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SJM FY2026 Q2 IN LINE

Отчётный звонок The J.M. Smucker Company

Nov 25, 2025 · 02:00 ET Crystal VeitingMark SmuckerTucker Marshall
Вывод Buzzberg

Uncrustables on track to exceed $1 billion sales

J.M. Smucker reported Q2 FY2026 with strong top-line growth driven by coffee pricing and Café Bustelo, but tariffs and commodity costs pressured margins. Guidance was narrowed but EPS midpoint maintained, with management highlighting sequential improvement and optimism for FY2027. Key growth platforms Uncrustables, Café Bustelo, and Meow Mix continue to gain share, while Hostess and spreads face headwinds. Q2 adjusted EPS of $2.10 declined 24% YoY; net sales +3% (comparable +5%), reflecting coffee pricing and Café Bustelo +41%.

Вывод Buzzberg Uncrustables on track to exceed $1 billion sales J.M. Smucker reported Q2 FY2026 with strong top-line growth driven by coffee pricing and Café Bustelo, but tariffs and commodity costs pressured margins. Guidance was narrowed but EPS midpoint maintained, with management highlighting sequential improvement and optimism for FY2027. Key growth platforms Uncrustables, Café Bustelo, and Meow Mix continue to gain share, while Hostess and spreads face headwinds. Q2 adjusted EPS of $2.10 declined 24% YoY; net sales +3% (comparable +5%), reflecting coffee pricing and Café Bustelo +41%. Читать полный анализСвернуть анализ

J.M. Smucker reported Q2 FY2026 with strong top-line growth driven by coffee pricing and Café Bustelo, but tariffs and commodity costs pressured margins. Guidance was narrowed but EPS midpoint maintained, with management highlighting sequential improvement and optimism for FY2027. Key growth platforms Uncrustables, Café Bustelo, and Meow Mix continue to gain share, while Hostess and spreads face headwinds. Q2 adjusted EPS of $2.10 declined 24% YoY; net sales +3% (comparable +5%), reflecting coffee pricing and Café Bustelo +41%.

  • Full-year FY2026 EPS guidance narrowed to $8.75-$9.25 (midpoint $9 maintained), with revenue growth 3.5%-4.5% (comparable +5.5% at midpoint).
  • Green coffee tariff removal prompted cancellation of a winter pricing action, leaving ~$0.50 EPS unrecovered tariff cost this year.
  • Uncrustables brand on track to exceed $1B in sales, with distribution tripling in convenience stores and only 25% household penetration.
Revenue $2.3301B +10% QoQ
EPS $2.10 +11% QoQ
Gross margin 33.56% reported
Op margin 16.47% reported

Что изменилось в этом квартале

01
Growth

Uncrustables on track to exceed $1 billion sales

J.M. Smucker reported Q2 FY2026 with strong top-line growth driven by coffee pricing and Café Bustelo, but tariffs and commodity costs pressured margins. Guidance was narrowed but EPS midpoint maintained, with management highlighting sequential improvement and optimism for…

02
Demand

Café Bustelo net sales up 41% in U.S. retail coffee

Management expressed confidence in navigating the dynamic environment, highlighting strong portfolio performance and reiterating full-year guidance despite headwinds.

03
Pricing

Coffee pricing actions improved elasticity assumptions

Full-year FY2026 EPS guidance narrowed to $8.75-$9.25 (midpoint $9 maintained), with revenue growth 3.5%-4.5% (comparable +5.5% at midpoint).

04
Portfolio

Hostess SKU rationalization 25% reduction underway

Green coffee tariff removal prompted cancellation of a winter pricing action, leaving ~$0.50 EPS unrecovered tariff cost this year.

Спрос и капзатраты

Спрос

Заказы и конверсия

Café Bustelo net sales up 41% in U.S. retail coffee. Management expressed confidence in navigating the dynamic environment, highlighting strong portfolio performance and reiterating full-year guidance despite headwinds.

Капзатраты

Инвестиции и мощности

Management reduced capital expenditures expectations to $325 million for the fiscal year, down from prior guidance, while continuing to invest in key growth platforms and prioritizing debt reduction.

Тон · Confident

Management expressed confidence in navigating the dynamic environment, highlighting strong portfolio performance and reiterating full-year guidance despite headwinds.

Альфа цепочки поставок

A1

Smucker decided not to take a winter pricing action for coffee because green coffee tariffs were removed, leaving ~$0.50 EPS unrecovered tariff cost this year. This indicates limited ability or willingness to fully pass through tariff costs, which may pressure margins across the coffee category.

“Given the recent changes to U.S. trade policy to exclude tariffs on green coffee, we are no longer contemplating another pricing action in early winter. Without this pricing action, we will not fully recover green coffee tariff costs incur…”
Mark Smucker
A2

Uncrustables brand is on track to exceed $1B in sales this fiscal year, with distribution tripling in convenience stores and only 25% household penetration, implying significant capacity expansion and freezer space allocation that could reshape frozen snack shelf sets.

“We remain on track for the Uncrustables brand to generate over $1 billion in net sales by the end of this fiscal year. ... We have nearly tripled sales for the Uncrustables brand at convenience stores over the past year.”
Mark Smucker

Прогноз компании

In LineGuidance · revenue to 4%
Прогноз компании
ПоказательПериодДиапазонСерединаСтатус
CapexFY2026$0.325B$0.325BGUIDED
EPSFY2026$8.75–$9.25$9.00GUIDED
Free cash flowFY2026$0.975B$0.975BGUIDED
Gross marginFY202635%35%GUIDED
RevenueFY20263.5%–4.5%4%GUIDED

Надёжность прогнозов

1 / 1выполнено или превышено
Надёжность прогнозов
Дата прогнозаПоказательЦелевой периодПрогнозФактРезультат
FY2026 Q1Free cash flowFY2026$0.875B–$0.975B$1.2BMet / beat

Сигналы по компаниям

+17.7%
с момента звонка
$27.37$32.22
Цепочка поставокАльфа цепочки поставок

Smucker decided not to take a winter pricing action for coffee because green coffee tariffs were removed, leaving ~$0.50 EPS unrecovered tariff cost this year. This indicates limited ability or willingness to fully pass through tariff costs, which may pressure margins across the coffee category. — If Smucker cannot pass through tariff costs, competitors like Keurig Dr Pepper may face similar margin pressure or be forced to absorb costs, altering pricing dynamics in the at-home coffee market.

“Given the recent changes to U.S. trade policy to exclude tariffs on green coffee, we are no longer contemplating another pricing action in early winter. Without this pricing action, we will not fully recover green coffee tariff costs”
Mark Smucker