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ROP FY2025 Q4 IN LINE

Отчётный звонок Roper Technologies, Inc.

Jan 27, 2026 · 03:00 ET Jason ConleyNeil HunnZach Moxie
Вывод Buzzberg

AI is incremental upside not in 2026 guidance

Roper Technologies reported FY2025 revenue of $7.9B, adjusted EPS of $20.00 (top end of guidance). Management provided conservative FY2026 guidance expecting ~8% total revenue growth, 5-6% organic, and EPS of $21.30-$21.55. Key themes: Deltek GovCon disruption from shutdown and Doge, ProCare implementation delays, DAT's automated load matching progressing, and Neptune tariff impact abating. Capital deployment remains active with $6B capacity; $500M in buybacks in Q4. AI development is accelerating but not baked into guidance. CY2025 revenue grew 12% to $7.9B, organic 5.5% (below initial expectations); adjusted EPS $20.00 (top end of range).

Вывод Buzzberg AI is incremental upside not in 2026 guidance Roper Technologies reported FY2025 revenue of $7.9B, adjusted EPS of $20.00 (top end of guidance). Management provided conservative FY2026 guidance expecting ~8% total revenue growth, 5-6% organic, and EPS of $21.30-$21.55. Key themes: Deltek GovCon disruption from shutdown and Doge, ProCare implementation delays, DAT's automated load matching progressing, and Neptune tariff impact abating. Capital deployment remains active with $6B capacity; $500M in buybacks in Q4. AI development is accelerating but not baked into guidance. CY2025 revenue grew 12% to $7.9B, organic 5.5% (below initial expectations); adjusted EPS $20.00 (top end of range). Читать полный анализСвернуть анализ

Roper Technologies reported FY2025 revenue of $7.9B, adjusted EPS of $20.00 (top end of guidance). Management provided conservative FY2026 guidance expecting ~8% total revenue growth, 5-6% organic, and EPS of $21.30-$21.55. Key themes: Deltek GovCon disruption from shutdown and Doge, ProCare implementation delays, DAT's automated load matching progressing, and Neptune tariff impact abating. Capital deployment remains active with $6B capacity; $500M in buybacks in Q4. AI development is accelerating but not baked into guidance. CY2025 revenue grew 12% to $7.9B, organic 5.5% (below initial expectations); adjusted EPS $20.00 (top end of range).

  • FY2026 guidance: total revenue growth ~8%, organic 5-6%, adjusted EPS $21.30-$21.55; cautious on Deltek GovCon, DAT freight, and Neptune.
  • Deltek GovCon commercial activity building but deals pushed right; no improvement assumed in 2026 guidance.
  • ProCare winning deals but implementation delays constraining revenue; fixable with new leadership focus.
Revenue $2.0586B +2% QoQ
EPS $5.21 +1% QoQ
Gross margin 69.46% reported
Op margin 28.58% reported

Что изменилось в этом квартале

01
AI

AI is incremental upside not in 2026 guidance

Management is accelerating AI product development, with an AI Accelerator team led by new hires, and sees AI as a TAM expander that will show up in bookings and recurring revenue over time, though they are not baking meaningful revenue from AI into 2026 guidance.

02
Guidance

No assumptions of improvement at Deltek or DAT in guidance

Guidance · revenue to 8%

03
Execution

Procare issues: implementation delays, not competition

FY2026 guidance: total revenue growth ~8%, organic 5-6%, adjusted EPS $21.30-$21.55; cautious on Deltek GovCon, DAT freight, and Neptune.

04
Capital Allocation

Capital deployment: $6B capacity, buybacks option

Deltek GovCon commercial activity building but deals pushed right; no improvement assumed in 2026 guidance.

AI, капзатраты и спрос

AI

Платформа и монетизация

Management is accelerating AI product development, with an AI Accelerator team led by new hires, and sees AI as a TAM expander that will show up in bookings and recurring revenue over time, though they are not baking meaningful revenue from AI into 2026 guidance.

Спрос

Заказы и конверсия

Management is taking a cautious, conservative stance on organic growth, not baking in improvements at Deltek GovCon, DAT freight market, or Neptune, and acknowledging that improvement will need to be proven before it's reflected in guidance.

Капзатраты

Инвестиции и мощности

No explicit capital expenditure discussion; management mentions investing in AI talent and technology, such as a data lake and cloud migration, but does not provide capex numbers.

Тон · Measured

Management acknowledges missed organic growth expectations and guides conservatively, but expresses confidence in underlying business improvements, AI opportunities, and capital deployment.

Альфа цепочки поставок

A1

Deltek GovCon commercial activity pipeline is building despite delayed signatures, with two large government contractor deals slipping at year-end but expected to close in H1 2026.

“We had two large government contractor deals that slipped. So it was like right at the end. And we think they'll both land in the first half of next year, but we've also sort of hedge that just in case.”
Jason Conley
A2

DAT's automated load-matching technology is working in production; the main focus now is building broker-side TMS integrations and scaling the carrier network, with a cascade of TMS announcements expected in 2026.

“The technology does the job... the number one focus of that business is to build both sides of the network. That starts on the broker side by getting native integrations with their TMS systems.”
Neil Hunt
A3

Neptune's copper price and tariff surcharge shock abated in late 2025, but management remains cautious and underwrites a modest decline in Neptune's 2026 revenue, meaning volumes are still normalizing post-COVID spike.

“We're not baking in an improvement at Neptune... the tariff surcharging program eased late in the year, we remain cautious and are not underwriting the recovery in our 2026 guidance.”
Neil Hunt
A4

ProCare's implementation delays are the primary constraint on software and payments revenue; the business is winning deals but slow to onboard customers, a fixable problem that management is actively addressing.

“The biggest constraint was implementation timing across both software and payments, which delayed customer time to value and weighed on payments volumes.”
Neil Hunt

Прогноз компании

In LineGuidance · revenue to 8%
Прогноз компании
ПоказательПериодДиапазонСерединаСтатус
EPSFY2026$21.30–$21.55$21.43INITIATED
EPSFY2026 Q1$4.95–$5.00$4.97INITIATED
RevenueFY20268%8%INITIATED
RevenueORGANIC_TOTALFY20265%–6%5.5%INITIATED

Надёжность прогнозов

3 / 3выполнено или превышено
Надёжность прогнозов
Дата прогнозаПоказательЦелевой периодПрогнозФактРезультат
FY2026 Q1EPSFY2026 Q2$5.25–$5.30$5.38Met / beat
FY2025 Q3EPSFY2025$19.90–$19.95$20.00Met / beat
FY2025 Q3EPSFY2025 Q4$5.11–$5.16$5.21Met / beat