Marcello Cestari

A study of three on-chain indicators shows when MVRV, Supply in Profit, and Long-Term Holder Profit touched current levels, Bitcoin returned median 66%, 92%, and 108% over the next 12 months, with 91%, 99%, and 100% positive cases, respectively; aggregated analogous scenarios point to higher prices after a possible 2-4 month negative window.

HyperLiquid (HYPE) trades at a ~10x price-to-revenue multiple versus ~30x for traditional exchanges like CME, Robinhood, and Interactive Brokers, despite generating ~$2B annual revenue. The token has a deflationary buyback mechanism, new revenue streams from stablecoin partnerships (Coinbase/Circle), and ETF inflows. This valuation gap, combined with the potential Clarity Act unlocking US institutional access, makes HYPE significantly undervalued and likely to re-rate.

VVV (Venice token) is a platform for private AI inference with a tokenomics model where staking VVV generates GM tokens that give a daily $1 inference right. Comparable private company OpenRouter trades at 25x revenue with $50M revenue and $1.3B valuation, while Venice's token valuation is roughly 2x lower. As AI demand grows and inference usage increases, VVV's token demand should follow, justifying the recent rally.