US ground invasion of Iran priced in?

I feel a ground invasion is almost inevitable at this point, not a full scale invasion of the whole country but maybe starting with taking Kharg island. \*Trump claiming to be in productive talks, which Iran denies (I think he’s just trying to calm the global markets.) \*Military build up with special focus on elite regiments and marines \* US Secretary of State Marco Rubio told a congressional briefing that the US may need to physically secure nuclear material inside Iran. “People are going to have to go and get it,” he said, without specifying who. -Al Jazeera \* Iran has been laying traps and moving military personnel and air defenses to Kharg Island in preparation for a possible US operation to take control of the island, according to people familiar with US intelligence reporting. -CNN What do y’all think? I think markets would react quite negatively which is dumb imo as there is quite a high risk of it happening.