Отчётный звонок Akamai Technologies, Inc.
CIS revenue growth accelerates to 45%, expected to further accelerate in 2026
Akamai reported a strong end to 2025, with cloud infrastructure services (CIS) growing 45% and security products showing robust growth. The company announced a major 4-year, $200M inference cloud deal, significant capex investments including a $250M buildout and a $200M memory cost hit, and guided to accelerated CIS growth in 2026. CIS revenue grew 45% YoY in Q4 2025, accelerating from 39% growth in Q3.
Вывод Buzzberg CIS revenue growth accelerates to 45%, expected to further accelerate in 2026 Akamai reported a strong end to 2025, with cloud infrastructure services (CIS) growing 45% and security products showing robust growth. The company announced a major 4-year, $200M inference cloud deal, significant capex investments including a $250M buildout and a $200M memory cost hit, and guided to accelerated CIS growth in 2026. CIS revenue grew 45% YoY in Q4 2025, accelerating from 39% growth in Q3. Читать полный анализСвернуть анализ
Akamai reported a strong end to 2025, with cloud infrastructure services (CIS) growing 45% and security products showing robust growth. The company announced a major 4-year, $200M inference cloud deal, significant capex investments including a $250M buildout and a $200M memory cost hit, and guided to accelerated CIS growth in 2026. CIS revenue grew 45% YoY in Q4 2025, accelerating from 39% growth in Q3.
- API security grew >100% YoY, exiting the year with a run rate exceeding $100M.
- Akamai signed a 4-year, $200M commitment for AI inference cloud with a major US tech company, with revenue starting in Q4 2026.
- 2026 capex will be significantly higher than prior years, fueled by a $250M AI inference cloud buildout plus an additional ~$200M due to memory chip price inflation.
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Самые значимые изменения по итогам звонка.
Akamai signs $200M four-year AI inference cloud deal starting Q4 2026
Initial AI inference cloud capacity sold out ahead of GA
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Plans to increase AI inference capacity about tenfold with $250M investment
Memory chip inflation adds $200M to 2026 CapEx forecast
Security growth driven by API security (over 100% YoY) and GuardaCore
Фактические результаты
| Показатель | Факт | Изменение |
|---|---|---|
| Выручка | $1.0949B | +4% к/к |
| EPS | $1.84 | -1% к/к |
| Валовая маржа | 54.56% | Факт |
| Операционная маржа | 13.82% | Факт |
| Свободный денежный поток | $0.1619B | -34% к/к |
| Капзатраты | $0.2047B | Факт |
Прогноз компании
| Показатель | Период | Диапазон | Середина | Статус |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Капзатраты | FY2026 | $4.4B–$4.55B | $4.475B | Обозначен |
| EPS | FY2026 | $6.20–$7.20В соответствии с консенсусом | $6.70 | Обозначен |
| Операционная маржа | FY2026 | 26%–28% | 27% | Обозначен |
| Выручка | FY2026 | $4.4B–$4.55BВ соответствии с консенсусом | $4.475B | Обозначен |
Оценка менеджмента
Confident
Management expressed strong enthusiasm about the AI inference cloud opportunity, highlighted record demand and a large new contract, and maintained a positive outlook despite margin dilution from investments.
Оценка AI от менеджмента
Management emphasized strong AI tailwinds driving growth in cloud infrastructure services, with the launch of Akamai Inference Cloud using NVIDIA Blackwell GPUs to enable distributed, low-latency AI inference at the edge. They reported a major $200 million, four-year commitment from a leading US tech company for AI inference cloud, which ramps in Q4 2026. They also noted that AI is expanding the a
Инвестиции и мощности
Akamai is significantly increasing capital expenditures in 2026, with full-year CapEx expected at 23%-26% of revenue, up from prior levels. This includes approximately $250 million to augment the AI inference cloud and an additional $200 million due to inflationary pressure in memory chips and server costs. The higher CapEx is primarily allocated to compute infrastructure to support rapid CIS grow
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Партнёры
The first 20-city deployment of NVIDIA Blackwell GPUs for the Akamai Inference Cloud is already sold out before GA, and the company is deploying an order-of-magnitude more capacity in 2026 with a $250M capex investment. — This shows that edge-inference demand is robust and that NVIDIA GPUs are the gating factor, strengthening NVIDIA's position.
Доказательства
“Akamai Inference Cloud does just that by incorporating NVIDIA Blackwell GPUs into Akamai's distributed cloud infrastructure”
Конкуренты
Akamai is winning compute deals against cloud competitors, potentially including Nutanix, based on performance and support.
Доказательства
“A very well-known antivirus software company chose Akamai's cloud for their VPN service telling us they liked our performance and support better than what they previously got from two of our cloud competitors.”
Akamai is taking multiservice deals away from competitors, including potentially Cloudflare and other hyperscalers.
Доказательства
“A leading social networking platform that was using us on a pay-as-you-go basis committed to consolidate their multi-vendor stack onto Akamai's cloud platform, providing us with another takeaway from a hyperscaler.”
Цепочка поставок
Akamai is seeing a dramatic rise in the price of memory chips, which is forcing it to increase its 2026 capex forecast by ~$200M; this signals that memory costs are an industry-wide headwind that will hit all server makers and buyers. — This indicates that the memory pricing surge is affecting compute infrastructure costs across the industry, benefiting pure-play memory makers like Micron while pressuring the margins of data center operators.
Доказательства
“Specifically, we are seeing a dramatic increase in the price of memory chips, which is driving up the cost of servers. This supply constraint has necessitated an upward adjustment to our CapEx forecast of approximately $200 million for”
Альфа цепочки поставок · 3с момента звонка
Akamai is seeing a dramatic rise in the price of memory chips, which is forcing it to increase its 2026 capex forecast by ~$200M; this signals that memory costs are an industry-wide headwind that will hit all server makers and buyers.
Доказательства
“Specifically, we are seeing a dramatic increase in the price of memory chips, which is driving up the cost of servers. This supply constraint has necessitated an upward adjustment to our CapEx forecast of approximately $200 million for 202…”
The first 20-city deployment of NVIDIA Blackwell GPUs for the Akamai Inference Cloud is already sold out before GA, and the company is deploying an order-of-magnitude more capacity in 2026 with a $250M capex investment.
Доказательства
“The GPUs we deployed into 20 cities are already those pretty much sold out. So we're adding an order of magnitude more capacity, and that's what the $250 million investment is for.”
Akamai is investing ~$250M to augment the AI inference cloud, but it is also facing an additional ~$200M in higher hardware costs due to memory inflation, shifting the economics of their capex-to-revenue model.
Доказательства
“Excluding the impact of the increased hardware pricing, 2026 CapEx would have trended within the 18% to 22% range.”
Методология и полнота
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