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CPT FY2025 Q4 IN LINE

Camden Property Trust 실적 발표

Feb 06, 2026 · 11:00 ET Alex JessettKeith OdenKim Callahan
Buzzberg 분석

California portfolio sale to fund Sunbelt reinvestment and buybacks

Camden Property Trust reported Q4 2025 core FFO of $1.73/share, a $0.03 beat, and guidance for 2026 flat revenue growth, highlighting a significant strategic shift to sell its California portfolio and buy back shares. The call focused on the prospects of an inflection point in market rent growth, with management using the 'supply is falling off a cliff' narrative. Q4 2025 FFO beat expectations by $0.03 due to higher fee income.

Buzzberg 분석 California portfolio sale to fund Sunbelt reinvestment and buybacks Camden Property Trust reported Q4 2025 core FFO of $1.73/share, a $0.03 beat, and guidance for 2026 flat revenue growth, highlighting a significant strategic shift to sell its California portfolio and buy back shares. The call focused on the prospects of an inflection point in market rent growth, with management using the 'supply is falling off a cliff' narrative. Q4 2025 FFO beat expectations by $0.03 due to higher fee income. 전체 분석 보기분석 접기

Camden Property Trust reported Q4 2025 core FFO of $1.73/share, a $0.03 beat, and guidance for 2026 flat revenue growth, highlighting a significant strategic shift to sell its California portfolio and buy back shares. The call focused on the prospects of an inflection point in market rent growth, with management using the 'supply is falling off a cliff' narrative. Q4 2025 FFO beat expectations by $0.03 due to higher fee income.

  • 2026 FFO guidance is down 13 cents to $6.75 midpoint, with flat same-store revenue and negative NOI growth.
  • Company is selling its 11 California properties (est. $1.5-2B), to redeploy into Sunbelt acquisitions and $650M of share buybacks.
  • Management believes the market is close to a significant turn in rent growth, given five years of flat rents and falling supply.
Revenue $0.3908B reported
EPS $1.76 reported
Gross margin 62.2% reported
Op margin 20.04% reported

이번 분기에 달라진 점

01
Capital Allocation

California portfolio sale to fund Sunbelt reinvestment and buybacks

Camden Property Trust reported Q4 2025 core FFO of $1.73/share, a $0.03 beat, and guidance for 2026 flat revenue growth, highlighting a significant strategic shift to sell its California portfolio and buy back shares. The call focused on the prospects of an inflection point in…

02
Supply

New supply deliveries expected to fall below 2% in 2026

Q4 2025 FFO beat expectations by $0.03 due to higher fee income.

03
Pricing

Management sees probable inflection point in new lease rates this year

2026 FFO guidance is down 13 cents to $6.75 midpoint, with flat same-store revenue and negative NOI growth.

04
Demand

Flat rent growth for four years seen as unsustainable

Management acknowledges ongoing uncertainty but expresses confidence in a supply-driven recovery, citing 'green shoots' and a probable inflection point in new lease rates this year.

수요 및 자본지출

수요

수주 및 전환

Flat rent growth for four years seen as unsustainable. Management acknowledges ongoing uncertainty but expresses confidence in a supply-driven recovery, citing 'green shoots' and a probable inflection point in new lease rates this year.

자본지출

투자 및 생산능력

Management is seeing development costs decline by 5% to 8%, but new development starts remain challenging to pencil. They plan up to $335 million of development starts at the end of 2026, down from prior years, and are being patient, only starting projects that are accretive to shareholders.

톤 · Cautiously Optimisti

Management acknowledges ongoing uncertainty but expresses confidence in a supply-driven recovery, citing 'green shoots' and a probable inflection point in new lease rates this year.

병목

Power & grid

Power or grid availability is constraining capacity

“Phoenix still faces elevated levels of supply, mainly on the western side, so we expect pricing power to be limited for most of 2026.”
Keith Oden

공급망 알파

A1

Rents for Camden's properties built in the last five years have returned to end-2021 levels, marking almost five years of flat rent growth, which is unprecedented. Management believes an inflection point is near.

“We are already four years in. We're beginning 2026... If all this works out the way we expect it to, we will be four and a half years downwind of basically zero rental growth.”
Rick Campo
A2

The California portfolio sale is being driven by the expectation of a strong Sunbelt recovery, with proceeds reinvested in Sunbelt assets and share buybacks. The company expects the sale to be neutral to 2026 earnings.

“I would say why now is because we think there's going to be a pivot point in the Sunbelt growth story. And we want to be in front of that rather than behind that.”
Rick Campo
A3

A new Colorado law (HB 25-1090) bans passing through common area utility costs to residents, costing Camden about $1.8 million and 19 bps of same-store NOI.

“It is a significant item for us. The total value of this is about $1.8 million. If you extrapolate that out, that's close to 19 basis points of same-store NOI.”
Alex Jessett

향후 가이던스

In LineGuidance tone
향후 가이던스
지표기간범위중간값상태
EPSFY2026$6.60–$6.90$6.75GUIDED
EPSFY2026 Q1$1.64–$1.68$1.66GUIDED