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ULTA FY2025 Q3 RAISED

Отчётный звонок Ulta Beauty, Inc.

Dec 04, 2025 · 16:30 ET Chris LealiosKeisha SteelmanKylie Rollins
Вывод Buzzberg

Q3 comps accelerated with 6.3% growth, beating expectations

Ulta Beauty reported a strong Q3, with sales and EPS beating expectations. Management raised full-year guidance while a cautious consumer outlook, citing robust underlying demand and successful strategic initiatives. The call highlighted successes in digital, international expansion, and brand building, as well as detailed commentary on pricing moves across the beauty supply chain. Strong Q3: Revenue +12.9% to $2.9B; EPS $5.14 (flat YoY); comp sales +6.3% (above guidance); strong margin expansion.

Вывод Buzzberg Q3 comps accelerated with 6.3% growth, beating expectations Ulta Beauty reported a strong Q3, with sales and EPS beating expectations. Management raised full-year guidance while a cautious consumer outlook, citing robust underlying demand and successful strategic initiatives. The call highlighted successes in digital, international expansion, and brand building, as well as detailed commentary on pricing moves across the beauty supply chain. Strong Q3: Revenue +12.9% to $2.9B; EPS $5.14 (flat YoY); comp sales +6.3% (above guidance); strong margin expansion. Читать полный анализСвернуть анализ

Ulta Beauty reported a strong Q3, with sales and EPS beating expectations. Management raised full-year guidance while a cautious consumer outlook, citing robust underlying demand and successful strategic initiatives. The call highlighted successes in digital, international expansion, and brand building, as well as detailed commentary on pricing moves across the beauty supply chain. Strong Q3: Revenue +12.9% to $2.9B; EPS $5.14 (flat YoY); comp sales +6.3% (above guidance); strong margin expansion.

  • Raised FY25 guidance: Revenue ~$12.3B; Operating Margin 12.3-12.4%; EPS $25.20-$25.50.
  • FY25 guidance includes Q4 comp sales growth of 2.5-3.5%, reflecting a more cautious holiday outlook despite strong Black Friday/Cyber Monday results.
  • Prestige and mass beauty markets both grew mid-single digits, with Ulta gaining share in both.
Revenue $2.8576B reported
EPS $5.14 reported
Gross margin 40.44% reported
Op margin 11.01% reported

Что изменилось в этом квартале

01
Guidance

Q3 comps accelerated with 6.3% growth, beating expectations

Guidance · revenue to $12.3B

02
Guidance

Q4 comp guidance decelerates to 2.5-3.5% due to cautious consumer

Guidance · revenue to $12.3B

03
Margins

SG&A deleverage driven by incentive comp and investments

Reported gross margin was 40.44%, reinforcing the quarter's better-than-guided profitability.

04
Demand

Fragrance category led growth with double-digit comps

Management expressed optimism about the company's momentum, market share gains, and holiday readiness, while maintaining a cautious view on consumer spending.

Спрос и капзатраты

Спрос

Заказы и конверсия

Fragrance category led growth with double-digit comps. Management expressed optimism about the company's momentum, market share gains, and holiday readiness, while maintaining a cautious view on consumer spending.

Капзатраты

Инвестиции и мощности

Management discussed investments in technology infrastructure and supply chain, including the retrofit of the Dallas Distribution Center with automation and robotics, and cloud-based software investments that are driving near-term expense pressure but expected to support long-term growth.

Тон · Confident

Management expressed optimism about the company's momentum, market share gains, and holiday readiness, while maintaining a cautious view on consumer spending.

Альфа цепочки поставок

A1

Ulta Management names specific publicly traded brands (Coty, Helen of Troy) that are taking market-wide price increases, suggesting these brands are successfully passing through tariff-related costs.

“there were plenty of publicly traded companies that announced that they were taking price increases of Cody and Helen and Troy, just to name a few.”
Keisha Steelman
A2

Ulta is gaining prestige market share in both brick-and-mortar and digital channels while its competitor Sephora at Kohl's comped negative.

“Sephora at Kohl's actually comped negative, yet LVMH's selective retail was positive.”
Keisha Steelman
A3

Ulta confirmed that price increases and tariff-related inventory benefits have a short-term, one-to-two-quarter gross margin benefit before the higher cost inventory flushes through.

“it's based on our inventory evaluation method the average cost so it's going to take a while for it to reach the new cost level but it most likely takes about one or two quarters for it to flush through.”
Chris Lealios
A4

Ulta's 'SpaceNK' acquisition is contributing to SG&A growth, but management is protecting the brand's unique clienteling and agility, which could mean the acquisition is more about learning than integrating.

“I want to protect what makes Space NK unique. I do not want to turn Space NK into a mini Ulta beauty. I think that's what's made Space NK so special.”
Keisha Steelman
A5

Ulta's strength in e-commerce (mid-teens growth) is partly driven by app engagement and improved capabilities like 'split cart' and 'ship from store' with 1,000 stores.

“In Q1, we had split cart launching... In Q3 wish list and Venmo just in time for the holiday season.”
Keisha Steelman
A6

Ulta's shrink reduction has been a tailwind to gross margin for the year and is expected to be a modest improvement in Q4, indicating internal operational efforts are paying off.

“In Q3, there was a modest improvement, and in Q4, we expect another modest improvement in shrink.”
Chris Lealios

Прогноз компании

RaisedGuidance · revenue to $12.3B
Прогноз компании
ПоказательПериодДиапазонСерединаСтатус
EPSFY2025$25.20–$25.50$25.35RAISED
EPSFY2025 Q4$7.61–$7.90$7.76MAINTAINED
Op marginFY202512.3%–12.4%12.35%RAISED
Op marginFY2025 Q412%–12.3%12.15%MAINTAINED
RevenueFY2025$12.3B$12.3BRAISED
RevenueFY2025 Q42.5%–3.5%3%MAINTAINED

Надёжность прогнозов

100%историческая точность
100%
Chris Lealios

2 of 2 · среднее отклонение +2.6%

Сигналы по компаниям

-3.2%
с момента звонка
$193.76$187.52
Партнёры

Ulta's new CFO comes from a large healthcare conglomerate, signaling a focus on financial discipline but with no direct operational impact for BDX.

“I couldn't be more pleased than to welcome Chris Del Orfez to Walter Beauty as he assumes the role of Chief Financial Officer tomorrow. He joins us from Becton Dickinson, where he serves as CFO for the last four years”
Keisha Steelman
+2.9%
с момента звонка
$368.65$379.35
Поставщики

L'Oréal products are performing well within Ulta's mass channel, suggesting strong sell-through for its brands.

с момента звонка
с момента звонка
Поставщики

SpaceNK is performing well under Ulta's ownership and integration is on track, suggesting the acquisition is delivering value.

+37.6%
с момента звонка
$20.77$28.59
-14.8%
с момента звонка
$3.39$2.89
ПоставщикиАльфа цепочки поставок

Ulta Management names specific publicly traded brands (Coty, Helen of Troy) that are taking market-wide price increases, suggesting these brands are successfully passing through tariff-related costs. — This confirms pricing power at CPG suppliers, potentially boosting their revenue and margins but risking volume in a value-conscious consumer environment.

-3.0%
с момента звонка
$104.22$101.15
ПоставщикиАльфа цепочки поставок

Ulta confirmed that price increases and tariff-related inventory benefits have a short-term, one-to-two-quarter gross margin benefit before the higher cost inventory flushes through. — This provides a clear timeline for when suppliers' price increases will become headwinds to margins, relevant for forecasting their earnings impact.

-13.7%
с момента звонка
$22.28$19.22
КонкурентыАльфа цепочки поставок

Ulta is gaining prestige market share in both brick-and-mortar and digital channels while its competitor Sephora at Kohl's comped negative. — This points to ongoing weakness at Kohl's and its partnership, while Ulta's share gains show the strength of its model versus the competitive set.

+11.4%
с момента звонка
$229.09$255.18
Конкуренты

Management is aware of Amazon's success in premium beauty but frames it within its own differentiated strategy, implying continued competitive intensity.

-31.1%
с момента звонка
$147.49$101.56
Конкуренты

Ulta is gaining prestige market share in both brick-and-mortar and digital channels while its competitor Sephora at Kohl's comped negative. — This points to ongoing weakness at Kohl's and its partnership, while Ulta's share gains show the strength of its model versus the competitive set.