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MCO FY2025 Q3 IMPROVING

Отчётный звонок Moody's Corporation

Oct 22, 2025 · 05:00 ET NoemiRob FauberShivani Kark
Вывод Buzzberg

Record Q3 revenue and raised full-year guidance

Moody's reported a record Q3 with revenue exceeding $2B, raised full-year guidance across most metrics, and highlighted strong issuance trends, private credit flows, and AI-driven growth in Analytics. Management struck an optimistic tone on 2026 tailwinds including M&A recovery and data center financing. Quarterly revenue exceeded $2B for the first time, up 11% YoY; adjusted EPS of $3.92 (+22% YoY).

Вывод Buzzberg Record Q3 revenue and raised full-year guidance Moody's reported a record Q3 with revenue exceeding $2B, raised full-year guidance across most metrics, and highlighted strong issuance trends, private credit flows, and AI-driven growth in Analytics. Management struck an optimistic tone on 2026 tailwinds including M&A recovery and data center financing. Quarterly revenue exceeded $2B for the first time, up 11% YoY; adjusted EPS of $3.92 (+22% YoY). Читать полный анализСвернуть анализ

Moody's reported a record Q3 with revenue exceeding $2B, raised full-year guidance across most metrics, and highlighted strong issuance trends, private credit flows, and AI-driven growth in Analytics. Management struck an optimistic tone on 2026 tailwinds including M&A recovery and data center financing. Quarterly revenue exceeded $2B for the first time, up 11% YoY; adjusted EPS of $3.92 (+22% YoY).

  • MIS (ratings) revenue grew 12% with record issuance; leveraged finance and structured finance drove activity.
  • Private credit-related activity surged 60%+ in revenue, with many deals returning to public markets for refinancing.
  • Moody's Analytics ARR hit nearly $3.4B (+8%); KYC and AI-driven solutions had strong wins with banks and tech firms.
Revenue $2.007B reported
EPS $3.92 reported
Gross margin 69.36% reported
MA op margin 34.3% reported

Что изменилось в этом квартале

01
Guidance

Record Q3 revenue and raised full-year guidance

Guidance tone

02
Demand

Refunding walls projected to surpass $5 trillion over next four years

Management expresses strong conviction in the business momentum, raising guidance across nearly all metrics and highlighting record results and a robust pipeline.

03
Private Credit

Private credit revenue grew over 60%, deal counts up 70%

MIS (ratings) revenue grew 12% with record issuance; leveraged finance and structured finance drove activity.

04
AI

AI-driven sales win with Tier 1 U.S. bank

Management is actively monetizing AI through new agentic solutions, smart APIs, and embedding proprietary data into partner platforms like Salesforce. They report tangible momentum with large customer wins (e.g., $3M+ deal with a Tier 1 U.S. bank) and are using AI internally to…

AI, капзатраты и спрос

AI

Платформа и монетизация

Management is actively monetizing AI through new agentic solutions, smart APIs, and embedding proprietary data into partner platforms like Salesforce. They report tangible momentum with large customer wins (e.g., $3M+ deal with a Tier 1 U.S. bank) and are using AI internally to drive efficiency and margin expansion.

Спрос

Заказы и конверсия

Refunding walls projected to surpass $5 trillion over next four years. Management expresses strong conviction in the business momentum, raising guidance across nearly all metrics and highlighting record results and a robust pipeline.

Капзатраты

Инвестиции и мощности

Capex was not explicitly discussed. Management references continued investment in AI, data infrastructure, and emerging markets, but no specific capital expenditure figures were provided.

Тон · Confident

Management expresses strong conviction in the business momentum, raising guidance across nearly all metrics and highlighting record results and a robust pipeline.

Альфа цепочки поставок

A1

Private credit refinancing into public bond markets is creating a 'deferred maturity wall' as unrated direct lending deals migrate to rated BSL markets, with issuers saving 200-400 bps on average.

“we're seeing a growing number of private deals returning to the public debt markets for refinancing... issuers are realizing material savings, on average, something like 200 basis points”
Rob Fauber

Прогноз компании

ImprovingGuidance tone
Прогноз компании
ПоказательПериодДиапазонСерединаСтатус
EPSFY2025$14.50–$14.75$14.62RAISED
Free cash flowFY2025$2.5B$2.5BRAISED
Op marginFY202551%51%RAISED
Op marginMAFY202533%33%RAISED
Op marginMISFY202563%–64%63.5%RAISED

Надёжность прогнозов

1 / 1выполнено или превышено
Надёжность прогнозов
Дата прогнозаПоказательЦелевой периодПрогнозФактРезультат
FY2026 Q1EPSFY2026 Q2$4.15–$4.30$4.68Met / beat

Сигналы по компаниям

-2.2%
с момента звонка
$263.00$257.26
Партнёры

Moody's is deepening its Salesforce partnership by embedding its data into AgentForce 360 and agentic tools, which should drive more sticky revenue for both companies.

“we're expanding our partnership to make available our proprietary GenAI ready data and analytics within Salesforce's AgentForce 360”
Rob Fauber
+4.2%
с момента звонка
$544.84$567.64
Партнёры

Moody's partnership with MSCI addresses credit risk assessment in private credit markets, potentially expanding addressable revenue for both firms.

“we partnered with MSCI to be able to provide investors with that third-party view”
Rob Fauber