a bullish view.
Ритейл и мобильность
Лонг
10 фев
$188.54
+15.3%
The speaker compares the current AI market to the Dot-com bubble. He points out that in 2000, the NASDAQ traded at a 100x PE ratio with unprofitable companies (Pets.com), whereas today it trades at ~25x PE with massive profitability from hyperscalers. He explicitly states, "We have a lot higher to go." The fear of an "AI Bubble" is premature based on historical valuation metrics. The infrastructure build-out is still in the "David Letterman/Bill Gates" phase (early skepticism) rather than the "Steve Ballmer" phase (peak euphoria). Consequently, the leaders in this sector have significant upside remaining before reaching mania levels. LONG. The macro backdrop supports continued expansion of AI infrastructure valuations. A sudden macro recession or regulatory crackdown on AI development.
The speaker compares the current AI market to the Dot-com bubble. He points out that in 2000, the NASDAQ traded at a 100x PE ratio with unprofitable companies (Pets.com), whereas today it trades at ~25x PE with massive profitability from hyperscalers. He explicitly states, "We have a lot higher to go." The fear of an "AI Bubble" is premature based on historical valuation metrics. The infrastructure build-out is still in the "David Letterman/Bill Gates" phase (early skepticism) rather than the "Steve Ballmer" phase (peak euphoria). Consequently, the leaders in this sector have significant upside remaining before reaching mania levels. LONG. The macro backdrop supports continued expansion of AI infrastructure valuations. A sudden macro recession or regulatory crackdown on AI development.
ИИ-вычисления
Лонг
10 фев
$139.51
+29.1%
The speaker compares the current AI market to the Dot-com bubble. He points out that in 2000, the NASDAQ traded at a 100x PE ratio with unprofitable companies (Pets.com), whereas today it trades at ~25x PE with massive profitability from hyperscalers. He explicitly states, "We have a lot higher to go." The fear of an "AI Bubble" is premature based on historical valuation metrics. The infrastructure build-out is still in the "David Letterman/Bill Gates" phase (early skepticism) rather than the "Steve Ballmer" phase (peak euphoria). Consequently, the leaders in this sector have significant upside remaining before reaching mania levels. LONG. The macro backdrop supports continued expansion of AI infrastructure valuations. A sudden macro recession or regulatory crackdown on AI development.
The speaker compares the current AI market to the Dot-com bubble. He points out that in 2000, the NASDAQ traded at a 100x PE ratio with unprofitable companies (Pets.com), whereas today it trades at ~25x PE with massive profitability from hyperscalers. He explicitly states, "We have a lot higher to go." The fear of an "AI Bubble" is premature based on historical valuation metrics. The infrastructure build-out is still in the "David Letterman/Bill Gates" phase (early skepticism) rather than the "Steve Ballmer" phase (peak euphoria). Consequently, the leaders in this sector have significant upside remaining before reaching mania levels. LONG. The macro backdrop supports continued expansion of AI infrastructure valuations. A sudden macro recession or regulatory crackdown on AI development.
ПО для ИИ
Лонг
29 янв
$495.90
-19.9%
ThreadGuy notes metals are "trading like meme coins" with massive volatility to the upside (Copper +11% in hours). Peter Schiff explains that central banks are aggressively dumping USD reserves for physical gold to escape US sanctions risk. This is not a standard inflation hedge; it is a geopolitical exit from the US Dollar system. Because the Trump administration has explicitly claimed Bitcoin as a "US Asset," foreign capital flight is funneling exclusively into physical commodities ("Atoms") rather than digital stores of value ("Bits"). LONG physical commodities and miners. This is the only asset class catching the "flight from safety" bid. A de-escalation of geopolitical tension or a sudden strengthening of the USD could cause a violent unwind of these "parabolic" moves.
ThreadGuy notes metals are "trading like meme coins" with massive volatility to the upside (Copper +11% in hours). Peter Schiff explains that central banks are aggressively dumping USD reserves for physical gold to escape US sanctions risk. This is not a standard inflation hedge; it is a geopolitical exit from the US Dollar system. Because the Trump administration has explicitly claimed Bitcoin as a "US Asset," foreign capital flight is funneling exclusively into physical commodities ("Atoms") rather than digital stores of value ("Bits"). LONG physical commodities and miners. This is the only asset class catching the "flight from safety" bid. A de-escalation of geopolitical tension or a sudden strengthening of the USD could cause a violent unwind of these "parabolic" moves.
Сырьё
Лонг
26 фев
$689.30
+10.5%
"The agentic AI inflection point has arrived... coding agents basically didn't work before December and basically work since." We have crossed a threshold where AI is no longer just a chatbot but a functional worker (Agentic AI). This drastically increases the value proposition of software companies integrating these agents, as they move from "novelty" to "productivity replacement." Long the software layer that utilizes this new compute power. "Agent security / API-key leakage risk" or hallucinations causing enterprise pushback.
"The agentic AI inflection point has arrived... coding agents basically didn't work before December and basically work since." We have crossed a threshold where AI is no longer just a chatbot but a functional worker (Agentic AI). This drastically increases the value proposition of software companies integrating these agents, as they move from "novelty" to "productivity replacement." Long the software layer that utilizes this new compute power. "Agent security / API-key leakage risk" or hallucinations causing enterprise pushback.
Фондовые индексы
Лонг
27 янв
$127.12
-21.7%
A viral TikTok meme ("The Penguin") launched on Solana and hit ~$150M market cap, generating six-figure profits for traders. As long as a viral internet meme can be tokenized on Solana and reach a $10M+ valuation, the "casino" is open. This activity drives SOL demand and proves "Product Market Fit" for crypto as the money of the internet. LONG. The success of PENGUIN signals that retail speculation is returning to Solana onchain markets. PVP (Player vs Player) market dynamics where liquidity rotates too fast to catch; rapid drawdowns in meme assets.
A viral TikTok meme ("The Penguin") launched on Solana and hit ~$150M market cap, generating six-figure profits for traders. As long as a viral internet meme can be tokenized on Solana and reach a $10M+ valuation, the "casino" is open. This activity drives SOL demand and proves "Product Market Fit" for crypto as the money of the internet. LONG. The success of PENGUIN signals that retail speculation is returning to Solana onchain markets. PVP (Player vs Player) market dynamics where liquidity rotates too fast to catch; rapid drawdowns in meme assets.
Криптоактивы
Лонг
20 мая
$82.37
+8.3%
Copper supply-demand tight for AI
Copper is a commodity with strong supply-demand dynamics, particularly as a key material for AI data centers and electrification. Big names like Chamath are bullish, and the chart shows a potential breakout above 67. He is long copper and waiting to add higher.
Сырьё
Показано 15 из 196 коллов · сортировка по упоминаниям

У Thread Guy на Buzzberg отслеживается 196 торговых идей по 175 тикерам с января 2026. винрейт 49% по 194 оцененным сигналам, средняя доходность +3.4%. #196 в рейтинге Buzzberg Alpha. Чаще всего покрывает: BTC, HYPE, ZEC.