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DAL FY2025 Q4 IMPROVING

Delta Air Lines, Inc. 실적 발표

Jan 13, 2026 · 10:00 ET Dan JacobsonEd BastianGlenn Hauenstein
Buzzberg 분석

Record cash sales and strong start to 2026

Delta's Q4 FY2025 earnings call showcased a strong close to a record year, with the company delivering record revenue, robust free cash flow, and a differentiated position in the industry. Management expressed an optimistic outlook for 2026, citing accelerating demand and revenue growth, while announcing a significant Boeing 787 order and planning for continued margin expansion. Record FY2025 revenue of $58.3B, EPS of $5.82, and operating margin of 10%, marking a strong centennial year.

Buzzberg 분석 Record cash sales and strong start to 2026 Delta's Q4 FY2025 earnings call showcased a strong close to a record year, with the company delivering record revenue, robust free cash flow, and a differentiated position in the industry. Management expressed an optimistic outlook for 2026, citing accelerating demand and revenue growth, while announcing a significant Boeing 787 order and planning for continued margin expansion. Record FY2025 revenue of $58.3B, EPS of $5.82, and operating margin of 10%, marking a strong centennial year. 전체 분석 보기분석 접기

Delta's Q4 FY2025 earnings call showcased a strong close to a record year, with the company delivering record revenue, robust free cash flow, and a differentiated position in the industry. Management expressed an optimistic outlook for 2026, citing accelerating demand and revenue growth, while announcing a significant Boeing 787 order and planning for continued margin expansion. Record FY2025 revenue of $58.3B, EPS of $5.82, and operating margin of 10%, marking a strong centennial year.

  • Management is bullish on 2026, expecting 5-7% revenue growth in Q1 and 20% EPS growth for the full year, citing record bookings and accelerating corporate and consumer demand.
  • The company announced an order for 30 Boeing 787-10 aircraft, with options for 30 more, to renew its widebody fleet from 2031.
  • Delta highlighted the strength of its diversified revenue streams, including a record $8.2B remuneration from American Express, and growth in MRO and loyalty revenue.
Revenue $16.003B reported
EPS $1.55 reported
Gross margin 22.36% reported
Op margin 9.17% reported

이번 분기에 달라진 점

01
Demand

Record cash sales and strong start to 2026

Management expresses strong optimism about 2026 demand trends, record bookings, and revenue acceleration, while acknowledging some caution about macro volatility.

02
Guidance

Revenue growth expected to outpace capacity in Q1

Guidance · revenue to $14.7B

03
Guidance

EPS growth target of 20% for 2026

Guidance · revenue to $14.7B

04
Loyalty

Amex remuneration growing high single digits in 2026

The company announced an order for 30 Boeing 787-10 aircraft, with options for 30 more, to renew its widebody fleet from 2031.

수요 및 자본지출

수요

수주 및 전환

Record cash sales and strong start to 2026. Management expresses strong optimism about 2026 demand trends, record bookings, and revenue acceleration, while acknowledging some caution about macro volatility.

자본지출

투자 및 생산능력

Delta plans 2026 CapEx of $5.5 billion, including around 50 aircraft deliveries and ongoing investment in customer experience and technology. They announced an order for 30 Boeing 787-10s with options for 30 more, starting delivery in 2031, to enhance international network and fleet efficiency.

톤 · Confident

Management expresses strong optimism about 2026 demand trends, record bookings, and revenue acceleration, while acknowledging some caution about macro volatility.

공급망 알파

A1

Delta has not yet seen main cabin ticket pricing move, but expects it to in 2026, representing an unexploited upside lever.

“We have not really seen main cabin move yet, so I think when you think about the higher end of our guide that would definitely be the main cabin starting to move, and I do think that it will move in 26 we just have not seen it yet.”
Glenn Hauenstein
A2

The 787-10 has been selected for its 'category killer' unit cost economics, representing a step-change in margin improvement over the Boeing 767s it replaces.

“We think about swapping a 764 or 763. to a 787-10, it's a very powerful change in a step function improvement in margin.”
Joe Esposito
A3

Delta expects MRO revenue to more than triple in the near term, from around $1 billion to $3 billion, with margins expanding to mid-teens.

“I think this is a business that we're excited to see across the billion dollar mark. And one that we continue to hold out and see it as a two, then getting to two, then getting to $3 billion of top line, that it can continue to grow. This…”
Dan Jacobson

향후 가이던스

ImprovingGuidance · revenue to $14.7B
향후 가이던스
지표기간범위중간값상태
CapexFY2026$5.5B$5.5BMAINTAINED
EPSFY2026$6.50–$7.50inline 컨센서스 대비$7.00MAINTAINED
EPSFY2026 Q1$0.50–$0.90$0.70MAINTAINED
Free cash flowFY2026$3B–$4B$3.5BMAINTAINED
Op marginFY2026 Q14.5%–6%5.25%MAINTAINED
RevenueFY2026 Q1$14.5B–$14.9B$14.7BMAINTAINED

가이던스 신뢰도

2 / 2달성 또는 상회
가이던스 신뢰도
제시 시점지표목표 기간가이던스실제결과
FY2026 Q1EPSFY2026 Q2$1.00–$1.50$1.56Met / beat
FY2026 Q1Op marginFY2026 Q26%–8%9.43%Met / beat

기업 영향 분석

-5.8%
발표 이후
$357.75$336.99
파트너

Delta's commentary confirms continued strong momentum in the Delta-Amex co-brand partnership, with high double-digit spend growth and robust new card acquisitions supporting Amex's network volumes.

“For the year, American Express remuneration grew 11% to $8.2 billion, driven by a fourth consecutive year of more than one million new card acquisitions and double-digit year-over-year co-brand spend growth in every quarter.”
Glenn Hauenstein
KAL
비상장 기업
파트너

Delta sees increased Pacific connectivity from the Korean Air-Asiana merger, enhancing the competitiveness of the Incheon hub for its joint venture network.

“We've seen really good progression as Korean and Asiana work through their merger. The Incheon hub has been a fantastic hub to connect through.”
Joe Esposito
-7.0%
발표 이후
$84.77$78.85
파트너

The successful early adoption of the Delta-Uber partnership highlights significant member engagement and a new revenue channel for Delta, while also driving user engagement for Uber.

“The response to our Delta Uber partnership has been tremendous, with over 1.5 million SkyMiles members linking their accounts since launch, demonstrating the power of our loyalty strategy.”
Ed Bastian
-11.8%
발표 이후
$58.34$51.47
파트너

Delta sees its equity stake in LATAM as an underappreciated asset with significant growth runway as their partnership deepens.

“Whether it's LATAM or whether it's Korean, these are very, very deep relationships, which I think are still in their infancy.”
Glenn Hauenstein
-6.5%
발표 이후
$254.14$237.74
공급업체

While Delta continues to take Airbus widebodies (A350/A330neo), the new 787 order diversifies its future fleet and signals a split of future widebody orders between the two OEMs, slightly diluting Airbus's share of Delta's long-haul growth.

-11.9%
발표 이후
$242.95$214.12
공급업체공급망 알파

The 787-10 has been selected for its 'category killer' unit cost economics, representing a step-change in margin improvement over the Boeing 767s it replaces. — The 787-10's superior efficiency could support Delta's long-term cost trajectory, while Boeing benefits from a high-profile endorsement of the airframe.

-7.3%
발표 이후
$43.75$40.55
경쟁사

Delta observes competitors like Southwest pivoting toward Delta's premium strategy, validating Delta's model and potentially crowding the premium space.

발표 이후
경쟁사

Delta notes ongoing distress at Spirit Airlines, which keeps the ultra-low-cost sector constrained and firm for Delta's mainline pricing.