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LUV FY2025 Q4 IMPROVING

Southwest Airlines Company 실적 발표

Jan 29, 2026 · 05:00 ET Andrew WattersonBob JordanDanielle Collins
Buzzberg 분석

Full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guided at least $4, up from $0.93 in 2025.

Southwest reported strong Q4 2025 results (record revenue, EBIT above guidance) and guided FY2026 adjusted EPS of at least $4.00, a massive step up from $0.93. Management highlighted the successful rollout of assigned seating and extra legroom, with further upside expected as booking behavior normalizes. Boeing was confirmed as a reliable supplier with 66 737-8 deliveries planned. FY2025 EPS of $0.93; Q4 revenue record $7.4B.

Buzzberg 분석 Full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guided at least $4, up from $0.93 in 2025. Southwest reported strong Q4 2025 results (record revenue, EBIT above guidance) and guided FY2026 adjusted EPS of at least $4.00, a massive step up from $0.93. Management highlighted the successful rollout of assigned seating and extra legroom, with further upside expected as booking behavior normalizes. Boeing was confirmed as a reliable supplier with 66 737-8 deliveries planned. FY2025 EPS of $0.93; Q4 revenue record $7.4B. 전체 분석 보기분석 접기

Southwest reported strong Q4 2025 results (record revenue, EBIT above guidance) and guided FY2026 adjusted EPS of at least $4.00, a massive step up from $0.93. Management highlighted the successful rollout of assigned seating and extra legroom, with further upside expected as booking behavior normalizes. Boeing was confirmed as a reliable supplier with 66 737-8 deliveries planned. FY2025 EPS of $0.93; Q4 revenue record $7.4B.

  • FY2026 EPS guided 'at least $4.00' (floor), with Q1 2026 at least $0.45.
  • Q1 2026 RASM expected up at least 9.5% YoY; capacity up 1-2%.
  • CASM-X up ~3.5% in Q1, including 1.1pts from seat removal.
Revenue $7.442B +7% QoQ
EPS $0.58 reported
Gross margin 20.3% reported
Op margin 5.25% reported

이번 분기에 달라진 점

01
Guidance

Full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guided at least $4, up from $0.93 in 2025.

Guidance · revenue to 9.5%

02
Revenue

Q1 2026 RASM expected up at least 9.5% year-over-year.

FY2025 EPS of $0.93; Q4 revenue record $7.4B.

03
Product

Assigned seating and extra legroom launch exceeded expectations.

FY2026 EPS guided 'at least $4.00' (floor), with Q1 2026 at least $0.45.

04
Demand

Corporate business up mid-single digits, strong January bookings.

Management expressed strong confidence in 2026 guidance and momentum, citing record revenues, operational improvements, and successful implementation of major initiatives.

수요 및 자본지출

수요

수주 및 전환

Corporate business up mid-single digits, strong January bookings.. Management expressed strong confidence in 2026 guidance and momentum, citing record revenues, operational improvements, and successful implementation of major initiatives.

자본지출

투자 및 생산능력

Southwest guided full year 2026 net capital spending to $3 billion to $3.5 billion, down from prior levels, reflecting aircraft deliveries and retirements while maintaining investment-grade rating.

톤 · Upbeat

Management expressed strong confidence in 2026 guidance and momentum, citing record revenues, operational improvements, and successful implementation of major initiatives.

공급망 알파

A1

Southwest expects 66 Boeing 737-8 deliveries in 2026 and will retire 60 aircraft, implying net fleet growth of 6 units despite a flat fleet count in 2025.

“We expect 66 Boeing 737-8 deliveries in 2026 and anticipate retiring 60 aircraft during the year.”
Tom Doxey
A2

Removing six seats per 737-700 for extra legroom seating will add 1.1 points to CASM-X growth in Q1 2026, a direct cost impact from the product transformation.

“approximately 1.1 points of impact from the removal of six seats from our 737-700 fleet to enable extra legroom seating”
Tom Doxey

향후 가이던스

ImprovingGuidance · revenue to 9.5% · was IN LINE last Q
향후 가이던스
지표기간범위중간값상태
CapexFY2026$3B–$3.5B$3.25BGUIDED
EPSFY2026$4.00$4.00INITIATED
EPSFY2026 Q1$0.45$0.45INITIATED
Op marginFY2026 Q13.5%3.5%GUIDED
RevenueFY2026 Q19.5%9.5%GUIDED
UnitsFY2026 Q11%–2%1.5%GUIDED

가이던스 신뢰도

1 / 1달성 또는 상회
가이던스 신뢰도
제시 시점지표목표 기간가이던스실제결과
FY2026 Q1EPSFY2026 Q2$0.35–$0.65$0.94Met / beat

기업 영향 분석

-14.1%
발표 이후
$239.82$205.94
공급업체공급망 알파

Southwest expects 66 Boeing 737-8 deliveries in 2026 and will retire 60 aircraft, implying net fleet growth of 6 units despite a flat fleet count in 2025. — Positive signal for Boeing's production ramp; Southwest is a major 737 customer and these deliveries support the MAX program's cash flow.

“Boeing continues to execute on its delivery commitments. We expect 66 Boeing 737-8 deliveries in 2026 and anticipate retiring 60 aircraft during the year.”
Tom Doxey
-14.1%
발표 이후
$239.82$205.94
공급망공급망 알파

Removing six seats per 737-700 for extra legroom seating will add 1.1 points to CASM-X growth in Q1 2026, a direct cost impact from the product transformation.