RTX Corporation 실적 발표
Full-year book-to-bill of 1.56 and record backlog of $268 billion
RTX reported strong FY2025 Q4 and full-year results, with revenue up 11% to $88.6B, EPS $6.29, and FCF $7.9B. The 2026 outlook calls for continued growth (organic revenue +5-6%, EPS $6.60-$6.80, FCF $8.25-$8.75B) driven by commercial aftermarket and defense demand. Management highlighted improving GTF MRO output, declining AOGs, and significant capacity investments. Full-year 2025 revenue $88.6B (+11% organic), EPS $6.29 (+10%), FCF $7.9B (+$3.4B).
Buzzberg 분석 Full-year book-to-bill of 1.56 and record backlog of $268 billion RTX reported strong FY2025 Q4 and full-year results, with revenue up 11% to $88.6B, EPS $6.29, and FCF $7.9B. The 2026 outlook calls for continued growth (organic revenue +5-6%, EPS $6.60-$6.80, FCF $8.25-$8.75B) driven by commercial aftermarket and defense demand. Management highlighted improving GTF MRO output, declining AOGs, and significant capacity investments. Full-year 2025 revenue $88.6B (+11% organic), EPS $6.29 (+10%), FCF $7.9B (+$3.4B). 전체 분석 보기분석 접기
RTX reported strong FY2025 Q4 and full-year results, with revenue up 11% to $88.6B, EPS $6.29, and FCF $7.9B. The 2026 outlook calls for continued growth (organic revenue +5-6%, EPS $6.60-$6.80, FCF $8.25-$8.75B) driven by commercial aftermarket and defense demand. Management highlighted improving GTF MRO output, declining AOGs, and significant capacity investments. Full-year 2025 revenue $88.6B (+11% organic), EPS $6.29 (+10%), FCF $7.9B (+$3.4B).
- 2026 guidance: revenue $92-93B, EPS $6.60-6.80, FCF $8.25-8.75B, CapEx $3.1B.
- GTF MRO output up 26% in 2025 (39% in Q4); AOGs declined and expected to continue falling.
- Raytheon munitions output up 20% in 2025, with further increases planned in 2026.
지금 중요한 점
이번 발표에서 가장 의미 있는 변화를 정리했습니다.
Raytheon munitions output up 20% in 2025, further increases planned for 2026
GTF AOGs declined in Q4 and expected to continue decreasing in 2026
핵심 내용 3개 더 보기
2026 capex raised to $3.1 billion to support capacity expansion
Commercial aftermarket expected to grow high single digits in 2026
Raytheon backlog mix international now 47%, up 3 points
보고 실적
| 지표 | 보고값 | 변화 |
|---|---|---|
| 매출 | $24.238B | +8% 전분기 대비 |
| 주당순이익(EPS) | $1.55 | -9% 전분기 대비 |
| 매출총이익률 | 19.46% | 보고값 |
| 영업이익률 | 10.71% | 보고값 |
| 잉여현금흐름 | $3.195B | -21% 전분기 대비 |
| 자본지출 | $0.97B | 보고값 |
향후 가이던스
| 지표 | 기간 | 범위 | 중간값 | 상태 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 자본지출 | FY2026 | $3.1B | $3.1B | 신규 제시 |
| 주당순이익(EPS) | FY2026 | $6.60–$6.80컨센서스 부합 | $6.70 | 유지 |
| 잉여현금흐름 | FY2026 | $8.25B–$8.75B컨센서스 부합 | $8.5B | 유지 |
| 영업이익률COLLINS | FY2026 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 유지 |
| 매출 | FY2026 | $92B–$93B컨센서스 부합 | $92.5B | 유지 |
경영진 분석
Confident
Management repeatedly emphasized strong demand, record backlog, and momentum, while framing challenges like GTF and tariffs as manageable.
경영진의 AI 분석
Management mentioned deploying proprietary data analytics and AI tools across factories to monitor KPIs, identify bottlenecks, and track equipment health, noting benefits such as reduced cycle times and inventory. They plan to expand coverage across their footprint in 2026.
투자 및 생산능력
Management raised 2026 capex guidance to $3.1 billion, up from $2.6 billion in 2025, investing in capacity expansion across Raytheon, Collins, and Pratt, including munitions, sensors, castings, and forging production.
기업발표 이후 수익률
고객
Pratt & Whitney GTF MRO output rose 26% in FY2025 and 39% in Q4, accelerating despite a 40% rise in heavy shop visits, signaling improving repair capacity and falling AOGs. — Faster MRO turnaround reduces AOGs for A320neo operators, boosting fleet availability for Airbus and lessors, and may ease pressure on Pratt's spares supply.
근거
“the rest will go between Airbus and spares.”
공급망
Pratt & Whitney GTF MRO output rose 26% in FY2025 and 39% in Q4, accelerating despite a 40% rise in heavy shop visits, signaling improving repair capacity and falling AOGs. — Faster MRO turnaround reduces AOGs for A320neo operators, boosting fleet availability for Airbus and lessors, and may ease pressure on Pratt's spares supply.
근거
“MRO output was up 39% in the fourth quarter and up 26% for the full year, even as heavier shop visits increased 40% in 2025.”
공급망 알파 · 3발표 이후 수익률
Pratt & Whitney GTF MRO output rose 26% in FY2025 and 39% in Q4, accelerating despite a 40% rise in heavy shop visits, signaling improving repair capacity and falling AOGs.
Collins experienced a 90 bps tariff drag on margins in 2025 but expects a $75 million year-over-year tailwind in 2026 as tariffs moderate, indicating direct tariff exposure is now abating.
근거
“That was a 90 basis point drag. So if you were to add that back, you know, we saw Collins … about $75 million lower than [2025].”
Raytheon output on critical munitions (GEMT, AMRAAM, Coyote) rose over 20% in 2025, and the company plans further significant increases in 2026 on SM-6 and Tomahawk, underscoring capacity ramp in high-demand defense programs.
근거
“We saw output increase by 20% across a number of our critical programs, including GEMT, AMRAAM, and Coyote … In 2026, we expect to significantly increase output again.”
방법론 및 범위
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