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NKE FY2026 Q1 SOFTENING

Nike, Inc. 실적 발표

Sep 30, 2025 · 13:00 ET Elliott HillMatt FriendPaul Trestle
Buzzberg 분석

Nike running revenue grew over 20% in Q1

Nike reported Q1 FY26 results with revenue down 1% currency-neutral and EPS $0.49, while guiding Q2 revenue down low single digits and gross margins down 300-375 bps due to tariff escalation and restructuring. Management highlighted progress in running (+20%) and wholesale, but cautioned that sportswear, Greater China, and Nike Direct remain challenged. The new 'sport offense' organizational shift is expected to drive long-term innovation and consumer engagement. Q1 revenue -1% CN, EPS $0.49; gross margin dropped 320 bps to 42.2% on tariff and promotional headwinds.

Buzzberg 분석 Nike running revenue grew over 20% in Q1 Nike reported Q1 FY26 results with revenue down 1% currency-neutral and EPS $0.49, while guiding Q2 revenue down low single digits and gross margins down 300-375 bps due to tariff escalation and restructuring. Management highlighted progress in running (+20%) and wholesale, but cautioned that sportswear, Greater China, and Nike Direct remain challenged. The new 'sport offense' organizational shift is expected to drive long-term innovation and consumer engagement. Q1 revenue -1% CN, EPS $0.49; gross margin dropped 320 bps to 42.2% on tariff and promotional headwinds. 전체 분석 보기분석 접기

Nike reported Q1 FY26 results with revenue down 1% currency-neutral and EPS $0.49, while guiding Q2 revenue down low single digits and gross margins down 300-375 bps due to tariff escalation and restructuring. Management highlighted progress in running (+20%) and wholesale, but cautioned that sportswear, Greater China, and Nike Direct remain challenged. The new 'sport offense' organizational shift is expected to drive long-term innovation and consumer engagement. Q1 revenue -1% CN, EPS $0.49; gross margin dropped 320 bps to 42.2% on tariff and promotional headwinds.

  • Q2 guide: revenue down low single digits, gross margin down 300-375 bps (175 bps from tariffs), SG&A up high single digits.
  • Annualized tariff cost increased to $1.5 billion, up from $1 billion 90 days ago.
  • Running grew 20% in Q1; North America wholesale returned to growth (+11%) with spring order book up year-over-year.
Revenue $11.72B reported
EPS $0.49 reported
Gross margin 42.18% reported
Op margin 7.91% reported

이번 분기에 달라진 점

01
Demand

Nike running revenue grew over 20% in Q1

Management acknowledged progress and momentum in key areas like running and North America, but repeatedly emphasized that recovery is early-stage and non-linear, with significant work ahead in other areas.

02
Guidance

Spring order book up year-over-year, led by sport

Guidance tone

03
Supply

New tariffs estimated at $1.5 billion annualized cost

Q2 guide: revenue down low single digits, gross margin down 300-375 bps (175 bps from tariffs), SG&A up high single digits.

04
Demand

Nike Direct not expected to return to growth in fiscal 26

Nike running revenue grew over 20% in Q1. Management acknowledged progress and momentum in key areas like running and North America, but repeatedly emphasized that recovery is early-stage and non-linear, with significant work ahead in other areas.

수요 및 자본지출

수요

수주 및 전환

Nike running revenue grew over 20% in Q1. Management acknowledged progress and momentum in key areas like running and North America, but repeatedly emphasized that recovery is early-stage and non-linear, with significant work ahead in other areas.

자본지출

투자 및 생산능력

Management discussed investments in refreshing retail environments, particularly in Greater China, and mentioned that this will require investment and time, but no specific capital expenditure guidance was provided.

톤 · Measured Optimism

Management acknowledged progress and momentum in key areas like running and North America, but repeatedly emphasized that recovery is early-stage and non-linear, with significant work ahead in other areas.

공급망 알파

A1

New reciprocal tariffs on footwear imports are now estimated to cost Nike $1.5 billion annually, up from $1 billion 90 days ago, with a 120 bps gross margin headwind for fiscal 2026.

“We now estimate the gross incremental cost to Nike on an annualized basis to be approximately $1.5 billion. Up from the $1 billion we shared 90 days ago.”
Matt Friend
A2

Nike's spring order book is up year-over-year led by sport, suggesting wholesale partners are betting on new product innovation despite cautious consumer outlook.

“Our spring order book is up year over year. So excited with the progress that we're making from a product perspective...”
Elliott Hill

향후 가이던스

SofteningGuidance tone
지표기간범위중간값상태
Gross marginFY2026 Q23%–3.75%3.375%MAINTAINED

기업 영향 분석

발표 이후
고객

Nike's Amazon store is performing above expectations, indicating increased platform attractiveness for branded apparel and potentially higher Amazon marketplace fees.

“pleased with the launch of the Nike Brand Store on Amazon, where we are driving stronger engagement and sales than anticipated.”
Elliott Hill
-9.8%
발표 이후
$221.55$199.90
발표 이후
고객

Nike is investing in retail presentation at Dick's, strengthening the wholesale relationship but no direct demand signal.

“We reset over 1,300 running spaces in the quarter, from Dick's to Nordstrom's to Heartbreak Hill.”
Elliott Hill