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ADI FY2026 Q3 IMPROVING

Отчётный звонок Analog Devices, Inc.

Aug 19, 2026 · 10:00 ET Jeff AmbrosiRichard PuccioVincent Roche
Вывод Buzzberg

Data center and energy SAM more than doubled from a year ago

ADI reported a record quarter with strong growth across all end markets, particularly data center and industrial. Management raised guidance significantly, citing an unprecedented demand cycle for AI infrastructure and energy systems, and outlined a long-term strategy to capitalize on the 'grid-to-chip' opportunity. Revenue was $4.02B, up 40% YoY, with all end markets growing. Data center is the primary growth driver, now accounting for 80% of communications revenue.

Вывод Buzzberg Data center and energy SAM more than doubled from a year ago ADI reported a record quarter with strong growth across all end markets, particularly data center and industrial. Management raised guidance significantly, citing an unprecedented demand cycle for AI infrastructure and energy systems, and outlined a long-term strategy to capitalize on the 'grid-to-chip' opportunity. Revenue was $4.02B, up 40% YoY, with all end markets growing. Data center is the primary growth driver, now accounting for 80% of communications revenue. Читать полный анализСвернуть анализ

ADI reported a record quarter with strong growth across all end markets, particularly data center and industrial. Management raised guidance significantly, citing an unprecedented demand cycle for AI infrastructure and energy systems, and outlined a long-term strategy to capitalize on the 'grid-to-chip' opportunity. Revenue was $4.02B, up 40% YoY, with all end markets growing. Data center is the primary growth driver, now accounting for 80% of communications revenue.

  • Gross margin expanded to 72.5%, and management guides to 74% next quarter, driven by mix and pricing power.
  • The company sees its 2030 data center+energy SAM as more than doubling from a year ago, driven by power and optical content growth.
  • Inventory levels are being built to support demand but channel weeks remain below target, indicating a supply-constrained environment.
Revenue $4.0219B +11% QoQ
EPS $3.45 +12% QoQ
Gross margin 67.32% reported
Op margin 40.1% reported

Что изменилось в этом квартале

01
AI

Data center and energy SAM more than doubled from a year ago

Management highlighted that AI demand is accelerating across data center and energy, with data center revenue growing over 100% year-over-year in both optical and power, and they see the 2030 data center and energy SAM more than doubling from prior expectations. They also…

02
AI

OCS revenue expected to double this year and again in 2027

Management highlighted that AI demand is accelerating across data center and energy, with data center revenue growing over 100% year-over-year in both optical and power, and they see the 2030 data center and energy SAM more than doubling from prior expectations. They also…

03
AI

Data center optical and power grew over 100% year-over-year

Management highlighted that AI demand is accelerating across data center and energy, with data center revenue growing over 100% year-over-year in both optical and power, and they see the 2030 data center and energy SAM more than doubling from prior expectations. They also…

04
Margins

Gross margin expected to reach 74% in Q4

Reported gross margin was 67.32%, reinforcing the quarter's better-than-guided profitability.

AI, капзатраты и спрос

AI

Платформа и монетизация

Management highlighted that AI demand is accelerating across data center and energy, with data center revenue growing over 100% year-over-year in both optical and power, and they see the 2030 data center and energy SAM more than doubling from prior expectations. They also emphasized a second-generation AI opportunity in physical world applications like robotics and autonomous mobility.

Спрос

Заказы и конверсия

Management noted broad-based growth across all end markets, with industrial, automotive, and communications all growing sequentially and year-over-year. They said customers are still running lean on inventory, and book-to-bill is above one, with design activity providing confidence in multi-year growth.

Капзатраты

Инвестиции и мощности

Capital expenditure is being maintained within the long-term model of 4% to 6% of revenue. The company is investing in hybrid manufacturing, adding tools and external wafer capacity to support demand, and scenario planning for potential capacity additions if growth sustains.

Тон · Bullish

Management expressed strong confidence in multi-year growth driven by AI and energy, citing record results, accelerating demand, and raising SAM expectations significantly.

Ограничения

Manufacturing capacityemerging

Industry capacity may be insufficient for the new growth trajectory, with lead times starting to extend.

If ADI cannot secure enough capacity, it could constrain revenue growth and market share gains, while expanded capacity could require higher capex.

“we are scenario planning what this could look like if this kind of growth sustains and how we would balance across our hybrid manufacturing with additional external wafers, but also whether we need to add and many more.”
Vincent Roche

Альфа цепочки поставок

A1

ADI's grid-to-chip strategy means its data center revenue is now heavily tied to the build-out of power infrastructure, not just compute. Management notes a 1% efficiency gain (97% to 98%) reduces heat loss by 50%, making power delivery a major competitive battleground.

“the 1% difference between 97% and 98% efficiency may not sound like very much, But a 97% conversion efficiency loses roughly 50% more energy through heat than a 98% solution.”
Vincent Roche
A2

ADI is building strategic 'die bank' inventory ahead of demand, but its own channel weeks have fallen below its 6-7 week target, indicating demand is outpacing supply. This is a leading indicator for potential pricing power and supply tightness in analog components.

“We increased inventory $83 million sequentially as we continued to build strategic die bank to support accelerating demand. We exited fiscal Q3 with record balance sheet inventory and increased inventory at our distributors. Despite the in…”
Richard Puccio

Прогноз компании

ImprovingGuidance · revenue to $4.3B · was IN LINE last Q
Прогноз компании
ПоказательПериодДиапазонСерединаСтатус
EPSFY2027 Q1$3.71–$4.01$3.86GUIDED
Gross marginFY2027 Q174%74%GUIDED
Op marginFY2027 Q151%–53%52%GUIDED
RevenueFY2027 Q1$4.2B–$4.4B$4.3BGUIDED

Надёжность прогнозов

4 / 6выполнено или превышено
Надёжность прогнозов
Дата прогнозаПоказательЦелевой периодПрогнозФактРезультат
FY2026 Q2EPSFY2026 Q3$3.15–$3.45$3.45Met / beat
FY2026 Q2Op marginFY2026 Q348%–50%40.1%Missed
FY2026 Q2RevenueFY2026 Q3$3.8B–$4B$4.0219BMet / beat
FY2026 Q1EPSFY2026 Q2$2.73–$3.03$3.09Met / beat
FY2026 Q1Op marginFY2026 Q246.5%–48.5%38.08%Missed
FY2026 Q1RevenueFY2026 Q2$3.4B–$3.6B$3.6235BMet / beat

Сигналы по компаниям

+0.7%
с момента звонка
$260.17$261.95
-4.5%
с момента звонка
$669.84$639.35
Цепочка поставокАльфа цепочки поставок

ADI's grid-to-chip strategy means its data center revenue is now heavily tied to the build-out of power infrastructure, not just compute. Management notes a 1% efficiency gain (97% to 98%) reduces heat loss by 50%, making power delivery a major competitive battleground. — The focus on energy efficiency and power delivery highlights the importance of companies providing thermal management and power infrastructure for data centers.

-2.1%
с момента звонка
$269.69$263.94
Цепочка поставокАльфа цепочки поставок

ADI is building strategic 'die bank' inventory ahead of demand, but its own channel weeks have fallen below its 6-7 week target, indicating demand is outpacing supply. This is a leading indicator for potential pricing power and supply tightness in analog components. — Signals a potential industry-wide analog supply shortage, giving pricing power to suppliers like ADI and its competitor TI.

“We increased inventory $83 million sequentially as we continued to build strategic die bank to support accelerating demand. We exited fiscal Q3 with record balance sheet inventory and increased inventory at our distributors. Despite the”
Richard Puccio