Сигналы
19
#476
Альфа-оценка 62.7
ces921
Автор, The Aletheia Narrative (Substack)
Винрейт
47.4%
доходность
+3.0%
Загрузка графиков...
Тикер
Сторона
Упоминания
Первый колл
Цена колла
P&L
Тезис
Тема
Источник
Лонг
03 мар
$90.20
+56.5%
The author posits that Iran's military actions are a deliberate strategy to disrupt key global economic chokepoints, which will likely lead to higher energy prices.
The author posits that Iran's military actions are a deliberate strategy to disrupt key global economic chokepoints, which will likely lead to higher energy prices.
Сырьё
Лонг
12 янв
$25.84
-28.2%
1. THE FACT: President Trump is back as a "Chaos Agent and Volatility Accelerator" and is focusing on "Main Street over Wall Street" to address polling declines.
2. THE BRIDGE: Trump's populist shift and "chaos agent" persona are likely to increase market volatility.
3. THE VERDICT: Long volatility products as Trump's actions will accelerate market uncertainty.
1. THE FACT: President Trump is back as a "Chaos Agent and Volatility Accelerator" and is focusing on "Main Street over Wall Street" to address polling declines.
2. THE BRIDGE: Trump's populist shift and "chaos agent" persona are likely to increase market volatility.
3. THE VERDICT: Long volatility products as Trump's actions will accelerate market uncertainty.
Волатильность
Шорт
28 апр
$709.65
-7.3%
Short S&P 500 on bounces into resistance as defensive rotation, oil spike to $100, and stagflation fears pressure risk assets ahead of mega-cap earnings.
Short S&P 500 on bounces into resistance as defensive rotation, oil spike to $100, and stagflation fears pressure risk assets ahead of mega-cap earnings.
Фондовые индексы
Лонг
05 янв
$46.87
+38.3%
1. THE FACT: "Wild dispersion day under the hood today. We have a pro-cyclical rotation into banks, energy, materials with some modest movement out of Mag 7 while defensive sectors like XLU, XLV and XLP underperforming. And this comes on the back of a weaker than expected ISM print and bonds"
2. THE BRIDGE: There is a pro-cyclical rotation into banks, energy, and materials, indicating strength in these sectors.
3. THE VERDICT: Long banks, energy, and materials due to pro-cyclical rotation.
1. THE FACT: "Wild dispersion day under the hood today. We have a pro-cyclical rotation into banks, energy, materials with some modest movement out of Mag 7 while defensive sectors like XLU, XLV and XLP underperforming. And this comes on the back of a weaker than expected ISM print and bonds"
2. THE BRIDGE: There is a pro-cyclical rotation into banks, energy, and materials, indicating strength in these sectors.
3. THE VERDICT: Long banks, energy, and materials due to pro-cyclical rotation.
Тематические ETF
Шорт
10 апр
$262.28
-10.8%
The author is actively increasing a bearish options position on the small-cap index (IWM).
Фондовые индексы
Лонг
25 мар
$659.80
+15.5%
Mechanical buying pressure from $14 billion in quarter-end pension rebalancing flows and supportive dealer gamma positioning is expected to drive a short-term relief rally in equities.
Mechanical buying pressure from $14 billion in quarter-end pension rebalancing flows and supportive dealer gamma positioning is expected to drive a short-term relief rally in equities.
Фондовые индексы
Лонг
23 фев
$481.28
-17.5%
Heightened policy uncertainty and market anxiety surrounding tariffs are driving capital into gold as a safe-haven asset.
Heightened policy uncertainty and market anxiety surrounding tariffs are driving capital into gold as a safe-haven asset.
Сырьё
Лонг
20 фев
$609.84
+16.1%
The Supreme Court's anti-tariff ruling will act as a catalyst for a significant rotation into growth stocks over value stocks.
The Supreme Court's anti-tariff ruling will act as a catalyst for a significant rotation into growth stocks over value stocks.
Фондовые индексы
Лонг
05 янв
$46.59
+11.8%
1. THE FACT: "Wild dispersion day under the hood today. We have a pro-cyclical rotation into banks, energy, materials with some modest movement out of Mag 7 while defensive sectors like XLU, XLV and XLP underperforming. And this comes on the back of a weaker than expected ISM print and bonds"
2. THE BRIDGE: There is a pro-cyclical rotation into banks, energy, and materials, indicating strength in these sectors.
3. THE VERDICT: Long banks, energy, and materials due to pro-cyclical rotation.
1. THE FACT: "Wild dispersion day under the hood today. We have a pro-cyclical rotation into banks, energy, materials with some modest movement out of Mag 7 while defensive sectors like XLU, XLV and XLP underperforming. And this comes on the back of a weaker than expected ISM print and bonds"
2. THE BRIDGE: There is a pro-cyclical rotation into banks, energy, and materials, indicating strength in these sectors.
3. THE VERDICT: Long banks, energy, and materials due to pro-cyclical rotation.
Тематические ETF
Лонг
20 мая
$723.12
+28.4%
Long Micron as the primary beneficiary of the Samsung strike, which disrupts HBM/DRAM supply at peak AI data center demand, accelerating memory price inflation.
Long Micron as the primary beneficiary of the Samsung strike, which disrupts HBM/DRAM supply at peak AI data center demand, accelerating memory price inflation.
Память для ИИ
Шорт
19 мая
$538.75
-1.2%
Short SMH on morning bounce due to record crowding, no downside protection, and leveraged ETF short gamma that forces $4B selling on a 2% drop, with Wednesday's catalyst stack as the risk peak.
Short SMH on morning bounce due to record crowding, no downside protection, and leveraged ETF short gamma that forces $4B selling on a 2% drop, with Wednesday's catalyst stack as the risk peak.
Тематические ETF
Лонг
06 мая
$69.03
+2.1%
Buy ES above 7,350 on quality growth rotation, semiconductor/industrial leadership in AI infrastructure, disinflationary bond rally and commodity deflation supporting margins.
Buy ES above 7,350 on quality growth rotation, semiconductor/industrial leadership in AI infrastructure, disinflationary bond rally and commodity deflation supporting margins.
Электроэнергетика
Лонг
01 мая
$71.35
-0.9%
Buy AUD via FXA as commodity price surge supports terms of trade and provides floor under RBA rate expectations.
Buy AUD via FXA as commodity price surge supports terms of trade and provides floor under RBA rate expectations.
Валюты
Лонг
18 мар
$87.76
-6.8%
Geopolitical and energy market pressures are creating a structural shift that will force the Fed to become more dovish, making a long position in bonds attractive.
Geopolitical and energy market pressures are creating a structural shift that will force the Fed to become more dovish, making a long position in bonds attractive.
Облигации и ставки
Лонг
06 мар
$40.46
+20.7%
The selective blockade is expected to disrupt shipping routes, increase insurance costs, and create market inefficiencies, which should lead to higher freight rates and benefit shipping companies.
The selective blockade is expected to disrupt shipping routes, increase insurance costs, and create market inefficiencies, which should lead to higher freight rates and benefit shipping companies.
Тематические ETF
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У ces921 на Buzzberg отслеживается 19 торговых идей по 18 тикерам с ноября 2025. винрейт 47% по 19 оцененным сигналам, средняя доходность +3.0%. #476 в рейтинге Buzzberg Alpha. Чаще всего покрывает: BNO, SPY, VIX.
