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EXPE FY2025 Q4 IMPROVING

Expedia Group, Inc. 실적 발표

Feb 12, 2026 · 16:30 ET Ariane GorinRob BevegniScott Schengel
Buzzberg 분석

Direct bookings grow faster than indirect, two-thirds of bookings direct

Expedia reported strong Q4 2025 results, with bookings and revenue up 11%, driven by robust B2B growth (+24%) and advertising (+19%), alongside marketing-driven margin expansion. Management provided an upbeat Q1 2026 outlook with continued double-digit growth, but a more cautious full-year guide due to macro uncertainty. Q4 bookings and revenue grew 11% YoY, with adjusted EBITDA margin up nearly 4 points to 24%.

Buzzberg 분석 Direct bookings grow faster than indirect, two-thirds of bookings direct Expedia reported strong Q4 2025 results, with bookings and revenue up 11%, driven by robust B2B growth (+24%) and advertising (+19%), alongside marketing-driven margin expansion. Management provided an upbeat Q1 2026 outlook with continued double-digit growth, but a more cautious full-year guide due to macro uncertainty. Q4 bookings and revenue grew 11% YoY, with adjusted EBITDA margin up nearly 4 points to 24%. 전체 분석 보기분석 접기

Expedia reported strong Q4 2025 results, with bookings and revenue up 11%, driven by robust B2B growth (+24%) and advertising (+19%), alongside marketing-driven margin expansion. Management provided an upbeat Q1 2026 outlook with continued double-digit growth, but a more cautious full-year guide due to macro uncertainty. Q4 bookings and revenue grew 11% YoY, with adjusted EBITDA margin up nearly 4 points to 24%.

  • B2B bookings grew 24% YoY across all regions, while advertising revenue grew 19%.
  • Management guided Q1 2026 bookings growth of 10-12% and EBITDA margin expansion of 3-4 points.
  • Full-year 2026 revenue guide of 6-9% and EBITDA margin expansion of 100-125 basis points.
Revenue $3.547B reported
EPS $3.78 reported
Op margin 15.45% reported
Free cash flow $0.119B reported

이번 분기에 달라진 점

01
Demand

Direct bookings grow faster than indirect, two-thirds of bookings direct

Management expressed confidence in the momentum across all strategic priorities, with strong Q4 results and forward guidance, while acknowledging macro uncertainty but maintaining a positive outlook for 2026.

02
Guidance

Q1 2026 bookings growth guided to 10-12%

Guidance · revenue to 12%

03
Demand

Vrbo and Hotels.com returned to growth, all core brands growing

Direct bookings grow faster than indirect, two-thirds of bookings direct. Management expressed confidence in the momentum across all strategic priorities, with strong Q4 results and forward guidance, while acknowledging macro uncertainty but maintaining a positive outlook for…

04
Margins

Full year 2026 EBITDA margins to expand 100-125 bps

Management guided Q1 2026 bookings growth of 10-12% and EBITDA margin expansion of 3-4 points.

AI, 자본지출 및 수요 분석

AI

플랫폼 및 수익화

Management highlighted AI as a key growth opportunity, with efforts to integrate with major GenAI platforms and agentic browsers, and to use AI for personalization, supply onboarding, and internal efficiencies. They noted AI search opens new possibilities to reach travelers and improve conversion, while experimenting aggressively with third-party AI experiences.

수요

수주 및 전환

Direct bookings grow faster than indirect, two-thirds of bookings direct. Management expressed confidence in the momentum across all strategic priorities, with strong Q4 results and forward guidance, while acknowledging macro uncertainty but maintaining a positive outlook for 2026.

자본지출

투자 및 생산능력

Capex is expected to be roughly in line with 2025, with no material change anticipated. Management emphasized optimizing cloud spend through technology improvements and a disciplined cloud operating model, while continuing to invest in AI and machine learning talent.

톤 · Confident

Management expressed confidence in the momentum across all strategic priorities, with strong Q4 results and forward guidance, while acknowledging macro uncertainty but maintaining a positive outlook for 2026.

공급망 알파

A1

Expedia is investing in B2B growth initiatives, which is deliberately weighing on B2B EBITDA margins in the near term despite overall company margin expansion.

“As we have stated previously, we will continue to prioritize investments to support future growth, which may modestly weigh on near-term margins.”
Scott Schengel
A2

Expedia's B2C marketing leverage has been driven by reduced spending on lower-performing channels and improved measurement, allowing it to cut costs while reallocating to higher-return opportunities.

“We've leveraged about 50 basis points as a percentage of GBV in B2C... by improving efficiency, by holding the teams accountable and having a strong point of view about return levels, incrementality...”
Scott Schengel

향후 가이던스

ImprovingGuidance · revenue to 12%
향후 가이던스
지표기간범위중간값상태
Gross marginFY20261%–1.25%1.125%GUIDED
Gross marginFY2026 Q13%–4%3.5%GUIDED
RevenueFY2026 Q111%–13%12%GUIDED
RevenueFY20266%–9%7.5%GUIDED

가이던스 신뢰도

1 / 1달성 또는 상회
가이던스 신뢰도
제시 시점지표목표 기간가이던스실제결과
FY2026 Q1Op marginFY2026 Q20.5%–1%18.73%Met / beat

기업 영향 분석

-23.8%
발표 이후
$50.83$38.74
-14.7%
발표 이후
$65.09$55.50
공급업체

Expedia added Southwest and Ryanair as supply partners in the prior year, which supports its growth outlook and improves its flight inventory offering.

“Obviously last year we added Southwest, we added Ryanair, so that gives me a lot of confidence in growth.”
Ariane Gorin