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FCX FY2026 Q2 IMPROVING

Freeport-McMoRan, Inc. 실적 발표

Jul 23, 2026 · 06:00 ET Corey StevensDavid JointKathleen Quirk
Buzzberg 분석

Grasberg Block Cave production rate doubled in Q2

Freeport reported strong Q2 2026 results driven by a doubling of the Grasberg Block Cave production rate in June and improved U.S. mining rates. Management reaffirmed a positive long-term outlook with a focus on brownfield growth projects (Baghdad, Elabra, leach) and the formal submission of the Indonesian license extension. Copper market fundamentals remain very supportive with low outside-U.S. inventories. Grasberg Block Cave production doubled from April (34k tpd) to June (69k tpd); H2 2026 guided to 60-65k tpd average due to planned chute gallery maintenance.

Buzzberg 분석 Grasberg Block Cave production rate doubled in Q2 Freeport reported strong Q2 2026 results driven by a doubling of the Grasberg Block Cave production rate in June and improved U.S. mining rates. Management reaffirmed a positive long-term outlook with a focus on brownfield growth projects (Baghdad, Elabra, leach) and the formal submission of the Indonesian license extension. Copper market fundamentals remain very supportive with low outside-U.S. inventories. Grasberg Block Cave production doubled from April (34k tpd) to June (69k tpd); H2 2026 guided to 60-65k tpd average due to planned chute gallery maintenance. 전체 분석 보기분석 접기

Freeport reported strong Q2 2026 results driven by a doubling of the Grasberg Block Cave production rate in June and improved U.S. mining rates. Management reaffirmed a positive long-term outlook with a focus on brownfield growth projects (Baghdad, Elabra, leach) and the formal submission of the Indonesian license extension. Copper market fundamentals remain very supportive with low outside-U.S. inventories. Grasberg Block Cave production doubled from April (34k tpd) to June (69k tpd); H2 2026 guided to 60-65k tpd average due to planned chute gallery maintenance.

  • Baghdad expansion capex guided to ~$4.5B (30% above 2023 estimate) but still economic at $4/lb copper; board decision expected H2 2026.
  • U.S. mining rates at Morenci were 30% above the 5-year average in Q2, with further improvements expected from new 400-ton trucks.
  • Leach initiative progressing: Gen1 additive exceeding expectations, Gen2 additive field tests planned, heated solution pilots underway (Morenci, El Abra).
Revenue $7.029B +13% QoQ
EPS $0.68 +19% QoQ
Gross margin 31.1% reported
Op margin 28.5% reported

이번 분기에 달라진 점

01
Supply chain

Grasberg Block Cave production rate doubled in Q2

Visible copper inventories in China have drawn to multi-year lows and exchange inventories outside the U.S. are exceptionally tight, a backdrop that supports higher global copper prices.

02
Capex

Bagdad expansion capital estimated at $4.5 billion

2027 capital expenditures are estimated at $4.8 billion, approximately $300 million above the April estimate, reflecting investments in upgraded mining equipment and revised cost estimates. Discretionary projects include roughly 50% related to the Kitchingley Yard development…

03
Demand

Customers report robust demand from AI data centers

Management conveyed a confident tone driven by strong operational execution across the portfolio, positive copper market fundamentals, and progress on key growth projects, with no notable shift in confidence from prior calls.

04
Margins

U.S. business is highest earnings contributor year-to-date

Reported gross margin was 31.1%, reinforcing the quarter's better-than-guided profitability.

AI, 자본지출 및 수요 분석

AI

플랫폼 및 수익화

Management noted that customers report robust copper demand and order books associated with AI data centers and related energy infrastructure, which is more than offsetting weakness in private construction.

수요

수주 및 전환

Customers report robust demand from AI data centers. Management conveyed a confident tone driven by strong operational execution across the portfolio, positive copper market fundamentals, and progress on key growth projects, with no notable shift in confidence from prior calls.

자본지출

투자 및 생산능력

2027 capital expenditures are estimated at $4.8 billion, approximately $300 million above the April estimate, reflecting investments in upgraded mining equipment and revised cost estimates. Discretionary projects include roughly 50% related to the Kitchingley Yard development and the LNG project at Grasberg, with the balance covering tailings and other infrastructure to support the Bagdad expansio

톤 · confident

Management conveyed a confident tone driven by strong operational execution across the portfolio, positive copper market fundamentals, and progress on key growth projects, with no notable shift in confidence from prior calls.

공급망 알파

A1

Visible copper inventories in China have drawn to multi-year lows and exchange inventories outside the U.S. are exceptionally tight, a backdrop that supports higher global copper prices.

“Visible inventories in China continue to draw to multi-year lows, and exchange inventories located outside of the U.S. are exceptionally tight.”
Kathleen Quirk

향후 가이던스

ImprovingGuidance tone · was IN LINE last Q
향후 가이던스
지표기간범위중간값상태
CapexFY2027$4.8B$4.8BRAISED

기업 영향 분석

+10.2%
발표 이후
$84.16$92.72
+7.7%
발표 이후
$185.08$199.31
공급망공급망 알파

Visible copper inventories in China have drawn to multi-year lows and exchange inventories outside the U.S. are exceptionally tight, a backdrop that supports higher global copper prices. — Persistent low inventory levels signal a structural supply deficit that benefits all copper producers, especially those with geographically diverse operations and long-life assets.