Перейти к анализу отчёта
← Назад к ленте
ON FY2026 Q1 IMPROVING

Отчётный звонок ON Semiconductor Corporation

May 04, 2026 · 17:00 ET Farag AgarwalHassan Al-KhawriPat Grant
Вывод Buzzberg

AI data center revenue expected to double in 2026.

ON Semiconductor (ON) reported a strong Q1 with revenue above midpoint and gross margins expanding for the third consecutive quarter, signaling a cyclical bottom and a path to recovery. The company highlighted accelerating AI data center growth, a strong China automotive recovery, and significant design-win momentum across Treo, IGBT, and SiC. Management raised AI data center revenue guidance to double YoY and provided Q2 guidance above consensus, supported by improving order patterns and lead times. Q1 revenue: $1.51B (above midpoint, +5% YoY), non-GAAP EPS $0.64, non-GAAP gross margin 38.5%.

Вывод Buzzberg AI data center revenue expected to double in 2026. ON Semiconductor (ON) reported a strong Q1 with revenue above midpoint and gross margins expanding for the third consecutive quarter, signaling a cyclical bottom and a path to recovery. The company highlighted accelerating AI data center growth, a strong China automotive recovery, and significant design-win momentum across Treo, IGBT, and SiC. Management raised AI data center revenue guidance to double YoY and provided Q2 guidance above consensus, supported by improving order patterns and lead times. Q1 revenue: $1.51B (above midpoint, +5% YoY), non-GAAP EPS $0.64, non-GAAP gross margin 38.5%. Читать полный анализСвернуть анализ

ON Semiconductor (ON) reported a strong Q1 with revenue above midpoint and gross margins expanding for the third consecutive quarter, signaling a cyclical bottom and a path to recovery. The company highlighted accelerating AI data center growth, a strong China automotive recovery, and significant design-win momentum across Treo, IGBT, and SiC. Management raised AI data center revenue guidance to double YoY and provided Q2 guidance above consensus, supported by improving order patterns and lead times. Q1 revenue: $1.51B (above midpoint, +5% YoY), non-GAAP EPS $0.64, non-GAAP gross margin 38.5%.

  • Management sees clear signs of a cyclical recovery: improving book-to-bill, stronger orders, and extending lead times (to ~26 weeks).
  • AI data center revenue grew >30% QoQ and is now expected to double YoY in 2026; management calls it a major growth driver.
  • Automotive revenue returned to YoY growth after seven quarters of decline, driven by China EVs and content gains.
AI revenue $0.125B reported
Revenue $1.5133B -1% QoQ
EPS $0.64 +0% QoQ
Gross margin 38.53% reported

Что изменилось в этом квартале

01
AI

AI data center revenue expected to double in 2026.

AI data center is a major growth driver, with revenue growing over 30% Q/Q in Q1 and expected to double in 2026, driven by broad adoption across the power tree with multiple XPU vendors and leading hyperscalers. Management highlights a comprehensive power portfolio from grid to…

02
Demand

Believes cycle has bottomed, path to recovery.

Management expresses clear confidence in a cyclical recovery and secular growth drivers, pointing to an inflection point, strong AI data center growth, and expectations for sequential margin expansion throughout the year.

03
Margins

Q1 gross margin up for third consecutive quarter.

Reported gross margin was 38.53%, reinforcing the quarter's better-than-guided profitability.

04
Products

Treo revenue up 2.5x sequentially, design wins broaden.

AI data center revenue grew >30% QoQ and is now expected to double YoY in 2026; management calls it a major growth driver.

AI, капзатраты и спрос

AI

Платформа и монетизация

AI data center is a major growth driver, with revenue growing over 30% Q/Q in Q1 and expected to double in 2026, driven by broad adoption across the power tree with multiple XPU vendors and leading hyperscalers. Management highlights a comprehensive power portfolio from grid to processor, with engagements across all major power supply vendors and an expanding partnership with FlexPower. They also

Спрос

Заказы и конверсия

Believes cycle has bottomed, path to recovery.. Management expresses clear confidence in a cyclical recovery and secular growth drivers, pointing to an inflection point, strong AI data center growth, and expectations for sequential margin expansion throughout the year.

Капзатраты

Инвестиции и мощности

Capital expenditure intensity remains low at mid-single-digit percentage of revenue, with Q1 capex of $22 million (1.4% of revenue) and Q2 guidance of $25-35 million. Management states there is no plan to change capital intensity in the foreseeable future, citing existing capacity (including East Fishkill for Treo) and noting that revenue would need to be 25-30% higher to reach full utilization of

Тон · Confident

Management expresses clear confidence in a cyclical recovery and secular growth drivers, pointing to an inflection point, strong AI data center growth, and expectations for sequential margin expansion throughout the year.

Альфа цепочки поставок

A1

OnSemi's AI data center revenue grew >30% QoQ vs. expected high-teens, and expected to double YoY in 2026; this is now a key growth driver and ahead of their own prior expectations.

“Our AI data center business is accelerating, with Q1 revenue growing more than 30% quarter-to-quarter and doubling year-over-year, reflecting platform ramps and expanding engagement across the power tree.”
Hassan Al-Khawri
A2

OnSemi stated gross margin is expected to expand sequentially through 2026, driven by improving utilization and pricing actions, with a path to structurally over 50% longer-term.

“we expect expansion throughout the year as we're seeing the favorability from our FabRite activities that we've been taking through 25. As utilization improves... you'll see that as well.”
Pat Grant
A3

OnSemi is seeing early signs of tightness and allocation in certain power semiconductor technologies, driven by AI data center demand, while automotive recovery has not yet started.

“We are on allocation in certain technologies... I am starting to get calls... The strength is not yet shown in automotive, but it will come, and it will come with even stronger allocation with the automotive market.”
Hassan Al-Khawri
A4

Management highlighted increased 2026 EV momentum driven by IGBT traction inverter wins with a North American OEM transitioning to direct semiconductor sourcing, and strong SiC adoption in China 900V platforms.

“During the quarter, we were awarded a new IGBT-based traction inverter program with a North American OEM that is transitioning to direct semiconductor sourcing.”
Hassan Al-Khawri

Прогноз компании

ImprovingGuidance · revenue to $1.585B · was IN LINE last Q
Прогноз компании
ПоказательПериодДиапазонСерединаСтатус
CapexFY2026 Q2$25M–$35M$30MGUIDED
EPSFY2026 Q2$0.65–$0.77$0.71GUIDED
Gross marginFY2026 Q238%–40%39%GUIDED
RevenueFY2026 Q2$1.535B–$1.635B$1.585BGUIDED
RevenueAIFY2026$0.5B$0.5BRAISED

Надёжность прогнозов

5 / 6выполнено или превышено
Надёжность прогнозов
Дата прогнозаПоказательЦелевой периодПрогнозФактРезультат
FY2025 Q4EPSFY2026 Q1$0.56–$0.66$0.64Met / beat
FY2025 Q4Gross marginFY2026 Q137.5%–39.5%38.53%Met / beat
FY2025 Q4RevenueFY2026 Q1$1.44B–$1.54B$1.5133BMet / beat
FY2025 Q3EPSFY2025 Q4$0.57–$0.67$0.64Met / beat
FY2025 Q3Gross marginFY2025 Q437%–39%34.92%Missed
FY2025 Q3RevenueFY2025 Q4$1.48B–$1.58B$1.5301BMet / beat

Сигналы по компаниям

-25.2%
с момента звонка
$6.06$4.53
Клиенты

Continued design wins on NIO's 900V platform signal sustained SiC content growth.

“Recent expanded collaborations with Geely and NIO highlight our role in enabling these customers to scale globally with their next generation 900 volt platforms.”
Hassan Al-Khawri
+2.0%
с момента звонка
$54.81$55.90
Цепочка поставокАльфа цепочки поставок

Management highlighted increased 2026 EV momentum driven by IGBT traction inverter wins with a North American OEM transitioning to direct semiconductor sourcing, and strong SiC adoption in China 900V platforms. — Content growth persists in EV; direct sourcing reduces the power of the Tier-1 channel, making OnSemi more essential to OEM strategies.

+2.0%
с момента звонка
$54.81$55.90
Цепочка поставокАльфа цепочки поставок

OnSemi is seeing early signs of tightness and allocation in certain power semiconductor technologies, driven by AI data center demand, while automotive recovery has not yet started.