Сигналы
17
#79
Альфа-оценка 93.9
BurggrabenH
Автор, The Commodity Compass
Винрейт
58.8%
доходность
+16.2%
Загрузка графиков...
Тикер
Сторона
Упоминания
Первый колл
Цена колла
P&L
Тезис
Тема
Источник
Лонг
24 фев
$80.76
+74.8%
Geopolitical tensions with Iran are likely to escalate, creating upward pressure on oil prices as the market prices in a higher probability of conflict.
Geopolitical tensions with Iran are likely to escalate, creating upward pressure on oil prices as the market prices in a higher probability of conflict.
Сырьё
Лонг
14 авг
$401.97
-1.2%
Buy GLD as gold's structural driver shifts from US real rates to global M2 liquidity and PBoC/Chinese retail physical buying, a regime change supporting higher gold prices.
Сырьё
Лонг
07 янв
$11.66
-8.9%
1. THE FACT: European household gas demand tracks temperature exponentially, especially in sub-zero territory. January is forecast to be cold in NW Europe, well below the norm. This could lead to Europe consuming up to 63bcm in January, 21% more than last year.
2. THE BRIDGE: Significantly colder-than-normal temperatures in NW Europe in January will lead to a substantial increase in natural gas consumption, potentially straining supply and driving up prices.
3. THE VERDICT: Forecasted cold European weather in January will significantly increase natural gas demand, likely leading to higher prices.
1. THE FACT: European household gas demand tracks temperature exponentially, especially in sub-zero territory. January is forecast to be cold in NW Europe, well below the norm. This could lead to Europe consuming up to 63bcm in January, 21% more than last year.
2. THE BRIDGE: Significantly colder-than-normal temperatures in NW Europe in January will lead to a substantial increase in natural gas consumption, potentially straining supply and driving up prices.
3. THE VERDICT: Forecasted cold European weather in January will significantly increase natural gas demand, likely leading to higher prices.
Сырьё
Шорт
30 апр
$151.05
+6.6%
Short crude oil via USO as Brent remains elevated above fundamental levels; with Hormuz normalization unlikely in May, further demand destruction via lower prices is required.
Short crude oil via USO as Brent remains elevated above fundamental levels; with Hormuz normalization unlikely in May, further demand destruction via lower prices is required.
Сырьё
Лонг
10 мар
$55.67
+16.5%
The author presents a contrarian thesis that Europe's industrial needs will force a policy shift towards reliable and affordable energy sources over a singular focus on "low-carbon," creating a long-term tailwind for traditional energy.
The author presents a contrarian thesis that Europe's industrial needs will force a policy shift towards reliable and affordable energy sources over a singular focus on "low-carbon," creating a long-term tailwind for traditional energy.
Тематические ETF
Лонг
04 мар
$52.77
-16.4%
Geopolitical instability and LNG (JKM) price volatility will push Japan to accelerate its nuclear restart program, increasing long-term demand for uranium.
Geopolitical instability and LNG (JKM) price volatility will push Japan to accelerate its nuclear restart program, increasing long-term demand for uranium.
Тематические ETF
Лонг
22 апр
$83.60
+4.4%
Go long fertilizer equities (via ETF MOO) due to an impending supply shock and price inflation triggered by the geopolitical disruption of key shipping routes like the Strait of Hormuz.
Go long fertilizer equities (via ETF MOO) due to an impending supply shock and price inflation triggered by the geopolitical disruption of key shipping routes like the Strait of Hormuz.
Тематические ETF
Лонг
03 апр
$94.59
+0.6%
The author advocates a defensive posture with cash initially, but explicitly identifies gold miners (GDX) as a primary long opportunity once the market adjusts to the unfolding crisis.
The author advocates a defensive posture with cash initially, but explicitly identifies gold miners (GDX) as a primary long opportunity once the market adjusts to the unfolding crisis.
Тематические ETF
Лонг
21 мар
$12.95
-14.7%
BYD is positioned to capture significant market share and emerge as a regional winner based on recent industry developments.
BYD is positioned to capture significant market share and emerge as a regional winner based on recent industry developments.
Авто/EV
Лонг
18 мар
$87.28
-6.2%
The author expects bond yields to fall (prices to rise) and believes the market is incorrectly positioned for this outcome, making long-duration bonds an attractive trade.
The author expects bond yields to fall (prices to rise) and believes the market is incorrectly positioned for this outcome, making long-duration bonds an attractive trade.
Облигации и ставки
Лонг
16 мар
$63.39
+38.8%
The current geopolitical environment is analogous to the 1980s tanker wars, which will create a prolonged, favorable environment for tanker owners.
The current geopolitical environment is analogous to the 1980s tanker wars, which will create a prolonged, favorable environment for tanker owners.
Морские перевозки и танкеры
Шорт
13 мар
$39.86
-9.0%
The author argues that Germany's energy policy, prioritizing renewables over reliable sources like nuclear and fossil fuels, is fundamentally damaging its economy.
The author argues that Germany's energy policy, prioritizing renewables over reliable sources like nuclear and fossil fuels, is fundamentally damaging its economy.
Фондовые индексы
Лонг
12 мар
$28.72
+11.4%
The author expects long-term unintended consequences from current geopolitical events to drive up inflation and resource nationalism, which is bullish for broad-based commodities.
The author expects long-term unintended consequences from current geopolitical events to drive up inflation and resource nationalism, which is bullish for broad-based commodities.
Сырьё
Лонг
01 мар
$58.13
+8.5%
Geopolitical risk is expected to cause a spike in shipping insurance premiums, which would benefit insurance companies.
Geopolitical risk is expected to cause a spike in shipping insurance premiums, which would benefit insurance companies.
Тематические ETF
Лонг
24 фев
$20.12
+140.4%
The market is underestimating the difficulty of refilling Europe's depleted natural gas storage this summer due to systemic fragility, suggesting upward pressure on prices.
The market is underestimating the difficulty of refilling Europe's depleted natural gas storage this summer due to systemic fragility, suggesting upward pressure on prices.
Сырьё
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У BurggrabenH на Buzzberg отслеживается 17 торговых идей по 16 тикерам с ноября 2025. винрейт 59% по 17 оцененным сигналам, средняя доходность +16.2%. #79 в рейтинге Buzzberg Alpha. Чаще всего покрывает: BNO, GOLD, UNG.
