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LDOS FY2025 Q4 IMPROVING

Отчётный звонок Leidos Holdings, Inc.

Feb 17, 2026 · 08:00 ET Chris CageStuart DaviesTom Bell
Вывод Buzzberg

Q4 book-to-bill 1.3x, funded backlog up 15%

Leidos delivered strong FY2025 results and provided a positive but cautious FY2026 outlook. Management is aggressively investing in defense tech, co-investing with the DoD, and executing a new strategy 'North Star 2030' with an emphasis on high-growth pillars. FY2025 revenue grew 3.1% to $17.2B, with Q4 revenue of $4.2B, and both earnings and cash flow above guidance.

Вывод Buzzberg Q4 book-to-bill 1.3x, funded backlog up 15% Leidos delivered strong FY2025 results and provided a positive but cautious FY2026 outlook. Management is aggressively investing in defense tech, co-investing with the DoD, and executing a new strategy 'North Star 2030' with an emphasis on high-growth pillars. FY2025 revenue grew 3.1% to $17.2B, with Q4 revenue of $4.2B, and both earnings and cash flow above guidance. Читать полный анализСвернуть анализ

Leidos delivered strong FY2025 results and provided a positive but cautious FY2026 outlook. Management is aggressively investing in defense tech, co-investing with the DoD, and executing a new strategy 'North Star 2030' with an emphasis on high-growth pillars. FY2025 revenue grew 3.1% to $17.2B, with Q4 revenue of $4.2B, and both earnings and cash flow above guidance.

  • FY2026 revenue guidance of $17.5-17.9B (up to 4% growth) with an exit rate of growth 'approaching double digits'.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin guide for FY2026 is mid-13s, normalizing for one-time benefits but implying margin decline.
  • M&A is a key strategy execution tool: Acquisitions of Kudu (done) and Intrust (pending), and divestiture of VARIC.
Revenue $4.207B reported
EPS $2.76 reported
Gross margin 16% reported
Op margin 11.2% reported

Что изменилось в этом квартале

01
Bookings

Q4 book-to-bill 1.3x, funded backlog up 15%

Leidos delivered strong FY2025 results and provided a positive but cautious FY2026 outlook. Management is aggressively investing in defense tech, co-investing with the DoD, and executing a new strategy 'North Star 2030' with an emphasis on high-growth pillars.

02
Capex

Capex to triple to $350 million in 2026

The company plans to triple capital expenditure investments in 2026 to $350 million, funding production capacity expansion and classified facility upgrades for high-return national priority projects. This level is situation-dependent and not necessarily the new normal, with a…

03
Guidance

Revenue growth accelerating to near double-digit by year-end

Guidance · revenue to $17.7B

04
Backlog

Shield and Microelectronics IDIQs not in backlog

Adjusted EBITDA margin guide for FY2026 is mid-13s, normalizing for one-time benefits but implying margin decline.

AI, капзатраты и спрос

AI

Платформа и монетизация

Management sees AI as a force multiplier, not a threat, and is embedding an 'AI-first' philosophy across the company, using internal adoption to drive efficiency and prototype solutions for customers. They expect AI to help shift customer budgets from maintenance to high-value mission outcomes.

Спрос

Заказы и конверсия

Golden Dome and FAA modernization catalysts for H2. Management expresses strong confidence in their strategy, citing robust bookings, a strong pipeline, and alignment with administration priorities, despite acknowledging challenges like the government shutdown.

Капзатраты

Инвестиции и мощности

The company plans to triple capital expenditure investments in 2026 to $350 million, funding production capacity expansion and classified facility upgrades for high-return national priority projects. This level is situation-dependent and not necessarily the new normal, with a focus on cash-on-cash returns.

Тон · Confident

Management expresses strong confidence in their strategy, citing robust bookings, a strong pipeline, and alignment with administration priorities, despite acknowledging challenges like the government shutdown.

Альфа цепочки поставок

A1

Leidos is tripling capital expenditures to $350M in 2026 to co-invest with the Department of War (DoD) on key franchise programs, including expanding production capacity for IFPC, hypersonics, and maritime systems.

“We are currently negotiating several important, exciting co-investment opportunities with this administration around critical war fighting and national needs, where we have unique capabilities... We will triple our capital expenditure inve…”
Tom Bell
A2

Leidos saw ~$7 billion in awards slip from Q4 into Q1 2026, and the company is on two key 10-year IDIQs: Missile Defense Agency's $151B SHIELD program (Golden Dome) and Defense Microelectronics Activity's $25B program, but these are not yet in backlog.

“We saw about $7 billion in awards slip from Q4 into this quarter. And we have now $20 billion of pending awards and a $49 billion of backlog.”
Tom Bell
A3

The VA medical exam (MDE) program will be recompeted in 2026, and Leidos expects a new vendor to be added, which will reduce Leidos's share of the work and impact health segment revenue and margin in the near term.

“In 2026, we expect modestly lower revenue and margin from the additional vendor on the VBA MDE work and continued transition on DIMSOM.”
Chris Cage

Прогноз компании

ImprovingGuidance · revenue to $17.7B
Прогноз компании
ПоказательПериодДиапазонСерединаСтатус
CapexFY2026350350RAISED
EPSFY2026$12.05–$12.45$12.25MAINTAINED
Free cash flowFY2026$1.4B$1.4BLOWERED
Op marginFY202613.5%13.5%LOWERED
RevenueFY2026$17.5B–$17.9B$17.7BMAINTAINED

Сигналы по компаниям

-25.7%
с момента звонка
$707.25$525.47
Партнёры

Leidos is a key supplier to Northrop's space programs (SDA Tranche 1), indicating a strong partnership but with no direct read on Northrop's trajectory.

“We've delivered two tranche one payloads to Northrop with the remaining ones coming this year.”
Tom Bell
-18.6%
с момента звонка
$653.55$532.21
+0.4%
с момента звонка
$200.80$201.60
-13.5%
с момента звонка
$242.33$209.51
Цепочка поставокАльфа цепочки поставок

Leidos saw ~$7 billion in awards slip from Q4 into Q1 2026, and the company is on two key 10-year IDIQs: Missile Defense Agency's $151B SHIELD program (Golden Dome) and Defense Microelectronics Activity's $25B program, but these are not yet in backlog. — The slippage is temporary, but the massive size of the IDIQs and pending awards indicates a strong, broad-based demand environment for missile defense, which will compete with traditional prime contractors for task orders.

-25.7%
с момента звонка
$707.25$525.47
+0.4%
с момента звонка
$200.80$201.60
-18.6%
с момента звонка
$653.55$532.21
Цепочка поставокАльфа цепочки поставок

Leidos is tripling capital expenditures to $350M in 2026 to co-invest with the Department of War (DoD) on key franchise programs, including expanding production capacity for IFPC, hypersonics, and maritime systems.