#368 Альфа-оценка 71.2

Felix Jauvin

Соведущий, Forward Guidance
@fejau_inc · отслеживается с ноя 2025
368
BUZZBERG Лидерборд ранжируется по Alpha Score, который учитывает среднюю доходность спикера, число его коллов и репутацию — рейтинг авторитетности источника, который может только повысить скор, но не понизить. Читать FAQ
Альфа-оценка 71.2
Сигналы
27
Винрейт
55.6%
доходность
+3.5%
Сигналы 27 3217 Постов отслежено · 11.4/день
Сигналы
0
30д 3
90д 4
Лучшие сигналы
USO Лонг +46.5%
DBC Лонг +39.8%
SMH Лонг +34.2%
Худшие сигналы
EWY Шорт -35.1%
QQQ Шорт -17.7%
JETS Шорт -16.7%
Самые упоминаемые
DXY ×12
GOLD ×9
SPY ×5
Последние сигналы
LLY Лонг 1 неделю назад
MRNA Лонг 1 неделю назад
XLV Лонг 1 неделю назад
Винрейт 56% Лонг 22 Шорт 5
Винрейт
63%
30д 58%
90д 52%
Средняя доходность +3.5% Доходность лонгов +6.8% Доходность шортов -11.4%
Средняя доходность
+1.5%
30д +3.1%
90д +1.9%
Загрузка графиков...
Результат
Результат
Сортировка
Тема Позиция
Тикер
Сторона
Упоминания
Первый колл
Цена колла
P&L
Тезис
Тема
Источник
Лонг
14 мар
$27.86
+1.4%
Long the US Dollar, as the author strongly endorses the technical view that the DXY is breaking a major resistance level, which is expected to lead to significant further strength.
Long the US Dollar, as the author strongly endorses the technical view that the DXY is breaking a major resistance level, which is expected to lead to significant further strength.
Валюты
Лонг
20 янв
$437.23
-9.2%
1. THE FACT: "Dollar down, Equities down, Yields up, Gold up. Welcome back capital outflow doom loop." 2. THE BRIDGE: The observation of a "capital outflow doom loop" where gold is up suggests continued upward pressure on the metal. 3. THE VERDICT: Long Gold due to observed capital outflow and its current upward trend.
1. THE FACT: "Dollar down, Equities down, Yields up, Gold up. Welcome back capital outflow doom loop." 2. THE BRIDGE: The observation of a "capital outflow doom loop" where gold is up suggests continued upward pressure on the metal. 3. THE VERDICT: Long Gold due to observed capital outflow and its current upward trend.
Сырьё
Лонг
13 фев
$683.76
+11.4%
The author's macro framework suggests a recent, unacknowledged recession has concluded, and the economy is now in a recovery phase, which is bullish for broad equities.
The author's macro framework suggests a recent, unacknowledged recession has concluded, and the economy is now in a recovery phase, which is bullish for broad equities.
Фондовые индексы
Лонг
05 мар
$96.31
+46.5%
The author believes the commodity forward curve (likely oil) is mispricing the duration of supply shortages, creating an opportunity for longer-dated contracts to reprice higher.
The author believes the commodity forward curve (likely oil) is mispricing the duration of supply shortages, creating an opportunity for longer-dated contracts to reprice higher.
Сырьё
Лонг
10 апр
$71810.00
+7.6%
Speaker stated, "Bitcoin's diverging from software now... Bitcoin's actually sniffing out maybe some global liquidity relief." He tied this to Trump needing to "pull some rabbits out of his hat" for the midterms. The anticipation of stimulative policy actions from the Trump administration to improve economic/political prospects could boost global liquidity, which Bitcoin is perceived to benefit from. LONG Bitcoin as a tactical bet on forthcoming policy responses that increase liquidity and risk appetite. No policy materializes, liquidity conditions tighten, or Bitcoin fails to act as a liquidity proxy.
Speaker stated, "Bitcoin's diverging from software now... Bitcoin's actually sniffing out maybe some global liquidity relief." He tied this to Trump needing to "pull some rabbits out of his hat" for the midterms. The anticipation of stimulative policy actions from the Trump administration to improve economic/political prospects could boost global liquidity, which Bitcoin is perceived to benefit from. LONG Bitcoin as a tactical bet on forthcoming policy responses that increase liquidity and risk appetite. No policy materializes, liquidity conditions tighten, or Bitcoin fails to act as a liquidity proxy.
Криптоактивы
Лонг
27 фев
$406.37
+34.2%
The author believes the AI/compute sector will continue to expand as increased capacity creates new use cases and demand, forming a self-reinforcing growth cycle.
The author believes the AI/compute sector will continue to expand as increased capacity creates new use cases and demand, forming a self-reinforcing growth cycle.
Тематические ETF
Лонг
20 авг
$1271.22
-8.8%
AI breakthroughs make healthcare an attractive defensive rotation.
Healthcare innovation is a defensive sector that outperforms during tech rotations. Breakthroughs driven by AI adoption, such as Moderna's cancer trials and Eli Lilly's developments, make biotech and healthcare highly attractive areas for capital rotation.
GLP-1 / Ожирение
Лонг
20 авг
$155.11
-2.1%
AI breakthroughs make healthcare an attractive defensive rotation.
Healthcare innovation is a defensive sector that outperforms during tech rotations. Breakthroughs driven by AI adoption, such as Moderna's cancer trials and Eli Lilly's developments, make biotech and healthcare highly attractive areas for capital rotation.
Фарма и биотех
Лонг
20 авг
$174.68
-1.7%
AI breakthroughs make healthcare an attractive defensive rotation.
Healthcare innovation is a defensive sector that outperforms during tech rotations. Breakthroughs driven by AI adoption, such as Moderna's cancer trials and Eli Lilly's developments, make biotech and healthcare highly attractive areas for capital rotation.
Тематические ETF
Лонг
26 июн
$87.35
-6.3%
Long Treasury bonds as yields fall.
We are traversing peak inflation and peak growth for the year. Long-end yields are plummeting because the market sees no growth or persistent inflation problems. The Fed is unlikely to hike after July, and the yield curve is flattening rapidly, supporting a sustained bond rally.
Облигации и ставки
Лонг
31 мая
$68.11
+21.1%
Buy HYPE as author views it as the standout token in a deteriorating landscape, citing superior tokenomics and genuine team/token alignment as structural differentiators driving outperformance during the current crypto churn cycle.
Buy HYPE as author views it as the standout token in a deteriorating landscape, citing superior tokenomics and genuine team/token alignment as structural differentiators driving outperformance during the current crypto churn cycle.
Криптоактивы
Шорт
08 мая
$79434.00
+2.7%
Sell Bitcoin, buy gold on catalysts.
Gold has strong catalysts from China buying, inflation, and policy uncertainty, while Bitcoin lacks similar support. Selling Bitcoin to buy gold is a favorable rotation.
Криптоактивы
Лонг
14 апр
$194.22
+12.0%
Go long dominant GPU providers as frontier AI models outpace available compute supply, making compute scarcity the primary actionable theme in the AI sector.
Go long dominant GPU providers as frontier AI models outpace available compute supply, making compute scarcity the primary actionable theme in the AI sector.
ИИ-вычисления
Лонг
20 мар
$26.82
+10.8%
Felix states his "big big trade is the agricultural stuff" and prefers the base commodities over fertilizer equities. Agricultural commodities encapsulate spiking input costs (fuel, fertilizer) while farm profit margins are at multi-year lows, limiting supply growth. Demand is highly inelastic compared to energy. Higher prices are the necessary "cure" to balance the market, creating an asymmetric long setup, especially during the critical spring planting season. A sudden collapse in energy prices that rapidly reduces production costs and improves farm economics.
Felix states his "big big trade is the agricultural stuff" and prefers the base commodities over fertilizer equities. Agricultural commodities encapsulate spiking input costs (fuel, fertilizer) while farm profit margins are at multi-year lows, limiting supply growth. Demand is highly inelastic compared to energy. Higher prices are the necessary "cure" to balance the market, creating an asymmetric long setup, especially during the critical spring planting season. A sudden collapse in energy prices that rapidly reduces production costs and improves farm economics.
Сырьё
Шорт
20 мар
$129.34
-35.1%
Felix states he is "short Japan, short South Korea, short Europe." These regions are most exposed to the Hormuz Strait energy shock (high import dependence) and have central banks with limited flexibility to support growth, creating an economic vulnerability. Their equities are more effective shorts than broad U.S. indices like the NASDAQ to express a view on the global energy crisis. A swift de-escalation and reopening of the Strait, coupled with massive, coordinated global central bank stimulus.
Felix states he is "short Japan, short South Korea, short Europe." These regions are most exposed to the Hormuz Strait energy shock (high import dependence) and have central banks with limited flexibility to support growth, creating an economic vulnerability. Their equities are more effective shorts than broad U.S. indices like the NASDAQ to express a view on the global energy crisis. A swift de-escalation and reopening of the Strait, coupled with massive, coordinated global central bank stimulus.
Фондовые индексы
Показано 15 из 27 коллов · сортировка по упоминаниям

У Felix Jauvin на Buzzberg отслеживается 27 торговых идей по 25 тикерам с ноября 2025. винрейт 56% по 27 оцененным сигналам, средняя доходность +3.5%. #368 в рейтинге Buzzberg Alpha. Чаще всего покрывает: DXY, GOLD, SPY.