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CVX FY2026 Q1 IMPROVING

Chevron Corporation 실적 발표

May 01, 2026 · 11:00 ET Emer BonnerJanine WayMike Worth
Buzzberg 분석

Chevron to double equity crude throughput into refineries to 40% in Q2

Chevron reported solid Q1 2026 results, with adjusted EPS of $1.41 and free cash flow of $4.1 billion, despite $3 billion in timing effects from a steep rise in commodity prices. Management highlighted the strategic advantage of its integrated portfolio, particularly in refining, where it can leverage its equity crude supply to maintain high utilization rates. Reaffirmed all 2026 guidance and 2030 targets, signaling confidence in its long-term strategy. Adjusted EPS of $1.41 and adjusted FCF of $4.1 billion reported for Q1 2026.

Buzzberg 분석 Chevron to double equity crude throughput into refineries to 40% in Q2 Chevron reported solid Q1 2026 results, with adjusted EPS of $1.41 and free cash flow of $4.1 billion, despite $3 billion in timing effects from a steep rise in commodity prices. Management highlighted the strategic advantage of its integrated portfolio, particularly in refining, where it can leverage its equity crude supply to maintain high utilization rates. Reaffirmed all 2026 guidance and 2030 targets, signaling confidence in its long-term strategy. Adjusted EPS of $1.41 and adjusted FCF of $4.1 billion reported for Q1 2026. 전체 분석 보기분석 접기

Chevron reported solid Q1 2026 results, with adjusted EPS of $1.41 and free cash flow of $4.1 billion, despite $3 billion in timing effects from a steep rise in commodity prices. Management highlighted the strategic advantage of its integrated portfolio, particularly in refining, where it can leverage its equity crude supply to maintain high utilization rates. Reaffirmed all 2026 guidance and 2030 targets, signaling confidence in its long-term strategy. Adjusted EPS of $1.41 and adjusted FCF of $4.1 billion reported for Q1 2026.

  • Reaffirmed 2026 capex of $18-19 billion and production growth of 7-10%.
  • Highlighted that refining will run on over 40% equity crude in Asia and over 50% in the US, positioning it well during feedstock shortages.
  • Confirmed exclusive discussions with Microsoft for a power project, moving towards FID later this year.
Revenue $47.556B +4% QoQ
EPS $1.41 -7% QoQ
Gross margin 9.58% reported
Op margin 6.81% reported

이번 분기에 달라진 점

01
Refining/Integration

Chevron to double equity crude throughput into refineries to 40% in Q2

Chevron reported solid Q1 2026 results, with adjusted EPS of $1.41 and free cash flow of $4.1 billion, despite $3 billion in timing effects from a steep rise in commodity prices. Management highlighted the strategic advantage of its integrated portfolio, particularly in…

02
Venezuela

Venezuela remains debt-recovery mode; asset swap adds Orinoco acreage

Adjusted EPS of $1.41 and adjusted FCF of $4.1 billion reported for Q1 2026.

03
Capital Allocation

Buyback range maintained at $2.5-3B; no pro-cyclical shift

Reaffirmed 2026 capex of $18-19 billion and production growth of 7-10%.

04
TCO

TCO FCF guidance unchanged at $6B despite Q1 disruptions

Highlighted that refining will run on over 40% equity crude in Asia and over 50% in the US, positioning it well during feedstock shortages.

수요 및 자본지출

수요

수주 및 전환

Management reiterated all 2026 guidance and 2030 targets, citing strong operational momentum and asset reliability, framing the outlook as resilient despite market volatility.

자본지출

투자 및 생산능력

Full-year capex guidance is unchanged at $18-19 billion despite the Middle East conflict; Q1 organic capex was $3.9 billion with lighter first-half spending. Management is holding capital and cost discipline, keeping the Permian at plateau and selectively advancing projects such as TCO debottlenecking and Eastern Mediterranean gas expansions.

톤 · Measured

Management repeatedly emphasized consistency and discipline through volatility, reaffirming guidance and avoiding pro-cyclical capital or buyback changes.

공급망 알파

A1

Chevron is using its internal equity crude supply to keep its Asian refineries running at >80% utilization and >40% equity crude throughput while other refiners face feedstock shortages.

“we expect to be over 40% in Asia, north of 50, and much higher than that in some refineries in the U.S.”
Mike Worth
A2

Venezuela receivable balance of ~$1.5 billion is expected to be fully paid down by 2027, with cash flow recovery accelerated by higher oil prices.

“we expect Venezuela to continue to represent 1% to 2% of cash flow from operations.”
Mike Worth

향후 가이던스

ImprovingGuidance tone · was IN LINE last Q
향후 가이던스
지표기간범위중간값상태
UnitsTCOFY2026$6B$6BMAINTAINED

기업 영향 분석

+22.6%
발표 이후
$414.00$507.46
고객

Chevron is in exclusive negotiations with Microsoft for a natural gas power project, suggesting a signed PPA is a near-term catalyst for both companies.

“we're in an exclusive discussion with Microsoft right now. We're very pleased to be in those discussions with such a high quality customer as Microsoft.”
Mike Wirth
+46.0%
발표 이후
$246.01$359.17
+52.9%
발표 이후
$244.75$374.11
공급망공급망 알파

Chevron is using its internal equity crude supply to keep its Asian refineries running at >80% utilization and >40% equity crude throughput while other refiners face feedstock shortages. — This implies Chevron can capture outsized refining margins during the crude supply disruption, potentially taking market share and margins from competitors without similar integrated supply.