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HOOD FY2025 Q4 IMPROVING

Robinhood Markets, Inc. 실적 발표

Feb 10, 2026 · 17:00 ET Chris CagleShiv VermaVlad Tenev
Buzzberg 분석

AI solves 75%+ support cases and saved nine figures in 2025

Robinhood reported a record FY2025 with revenue up 52% and strong net deposits. Management outlined an aggressive 2026 roadmap focused on accelerating product velocity, international expansion, and AI-driven efficiencies, while guiding for another year of profitable growth. The call highlighted the growing importance of prediction markets, banking, and tokenization as key drivers. Record FY2025: Revenue of $4.5B (+52% YoY), adjusted EBITDA of $2.5B (+76% YoY), margin of 56%, and EPS of $2.05.

Buzzberg 분석 AI solves 75%+ support cases and saved nine figures in 2025 Robinhood reported a record FY2025 with revenue up 52% and strong net deposits. Management outlined an aggressive 2026 roadmap focused on accelerating product velocity, international expansion, and AI-driven efficiencies, while guiding for another year of profitable growth. The call highlighted the growing importance of prediction markets, banking, and tokenization as key drivers. Record FY2025: Revenue of $4.5B (+52% YoY), adjusted EBITDA of $2.5B (+76% YoY), margin of 56%, and EPS of $2.05. 전체 분석 보기분석 접기

Robinhood reported a record FY2025 with revenue up 52% and strong net deposits. Management outlined an aggressive 2026 roadmap focused on accelerating product velocity, international expansion, and AI-driven efficiencies, while guiding for another year of profitable growth. The call highlighted the growing importance of prediction markets, banking, and tokenization as key drivers. Record FY2025: Revenue of $4.5B (+52% YoY), adjusted EBITDA of $2.5B (+76% YoY), margin of 56%, and EPS of $2.05.

  • Q4 2025 revenue was a record $1.3B, with net deposits of $16B, marking the eighth consecutive quarter above $10B.
  • 2026 outlook: adjusted OPEX + SBC of $2.6-2.725B (18% growth YoY). Net deposit growth of 20%+ is expected again.
  • Product velocity: Prediction markets, Gold Card, and Banking are scaling; new initiatives include Cortex AI, Robinhood Social, and private markets via Robinhood Ventures.
Revenue $1.283B reported
EPS $0.66 reported
Gross margin 76.54% reported
ADJUSTED_EBITDA op margin 56% reported

이번 분기에 달라진 점

01
AI

AI solves 75%+ support cases and saved nine figures in 2025

Management highlighted AI as a key driver of efficiency, with AI solving over 75% of customer support cases and generating nine-figure savings in 2025. They are rolling out Cortex, an AI assistant for retail and active traders, and believe AI will transform financial services…

02
Guidance

2026 expense growth guided to 18%, revenue to grow faster

Guidance tone

03
Growth

Prediction markets: trillions in annual volume potential, super cycle

Q4 2025 revenue was a record $1.3B, with net deposits of $16B, marking the eighth consecutive quarter above $10B.

04
Products

Gold Card customers to more than double to over 1 million in 2026

2026 outlook: adjusted OPEX + SBC of $2.6-2.725B (18% growth YoY). Net deposit growth of 20%+ is expected again.

AI, 자본지출 및 수요 분석

AI

플랫폼 및 수익화

Management highlighted AI as a key driver of efficiency, with AI solving over 75% of customer support cases and generating nine-figure savings in 2025. They are rolling out Cortex, an AI assistant for retail and active traders, and believe AI will transform financial services and lower advisory costs.

수요

수주 및 전환

Management is confidently guiding for another year of strong growth, underpinned by record net deposits, expanding product diversification, and a focus on profitable expansion.

톤 · Upbeat

Management expressed strong confidence in product momentum, market share gains, and a full 2026 roadmap, while emphasizing disciplined profitable growth and ROI-driven investments.

공급망 알파

A1

Robinhood has overtaken competitors to become the number one options venue industry-wide, according to latest 606 reports.

“Those of you who may be looking at the latest 606 reports probably noticed that the 606 reports show that looks like we've become number one in options industry-wide”
Vlad Tenev
A2

Robinhood's AI-driven engineering and customer support efficiencies have already yielded estimated nine-figure savings in 2025, and the company expects even larger gains in 2026.

“This is already turning into real savings and efficiency gains, estimated at nine figures in 2025 alone. And 2026 is shaping up to be much bigger.”
Vlad Tenev
A3

The prediction markets business is diversifying beyond sports, with NBA and government shutdown contracts picking up volume as the NFL season ends.

“In January, for instance, NBA contracts surpassed NFL in trading activity on our platform. And you're also seeing relevant non-sports contracts generating significant volume.”
Vlad Tenev
A4

Robinhood is pushing forward with tokenization of private markets, using giveaways of OpenAI and SpaceX tokens in Europe as a proof point for demand and seeing it as a potentially larger opportunity than prediction markets.

“When you look at the vision, the goal is that any private assets that have not been traditionally offered to retail, you should be able to offer in these 40-act registered funds.”
Shiv Verma

기업 영향 분석

OPENAI
비상장 기업
공급망공급망 알파

Robinhood is pushing forward with tokenization of private markets, using giveaways of OpenAI and SpaceX tokens in Europe as a proof point for demand and seeing it as a potentially larger opportunity than prediction markets. — If successful, this could open up a massive new asset class to retail investors, changing the competitive dynamics in wealth management and private markets.

“Our customers in Europe got a little taste last year of private company stock tokens with our OpenAI and SpaceX stock token giveaways.”
Vlad Tenev