AI stocks overall are not overvalued because current corporate earnings justify equity values and reasonable expectations about future earnings support those valuations.
The US economy will vastly outperform China's over a 30-year horizon because China suffers from a severely unbalanced economy overly reliant on investment and exports, a demographic crisis from the one-child policy, and failed industrial policies like a hollow real-estate sector and an uncompetitive aircraft industry.
He believes the Fed will not hike interest rates in 2026, contrary to the bond market which is pricing in multiple hikes. This view implies that Treasury yields may under-shoot market expectations, benefiting bond prices.