Emerson Electric Company 실적 발표
Backlog up 9% year-over-year supports second-half plans
Emerson reported a beat on margins/EPS despite Middle East conflict impact and China chemical weakness, and raised the bottom/midpoint of FY26 EPS guidance. Management highlighted strong orders in power and software, with T&M above 12%, while isolating the one-point top-line drag from the region conflict. The tone was cautiously confident, emphasizing the durable multi-year growth verticals. Underlying sales +0.5% in Q2, driven by 12% T&M strength and 22% growth verticals; Middle East conflict dragged sales by 1 point.
Buzzberg 분석 Backlog up 9% year-over-year supports second-half plans Emerson reported a beat on margins/EPS despite Middle East conflict impact and China chemical weakness, and raised the bottom/midpoint of FY26 EPS guidance. Management highlighted strong orders in power and software, with T&M above 12%, while isolating the one-point top-line drag from the region conflict. The tone was cautiously confident, emphasizing the durable multi-year growth verticals. Underlying sales +0.5% in Q2, driven by 12% T&M strength and 22% growth verticals; Middle East conflict dragged sales by 1 point. 전체 분석 보기분석 접기
Emerson reported a beat on margins/EPS despite Middle East conflict impact and China chemical weakness, and raised the bottom/midpoint of FY26 EPS guidance. Management highlighted strong orders in power and software, with T&M above 12%, while isolating the one-point top-line drag from the region conflict. The tone was cautiously confident, emphasizing the durable multi-year growth verticals. Underlying sales +0.5% in Q2, driven by 12% T&M strength and 22% growth verticals; Middle East conflict dragged sales by 1 point.
- Orders grew 5% with strong momentum in software/systems (18%) and power (41% Ovation orders); funnel grew to $11.2B.
- FY26 EPS guide raised to $6.45–$6.55; segment margin re-iterated at ~28%; FCF maintained at $3.5–$3.6B.
- China expectation down to mid-single-digit decline due to chemical overcapacity; U.S. to grow high-single digits.
지금 중요한 점
이번 발표에서 가장 의미 있는 변화를 정리했습니다.
Power vertical orders up 41%, driven by ovation
Mid-single-digit order growth seen as sustainable
핵심 내용 3개 더 보기
China weakness driven by overcapacity in chemicals
Initial rebuild opportunity in Middle East estimated at $100 million
Test and measurement growth now expected low teens for 2026
보고 실적
| 지표 | 보고값 | 변화 |
|---|---|---|
| 매출 | $4.562B | +5% 전분기 대비 |
| 주당순이익(EPS) | $1.54 | +5% 전분기 대비 |
| 매출총이익률 | 53.09% | 보고값 |
| 영업이익률 | 19.75% | 보고값 |
| 잉여현금흐름 | $0.694B | +15% 전분기 대비 |
| 자본지출 | $0.085B | 보고값 |
향후 가이던스
| 지표 | 기간 | 범위 | 중간값 | 상태 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 주당순이익(EPS) | FY2026 | $6.45–$6.55 | $6.50 | 상향 |
| 주당순이익(EPS) | FY2026 Q3 | $1.65–$1.70 | $1.67 | 제시 |
| 잉여현금흐름 | FY2026 | $3.5B–$3.6B | $3.55B | 유지 |
| 영업이익률 | FY2026 | 28% | 28% | 유지 |
| 매출TEST_AND_MEASUREMENT | FY2026 | 10%–13% | 11.5% | 상향 |
| 매출INTELLIGENT_DEVICES | FY2026 | 2% | 2% | 하향 |
| 매출SAFETY_AND_PRODUCTIVITY | FY2026 | 2% | 2% | 제시 |
| 매출CONTROL_SYSTEMS_AND_SOFT | FY2026 Q3 | 5% | 5% | 제시 |
| 매출SOFTWARE_AND_SYSTEMS | FY2026 Q3 | 8% | 8% | 제시 |
| 매출 | FY2026 | 3% | 3% | 하향 |
| 매출 | FY2026 Q3 | 5% | 5% | 제시 |
| 매출SOFTWARE_AND_SYSTEMS | FY2026 | 5% | 5% | 상향 |
경영진 분석
Measured
Management acknowledges Middle East disruptions and China softness but remains confident in second-half momentum and growth verticals, while carefully guiding expectations.
경영진의 AI 분석
Management sees AI as a long-term differentiator embedded in their software and test offerings, citing customer interest and quotes, but expects no meaningful revenue impact until 2027 and beyond. They highlighted an AI-driven optimization deployment for Aramco and upcoming user conferences showcasing AI capabilities.
투자 및 생산능력
Management sees sustained secular investment in power, LNG, and other growth verticals, with the project funnel growing to $11.2 billion and significant capital being deployed in projects, particularly in power and LNG.
기업발표 이후 수익률
고객
ExxonMobil's keynote participation signals its public endorsement-relationship with Emerson's AspenTech software, potentially supporting sales in the energy vertical.
근거
“Aspen Tech will hold their Optimize event with over 1,100 customers from 49 countries, including keynotes from ExxonMobil, TotalEnergies, and Exelon.”
Encore (likely CenterPoint Energy) is modernizing the Texas grid with AspenTech's DGM, making Emerson a key software vendor for the state's ongoing infrastructure growth.
근거
“Emerson was selected by Encore, the largest electric delivery company in Texas, to enable the delivery of reliable power to more than 13 million residents.”
NextDecade selected Emerson for the Rio Grande LNG expansion, securing a large project win for Emerson's instruments, valves, and analytical systems.
근거
“Emerson was chosen by next decade for the train four and five expansion to the Rio Grande LNG facility, which will add 12 million tons per annum in capacity.”
파트너
NVIDIA's keynote at NI Connect signals a close partnership between Emerson and NVIDIA, possibly involving test and measurement or AI for industrial applications.
근거
“NI Connect will feature keynote addresses from prominent customers, including NVIDIA and Austin, with over 1,600 attendees from 38 countries.”
Hiring Apple's general counsel to Emerson's board provides a technology/regulatory perspective, potentially influencing Emerson's software/AI strategy.
근거
“Jennifer Neustadt is the Senior Vice President and General Counsel of Apple.”
Recent board member's tech background from Meta may guide Emerson on AI/software regulatory and strategic issues.
근거
“Prior to joining Apple in January 2026, Jennifer served as Chief Legal Officer at Meta.”
공급망 알파 · 4발표 이후 수익률
The Middle East conflict cut Emerson's regional manufacturing output and field service; logistics through the Strait of Hormuz remain disrupted, but shipments are rerouting, improving conditions.
근거
“Over the longer term, there should be opportunity. But in this next six months, based on what we saw in the quarter... we felt it was prudent to bake that in and take the full year guide down by a point at the top line.”
Power vertical is a durable multi-year driver: orders up 41%, with $450M in project funnel wins, led by Encore and Rio Grande LNG, indicating strength in U.S. grid and LNG build-outs.
China weakness is blamed on chemical overcapacity; management expects China to decline mid-single digits for the year, but this is offset by strong U.S. growth.
Test & measurement momentum is driven by semis and aerospace/defense; despite transport weakness bouncing its bottom, double-digit growth is deemed sustainable.
방법론 및 범위
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