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GD FY2025 Q4 IMPROVING

Отчётный звонок General Dynamics Corporation

Jan 28, 2026 · 09:00 ET Danny DeebKim CorreaNicole Shelton
Вывод Buzzberg

Record backlog of $118 billion, up 30% year-over-year

General Dynamics delivered strong Q4 2025 results with revenue of $14.379B (up 7.8% QoQ), and provided constructive 2026 guidance with revenue of $54.3-54.8B and EPS of $16.10-16.20. The call emphasized robust order activity (total backlog grew 30% to a record $118B) and continued operational improvements across marine and aerospace, while highlighting tariff headwinds and capex investments to support growth. Q4 2025 revenue grew 7.8% YoY to $14.379B with EPS of $4.17, driven by strong growth in Marine Systems (+21.7%) and Aerospace (+16.5% annual growth).

Вывод Buzzberg Record backlog of $118 billion, up 30% year-over-year General Dynamics delivered strong Q4 2025 results with revenue of $14.379B (up 7.8% QoQ), and provided constructive 2026 guidance with revenue of $54.3-54.8B and EPS of $16.10-16.20. The call emphasized robust order activity (total backlog grew 30% to a record $118B) and continued operational improvements across marine and aerospace, while highlighting tariff headwinds and capex investments to support growth. Q4 2025 revenue grew 7.8% YoY to $14.379B with EPS of $4.17, driven by strong growth in Marine Systems (+21.7%) and Aerospace (+16.5% annual growth). Читать полный анализСвернуть анализ

General Dynamics delivered strong Q4 2025 results with revenue of $14.379B (up 7.8% QoQ), and provided constructive 2026 guidance with revenue of $54.3-54.8B and EPS of $16.10-16.20. The call emphasized robust order activity (total backlog grew 30% to a record $118B) and continued operational improvements across marine and aerospace, while highlighting tariff headwinds and capex investments to support growth. Q4 2025 revenue grew 7.8% YoY to $14.379B with EPS of $4.17, driven by strong growth in Marine Systems (+21.7%) and Aerospace (+16.5% annual growth).

  • Total 2025 book-to-bill of 1.5x, with record backlog of $118B (up 30% YoY), supporting multi-year growth outlook.
  • 2026 guidance of $54.3-54.8B revenue, EPS of $16.10-16.20, and operating margin of 10.4% (+20bps).
  • Capex to jump 79% to >$0.9B in 2026, focused on shipyards to accelerate submarine production, reflecting continued heavy investment phase.
Revenue $14.379B reported
EPS $4.17 reported
Gross margin 14.89% reported
Op margin 10.1% reported

Что изменилось в этом квартале

01
Demand

Record backlog of $118 billion, up 30% year-over-year

Management expressed confidence in strong demand, record backlog, and margin improvement opportunities, while reiterating a focus on execution and beating forecasts.

02
Demand

Gulfstream orders second best since 2008, book-to-bill 1.2x

Record backlog of $118 billion, up 30% year-over-year. Management expressed confidence in strong demand, record backlog, and margin improvement opportunities, while reiterating a focus on execution and beating forecasts.

03
Capex

2026 CapEx to surge 79% to over $900 million

Management is raising capital expenditures significantly, with 2026 CapEx expected to increase over $900 million, or 79% from 2025, equal to between 3.5% and 4% of sales. The investment is focused on supporting growth, particularly in shipyards to accelerate production and meet…

04
Cash Flow

Free cash flow conversion to return to 100% in 2026

2026 guidance of $54.3-54.8B revenue, EPS of $16.10-16.20, and operating margin of 10.4% (+20bps).

Спрос и капзатраты

Спрос

Заказы и конверсия

Record backlog of $118 billion, up 30% year-over-year. Management expressed confidence in strong demand, record backlog, and margin improvement opportunities, while reiterating a focus on execution and beating forecasts.

Капзатраты

Инвестиции и мощности

Management is raising capital expenditures significantly, with 2026 CapEx expected to increase over $900 million, or 79% from 2025, equal to between 3.5% and 4% of sales. The investment is focused on supporting growth, particularly in shipyards to accelerate production and meet future demand, with continued investment expected in subsequent years.

Тон · Confident

Management expressed confidence in strong demand, record backlog, and margin improvement opportunities, while reiterating a focus on execution and beating forecasts.

Альфа цепочки поставок

A1

Europe land systems (Germany) awarded >$4B for Eagle tactical vehicles and >$10B in new awards in 2025, with production ramp shifting into 2027, indicating multi-year revenue tailwind not captured in 2026 guidance.

“In Germany, we received two awards for more than $4 billion for our Eagle tactical vehicles... Altogether, a nice order distribution both geographically and across our product portfolio.”
Danny Deeb
A2

Gulfstream's G600 earnings fell $75M due to 3 fewer deliveries, $21M liquidated damages variance (year-ago favorable settlements), higher overhead, and new tariffs in the quarter; non-recurring in nature but highlights ongoing supply-chain and cost pressures on legacy line.

“The margin issue was the G600 product line, which had $75 million less in earnings. That was attributable to the delivery of three fewer aircraft in the quarter, a $21 million variance in liquidated damages and favorable settlements in the…”
Danny Deeb
A3

Marine Systems profitability up 72.5% in Q4 on 210bps margin improvement, driven by Electric Boat productivity (13% more submarine tonnage), suggesting sustained operational leverage as supply chain improves and learning curves progress.

“Operating earnings of $345 million are up 72.5% on a 210 basis point improvement in operating margin... This represents a meaningful improvement and real progress in submarine construction.”
Phoebe Novakovich
A4

Tariffs totaled $41M for aerospace in 2025, with higher impact expected in 2026 as cash outlays from 2025 hit earnings at aircraft delivery; management notes pricing adjustments will follow but with a lag, pressuring margins near-term.

“The impact of tariffs in 2025 was $41 million... tariffs that we are going to see in 2026 are largely based on cash that we expended in 2025. It will be higher than in 2025, so higher than the $41 million, but those tariffs are contemplate…”
Danny Deeb

Прогноз компании

ImprovingGuidance · revenue to $54.55B
Прогноз компании
ПоказательПериодДиапазонСерединаСтатус
CapexFY2026$0B$0BGUIDED
EPSFY2026$16.10–$16.20$16.15GUIDED
Free cash flowFY2026$0B$0BGUIDED
Op marginFY202610.4%10.4%GUIDED
RevenueFY2026$54.3B–$54.8B$54.55BMAINTAINED