u/nss106 ·
Reddit — r/ValueInvesting
· 2026년 5월 16일, 01:57
· ⬆ 16 포인트
· 💬 20 개 댓글
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AI 요약
=== 요약 ===
- 본 게시물은 Andrew Ross Sorkin의 '1929'를 리뷰하며, 당시와 현재의 인간 심리(탐욕, 투기, 관세) 간의 유사성을 강조하는 한편 현대적 안전장치(SEC, 예금 보험, Fed 도구)를 언급함.
- 저자는 역사적 리스크와 오늘날의 규제를 대조하면서도, 최근의 뱅크런(SVB, First Republic)을 공포와 전염이 여전히 존재한다는 증거로 인정함.
- 품질 평가: 투기/논평 – 연구 기반의 DD(심층 분석)는 아니며, 전반적으로 경계하는 톤의 성찰적 서평임.
=== 시장 심리 ===
혼조세
=== 투자 아이디어 ===
본 게시물에는 실행 가능한 투자 아이디어가 없습니다.
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I finished reading Andrew Ross Sorkin’s “1929” and curious to hear if others have read it too.
I think what struck me the most were the parallels between then and now particularly with human psychology and human behavior: greed, speculation, gambling mentality, almost to the point of addiction, and the general mob mentality that “this time is different.” Back then everyone used to trade on margin, even Charlie Chaplain and Winston Churchill. And back then Tariffs were all the rage too, in the spirit of bringing jobs and wealth back to the American heartland.
And yet, this time is different. Thanks to the panic of 1929 and the subsequent depression, behaviors which were commonplace back then like wash sales to avoid taxes, insider trading, banks lending depositor money for speculation, are all illegal now. Out of the darkness of the depression came the Glass-Steagall Act, the SEC, deposit insurance and getting off the gold standard. The federal reserve of the 1920s was still new and unproven. Today’s federal reserve is far more battle tested with far more tools in their arsenal.
Still though, we experience the same human psychology which led to all the bank runs and subsequent bank failures, how fear can wipe out confidence and cause contagion so quickly in what happened with Silicon Valley bank, First Republic, as recently as a couple years ago.
The book is a good one—very thought provoking. I highly recommend it! Anyone else read it? Curious to hear your reactions especially in light of the parallels today.