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PEG FY2026 Q2 В пределах ожиданий

Отчётный звонок Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated

Aug 04, 2026 · 11:00 ET Carlotta ChanDan CreggRalph LaRossa earningscall_biz
Вывод Buzzberg

PSEG anticipates filing base rate case by year-end 2026

PSEG reported solid Q2 2026 results and reaffirmed its full-year 2026 EPS guidance of $4.28-$4.40, driven by regulated capex investments. Management highlighted a strong operational performance despite severe storms, and outlined a new regulatory framework under EO1, a planned base rate case, and opportunities in PJM's revised capacity market. Q2 2026 non-GAAP EPS of $0.86 vs $0.77 in Q2 2025; first-half EPS of $2.41.

Вывод Buzzberg PSEG anticipates filing base rate case by year-end 2026 PSEG reported solid Q2 2026 results and reaffirmed its full-year 2026 EPS guidance of $4.28-$4.40, driven by regulated capex investments. Management highlighted a strong operational performance despite severe storms, and outlined a new regulatory framework under EO1, a planned base rate case, and opportunities in PJM's revised capacity market. Q2 2026 non-GAAP EPS of $0.86 vs $0.77 in Q2 2025; first-half EPS of $2.41. Читать полный анализСвернуть анализ

PSEG reported solid Q2 2026 results and reaffirmed its full-year 2026 EPS guidance of $4.28-$4.40, driven by regulated capex investments. Management highlighted a strong operational performance despite severe storms, and outlined a new regulatory framework under EO1, a planned base rate case, and opportunities in PJM's revised capacity market. Q2 2026 non-GAAP EPS of $0.86 vs $0.77 in Q2 2025; first-half EPS of $2.41.

  • Reaffirmed FY2026 EPS guidance of $4.28-$4.40 and 6-8% growth through 2030.
  • PSE&G plans to file a base rate case by year-end 2026 due to increasing regulatory lag.
  • PJM capacity auction cleared at $325/MW-day, 6.8 GW short of reliability needs; PSEG is exploring new-build gas generation opportunities via the RBP.
Выручка$2.554B-34% к/к
EPS$0.86-45% к/к
Валовая маржа64.53%Факт
Операционная маржа18.05%Факт
6 подтверждённых тезисов

Что важно сейчас

Самые значимые изменения по итогам звонка.

01
Regulatory

PSEG anticipates filing base rate case by year-end 2026

02
Capacity Market

PJM capacity auction clears at $325, below reliability target

03
Generation

PSEG Power submitted project proposals for PJM RBP

Показать ещё 3 тезиса
04
Nuclear

New Jersey signs Power in New Jersey Act

05
Regulatory

RTO incentive loss estimated at $0.08 per share headwind

06
Transmission

Transmission cost allocation change saves customers $65M annually

Отчётный период

Фактические результаты

ПоказательФактИзменение
Выручка$2.554B-34% к/к
EPS$0.86-45% к/к
Валовая маржа64.53%Факт
Операционная маржа18.05%Факт
Свободный денежный поток$1.74BФакт
Капзатраты$0.621BФакт
AI, капзатраты и спрос

Оценка менеджмента

Тон

Confident

Management expressed confidence in reaffirming full-year and long-term guidance, highlighting operational successes and numerous growth opportunities while acknowledging regulatory and market complexities.

Капзатраты

Инвестиции и мощности

Management reaffirmed its five-year regulated capital investment plan of $22.5 to $25.5 billion through 2030, with PSE&G investing approximately $4.2 billion in 2026, focused on infrastructure modernization, energy efficiency, and electrification. They are also exploring incremental utility infrastructure projects, including connecting solar and battery storage, which could provide upside to the g

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Цепочка поставок

Цепочка поставок

PJM's latest capacity auction cleared at the $325/MW-day price cap, below the uncapped $555/MW-day level, and fell 6.8 GW short of the target reliability requirement. PSEG notes the collar will remain in place through the December 2026 auction. — The gap between capped and uncapped prices signals the threat of forced procurement (RVP/IRAS), which could distort capacity market prices and increase costs for LSEs and consumers.

Доказательства
“PGM's latest capacity auction priced at $325 per megawatt day, the upper end of the price collar, and fell 6.8 gigawatts short of PGM's targeted reliability requirement.”
Dan Cregg
Внешние сигналы

Альфа цепочки поставок · 3с момента звонка

A1

PJM's latest capacity auction cleared at the $325/MW-day price cap, below the uncapped $555/MW-day level, and fell 6.8 GW short of the target reliability requirement. PSEG notes the collar will remain in place through the December 2026 auction.

A2

PSEG is pursuing new-build gas generation opportunities through PJM's Reliability Backstop Process (RBP), indicating a strategic shift back into competitive generation development after exiting the business years ago.

Доказательства
“PSEG Power recently submitted several project proposals throughout the region that may qualify as new, dispatchable generation that could be paired with new, large loads through bilateral contracts.”
A3

PSEG is planning a base rate case filing by year-end 2026, citing growing regulatory lag from its historical test year and robust capital program. A base case could reset distribution revenue and margins, after a period of fewer IIPs.

Доказательства
“PSE&G currently anticipates filing by year-end 2026 to update base rates.”
Методология и полнота

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