#92 Альфа-оценка 92.9

Eric Balchunas

Старший аналитик по ETF, Bloomberg Intelligence
@EricBalchunas · отслеживается с янв 2026
92
BUZZBERG Лидерборд ранжируется по Alpha Score, который учитывает среднюю доходность спикера, число его коллов и репутацию — рейтинг авторитетности источника, который может только повысить скор, но не понизить. Читать FAQ
Альфа-оценка 92.9
Сигналы
17
Винрейт
76.5%
доходность
+9.5%
Сигналы 17 2353 Постов отслежено · 9.7/день
Сигналы
0
30д 1
90д 5
Лучшие сигналы
DRAM Лонг +55.4%
IGV Лонг +30.6%
EWY Лонг +27.1%
Худшие сигналы
GLD Лонг -16.1%
IBIT Лонг -13.9%
SOXX Лонг -4.8%
Самые упоминаемые
BTC ×5
SPY ×3
EWY ×2
Последние сигналы
SGOV Лонг 3 недели назад
XLK Лонг 1 месяц назад
SOXX Лонг 1 месяц назад
Винрейт 76% Лонг 17 Шорт 0
Винрейт
53%
30д 56%
90д 75%
Средняя доходность +9.5% Доходность лонгов +9.5% Доходность шортов -
Средняя доходность
+0.4%
30д +3.5%
90д +9.4%
Загрузка графиков...
Результат
Результат
Сортировка
Тема Позиция
Тикер
Сторона
Упоминания
Первый колл
Цена колла
P&L
Тезис
Тема
Источник
Лонг
23 янв
$50.78
-13.9%
Buy IBIT as a Bitcoin proxy; $6B+ in net inflows during a 24% drawdown signals structurally sticky, conviction-driven demand — a historically bullish indicator of durable long-term accumulation rather than hot-money chasing.
Buy IBIT as a Bitcoin proxy; $6B+ in net inflows during a 24% drawdown signals structurally sticky, conviction-driven demand — a historically bullish indicator of durable long-term accumulation rather than hot-money chasing.
Тематические ETF
Лонг
08 мая
$676.00
+3.6%
S&P 500 wins from AI adaptation
The S&P 500 is the ultimate winner from AI disruption because incumbent companies will adapt and incorporate AI, just as old-economy companies successfully adapted to e-commerce. Market-cap-weighted indexing captures these adaptations, making broad U.S. equity exposure the best way to benefit.
Фондовые индексы
Лонг
13 апр
$137.49
+27.1%
Buy EWY as an underrated AI exposure vehicle; South Korean semiconductor/tech companies provide indirect AI infrastructure upside that the market has not fully priced relative to direct US AI plays.
Buy EWY as an underrated AI exposure vehicle; South Korean semiconductor/tech companies provide indirect AI infrastructure upside that the market has not fully priced relative to direct US AI plays.
Фондовые индексы
Лонг
05 фев
$14.96
+21.7%
Institutional issuers (like BlackRock) continue to build products on Ethereum, and it captures the "serious big fish business" despite competition from faster chains. While Layer 2 narratives are complex, Ethereum remains the "legitimate second" to Bitcoin. It is effectively the "Blue Chip" tech stock of the crypto world, distinct from Bitcoin's "digital gold" narrative. Long Ethereum ETFs as the winner of the institutional smart contract wars. Technological obsolescence if Solana or other chains successfully flip Ethereum on transaction volume and developer activity.
Institutional issuers (like BlackRock) continue to build products on Ethereum, and it captures the "serious big fish business" despite competition from faster chains. While Layer 2 narratives are complex, Ethereum remains the "legitimate second" to Bitcoin. It is effectively the "Blue Chip" tech stock of the crypto world, distinct from Bitcoin's "digital gold" narrative. Long Ethereum ETFs as the winner of the institutional smart contract wars. Technological obsolescence if Solana or other chains successfully flip Ethereum on transaction volume and developer activity.
Тематические ETF
Лонг
05 фев
$473.24
-16.1%
GLD (Gold ETF) is 22 years old and once suffered a 40% drawdown over 6 months, yet recovered to hit all-time highs and attract $30B in inflows. History suggests that "store of value" assets endure severe drawdowns as part of their lifecycle. If Bitcoin is "Teenager Gold," Gold is the mature blueprint. It remains the primary zero-correlation asset for portfolio diversification. Long GLD as the proven, lower-volatility hedge that Bitcoin is aspiring to become. Rising real rates or a "risk-on" environment where zero-yield assets are dumped for equities.
GLD (Gold ETF) is 22 years old and once suffered a 40% drawdown over 6 months, yet recovered to hit all-time highs and attract $30B in inflows. History suggests that "store of value" assets endure severe drawdowns as part of their lifecycle. If Bitcoin is "Teenager Gold," Gold is the mature blueprint. It remains the primary zero-correlation asset for portfolio diversification. Long GLD as the proven, lower-volatility hedge that Bitcoin is aspiring to become. Rising real rates or a "risk-on" environment where zero-yield assets are dumped for equities.
Сырьё
Лонг
10 авг
$100.50
-0.1%
SGOV provides safe 3.8% yield over bonds
Holding cash-like instruments such as SGOV, which gives exposure to T-bills with a 3.8% yield and essentially no risk, is currently more attractive than active fixed income. Until those yields decline, there is little reason to shift out of this stable cash position, especially since broad bond ETFs like the Agg have failed to provide downside protection during stock downturns.
Облигации и ставки
Лонг
20 июл
$524.12
-4.8%
Tech ETF dip buying signals rebound.
Record $20 billion inflows into tech ETFs in July, heavy dip buying in semiconductors (SOXX) and South Korea (EWY) despite recent selloff, indicating traders expect a rebound.
Тематические ETF
Лонг
20 июл
$175.72
+4.5%
Tech ETF dip buying signals rebound.
Record $20 billion inflows into tech ETFs in July, heavy dip buying in semiconductors (SOXX) and South Korea (EWY) despite recent selloff, indicating traders expect a rebound.
Тематические ETF
Лонг
13 июл
$39.65
+5.1%
Cybersecurity benefits from AI adoption
Cybersecurity is a downstream AI play, as more AI leads to more cyber incidents and a greater need for protection, benefiting the market-cap-weighted BUG ETF which has no alerts and is up 70% in a couple months.
Тематические ETF
Лонг
13 июл
$88.10
+1.8%
Trump account default ETF will boom
SPYM is the default ETF chosen for Trump accounts, with Bloomberg Intelligence estimating it could bring in 28 million new investors and $12 billion in new flows in the first year, driving significant growth.
Фондовые индексы
Лонг
01 июн
$72.91
+13.2%
HYPE ETFs are the hot new crypto trade.
HYPE ETFs are the hot new story in crypto, with strong and increasing trading volume, compelling tokenomics (token holders benefit from fee buybacks), and a clear narrative. The product has shown rare post-launch acceleration and is a much-needed positive catalyst for the broader crypto market.
Криптоактивы
Лонг
08 мая
$55.94
+15.9%
Avoid USO, use XLE for oil
USO (oil futures ETF) suffers from significant roll costs that can reach 30% annually, making it a poor vehicle for oil exposure. Instead, use XLE (energy sector equities), which avoids futures roll issues and provides a more direct equity-based play on oil prices, especially through refiners.
Тематические ETF
Лонг
16 апр
$35.23
+55.4%
Buy DRAM ETF as the only vehicle providing meaningful exposure to all three dominant memory chip makers (controlling 95% of market), two of which are foreign with no ADR, while AI data center buildout drives an estimated 75% CAGR in memory demand.
Buy DRAM ETF as the only vehicle providing meaningful exposure to all three dominant memory chip makers (controlling 95% of market), two of which are foreign with no ADR, while AI data center buildout drives an estimated 75% CAGR in memory demand.
Тематические ETF
Лонг
10 апр
$20.69
+7.5%
Buy MSBT; speaker argues distribution advantage ensures commercial success regardless of the day-vs-night Bitcoin return debate, making it a durable ETF product.
Buy MSBT; speaker argues distribution advantage ensures commercial success regardless of the day-vs-night Bitcoin return debate, making it a durable ETF product.
Тематические ETF
Лонг
27 фев
$80.98
+30.6%
Buy IGV as oversold after 30% decline; internal analyst scoring shows IGV holdings score well on both AI vulnerability and AI potential, suggesting the selloff misprices the basket's ability to adapt — analogous to XRT being oversold during the Death of the Mall trade.
Buy IGV as oversold after 30% decline; internal analyst scoring shows IGV holdings score well on both AI vulnerability and AI potential, suggesting the selloff misprices the basket's ability to adapt — analogous to XRT being oversold during the Death of the Mall trade.
Тематические ETF
Показано 15 из 17 коллов · сортировка по упоминаниям

У Eric Balchunas на Buzzberg отслеживается 17 торговых идей по 17 тикерам с января 2026. винрейт 76% по 17 оцененным сигналам, средняя доходность +9.5%. #92 в рейтинге Buzzberg Alpha. Чаще всего покрывает: BTC, SPY, EWY.