Fiscal 2026 guidance lowered on cautious U.S. consumer
Guidance · revenue to $5.35B
Deckers reported a solid Q2 beat with 9% revenue growth and EPS of $1.82, but guided full-year FY26 below prior informal expectations due to a cautious U.S. consumer and ~$60M net tariff headwind. HOKA grew 11% (low teens guided) and UGG 10% (low-single to mid-single guided). International strength and wholesale expansion drove results, while DTC came under pressure from earlier wholesale shipments and a warehouse transition. Q2 revenue $1.43B (+9% y/y), EPS $1.82 (+14%), gross margin 56.2% (+30bp).
Deckers reported a solid Q2 beat with 9% revenue growth and EPS of $1.82, but guided full-year FY26 below prior informal expectations due to a cautious U.S. consumer and ~$60M net tariff headwind. HOKA grew 11% (low teens guided) and UGG 10% (low-single to mid-single guided). International strength and wholesale expansion drove results, while DTC came under pressure from earlier wholesale shipments and a warehouse transition. Q2 revenue $1.43B (+9% y/y), EPS $1.82 (+14%), gross margin 56.2% (+30bp).
Guidance · revenue to $5.35B
Reported gross margin was 56.18%, reinforcing the quarter's better-than-guided profitability.
Management expressed confidence in brand strength and strategy but tempered guidance with caution around U.S. consumer pressure and tariff impacts.
HOKA low-teens growth, UGG low-single to mid-single digit growth; back-half wholesale/DTC mix shifts due to earlier pull-forward and warehouse transition.
UGG DTC softness due to wholesale shift and consumer trends. Management expressed confidence in brand strength and strategy but tempered guidance with caution around U.S. consumer pressure and tariff impacts.
Management expressed confidence in brand strength and strategy but tempered guidance with caution around U.S. consumer pressure and tariff impacts.
“Additionally, our guidance assumes no meaningful deterioration of current risks and uncertainties, which include but are not limited to further updates to impose tariffs or other global trade policy, changes in consumer confidence in recess”
“Wholesale strength was driven by strong demand from our retail partners, including earlier demand, as well as European shipments that were pulled forward related to our upcoming third-party warehouse transition.”
“We now estimate that our mitigation efforts for this fiscal year will offset approximately $75 to $95 million of this pressure...”
“Our dTC delivering a sequential improvement from Q1 to Q2, maintaining a high-quality full-price business, a strong spring-summer 26 season order book...”
| 지표 | 기간 | 범위 | 중간값 | 상태 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | FY2026 | $6.30–$6.39 | $6.34 | INITIATED |
| Gross margin | FY2026 | 56% | 56% | INITIATED |
| Op margin | FY2026 | 21.5% | 21.5% | INITIATED |
| Revenue | FY2026 | $5.35B | $5.35B | INITIATED |
| RevenueHOKA | FY2026 | 11%–13% | 12% | INITIATED |
| RevenueUGG | FY2026 | 1%–5% | 3% | INITIATED |
| 제시 시점 | 지표 | 목표 기간 | 가이던스 | 실제 | 결과 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2026 Q4 | EPS | FY2027 Q1 | $0.82–$0.87 | $0.94 | Met / beat |
| FY2026 Q3 | EPS | FY2026 | $6.80–$6.85 | $7.02 | Met / beat |
| FY2026 Q3 | Revenue | FY2026 | $5.4B–$5.425B | $5.47B | Met / beat |