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MKC FY2025 Q4 IMPROVING

McCormick & Company, Incorporated 실적 발표

Jan 22, 2026 · 03:00 ET Brendan FoleyMarcos GabrielPatan Freha
Buzzberg 분석

Volume growth continues, driven by brand investment and innovation

McCormick reported Q4 FY2025 organic sales growth of 2% and adjusted EPS of $0.86, in line with prior expectations. For FY2026, management guided 1-3% organic sales growth and adjusted EPS of $3.05-$3.13, reflecting volume-led growth and margin recovery despite headwinds from tariffs, inflation, and increased ERP and incentive compensation costs. The call highlighted tariff reduction by ~50% (to $70M annualized) but net year-over-year impact of $50M, mostly offset by mitigation. Management expects volume elasticity early in the year, then improvement. Cross-company signal was minimal; the only specific mention was of Grupo Herdez in the context of the minority interest elimination. Q4 FY2025: total organic sales +2%, consumer +3% (Americas vol+1%, price+2%), flavor solutions +1% (price+2%, vol -1%).

Buzzberg 분석 Volume growth continues, driven by brand investment and innovation McCormick reported Q4 FY2025 organic sales growth of 2% and adjusted EPS of $0.86, in line with prior expectations. For FY2026, management guided 1-3% organic sales growth and adjusted EPS of $3.05-$3.13, reflecting volume-led growth and margin recovery despite headwinds from tariffs, inflation, and increased ERP and incentive compensation costs. The call highlighted tariff reduction by ~50% (to $70M annualized) but net year-over-year impact of $50M, mostly offset by mitigation. Management expects volume elasticity early in the year, then improvement. Cross-company signal was minimal; the only specific mention was of Grupo Herdez in the context of the minority interest elimination. Q4 FY2025: total organic sales +2%, consumer +3% (Americas vol+1%, price+2%), flavor solutions +1% (price+2%, vol -1%). 전체 분석 보기분석 접기

McCormick reported Q4 FY2025 organic sales growth of 2% and adjusted EPS of $0.86, in line with prior expectations. For FY2026, management guided 1-3% organic sales growth and adjusted EPS of $3.05-$3.13, reflecting volume-led growth and margin recovery despite headwinds from tariffs, inflation, and increased ERP and incentive compensation costs. The call highlighted tariff reduction by ~50% (to $70M annualized) but net year-over-year impact of $50M, mostly offset by mitigation. Management expects volume elasticity early in the year, then improvement. Cross-company signal was minimal; the only specific mention was of Grupo Herdez in the context of the minority interest elimination. Q4 FY2025: total organic sales +2%, consumer +3% (Americas vol+1%, price+2%), flavor solutions +1% (price+2%, vol -1%).

  • Q4 adjusted gross margin -120bp due to higher commodity costs and tariffs, partially offset by CCI savings.
  • FY2026 guidance: organic sales +1-3%, total constant currency sales +12-16% (incl. Mexico acquisition), adj. operating income +15-19% constant currency, adj. EPS $3.05-$3.13.
  • Gross margin expected to expand in FY2026, recovering the 60bp compression in FY2025.
Revenue $1.8504B +7% QoQ
EPS $0.86 +1% QoQ
Gross margin 38.93% reported
Op margin 17.05% reported

이번 분기에 달라진 점

01
Demand

Volume growth continues, driven by brand investment and innovation

Management projects continued volume growth and margin recovery despite acknowledging ongoing inflation, tariff headwinds, and consumer uncertainty.

02
Margins

Gross margin expected to recover in 2026 after 60 bps decline

Reported gross margin was 38.93%, reinforcing the quarter's better-than-guided profitability.

03
Tariffs

Tariff exposure cut to $70 million annually, but $50 million headwind remains

Q4 adjusted gross margin -120bp due to higher commodity costs and tariffs, partially offset by CCI savings.

04
Digital

ERP implementation accelerated, shifting costs into 2026

FY2026 guidance: organic sales +1-3%, total constant currency sales +12-16% (incl. Mexico acquisition), adj. operating income +15-19% constant currency, adj. EPS $3.05-$3.13.

수요 및 자본지출

수요

수주 및 전환

Volume growth continues, driven by brand investment and innovation. Management projects continued volume growth and margin recovery despite acknowledging ongoing inflation, tariff headwinds, and consumer uncertainty.

자본지출

투자 및 생산능력

Capital expenditures in 2025 were $222 million, slightly below plans due to phasing, funding capacity increases, digital transformation, and cost optimization. For 2026, management expects increased digital investments, notably the ERP implementation, and continues to invest in supply chain capabilities and growth platforms.

톤 · Cautiously Optimisti

Management projects continued volume growth and margin recovery despite acknowledging ongoing inflation, tariff headwinds, and consumer uncertainty.

공급망 알파

A1

McCormick is compressing its ERP implementation waves, shifting more expenses into 2026 to reduce execution risk, but total program costs remain unchanged.

“we decided to consolidate the number of waves within the upcoming deployment phase, which moves forward our timeline… shifts more expense into 2026 than originally planned.”
Marcos Gabriel
A2

Despite a 50% reduction in gross annualized tariff exposure to ~$70M, the net year-over-year impact is still ~$50M and will be largely offset by productivity, sourcing, and pricing—not dropping to the bottom line.

“the incremental year-over-year cost impact of tariffs to be approximately $50 million in 2026. We plan to mitigate the vast majority of this impact with productivity savings.”
Marcos Gabriel
A3

McCormick expects Q1 2026 consumer volumes to be flat to slightly negative due to price elasticity from recent and upcoming pricing actions, then recover later in the year.

“we do expect an impact from elasticity in the first quarter… I wouldn't be surprised if we see volumes either flat to slightly negative in Q1”
Brendan Foley

향후 가이던스

ImprovingGuidance · revenue to 2% · was IN LINE last Q
향후 가이던스
지표기간범위중간값상태
EPSFY2026$3.05–$3.13$3.09INITIATED
RevenueFY20261%–3%2%INITIATED

기업 영향 분석

HERDEZ
비상장 기업
파트너

McCormick's acquisition of controlling interest eliminates Grupo Herdez's 25% stake in McCormick de Mexico, reducing Grupo Herdez's reported income going forward.

“the elimination of the minority interest, or 25% of McCormick de Mexico net income attributable to Grupo Herdez”
Marcos Gabriel