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COHR FY2026 Q3 IMPROVING

Coherent Corp. 실적 발표

May 06, 2026 · 16:30 ET Jim AndersonPaul SilversteinSherry Luther
Buzzberg 분석

Demand visibility extends to 2028; orders at record levels

Coherent delivered a strong fiscal Q3 with record revenue, accelerating growth, and expanding margins, driven by exceptional AI data center demand. The company is aggressively expanding indium phosphide capacity ahead of plan and highlighted multiple new growth vectors including OCS, CPO, and multirail, all expanding their addressable market. Revenue of $1.8B, up 9% sequentially and 27% YoY on pro forma basis; guidance for Q4 implies acceleration to ~$1.98B midpoint.

Buzzberg 분석 Demand visibility extends to 2028; orders at record levels Coherent delivered a strong fiscal Q3 with record revenue, accelerating growth, and expanding margins, driven by exceptional AI data center demand. The company is aggressively expanding indium phosphide capacity ahead of plan and highlighted multiple new growth vectors including OCS, CPO, and multirail, all expanding their addressable market. Revenue of $1.8B, up 9% sequentially and 27% YoY on pro forma basis; guidance for Q4 implies acceleration to ~$1.98B midpoint. 전체 분석 보기분석 접기

Coherent delivered a strong fiscal Q3 with record revenue, accelerating growth, and expanding margins, driven by exceptional AI data center demand. The company is aggressively expanding indium phosphide capacity ahead of plan and highlighted multiple new growth vectors including OCS, CPO, and multirail, all expanding their addressable market. Revenue of $1.8B, up 9% sequentially and 27% YoY on pro forma basis; guidance for Q4 implies acceleration to ~$1.98B midpoint.

  • Data center & communications segment grew >40% YoY and now represents 75% of total revenue.
  • 6-inch InP capacity expansion ahead of schedule, doubling capacity by end of calendar year (one quarter early), with plans to more than double again by end of 2027.
  • OCS market opportunity doubled to over $4B; production bottleneck resolved enabling rapid ramp across two facilities.
Revenue $1.8056B +7% QoQ
EPS $1.41 +9% QoQ
Gross margin 37.66% reported
Op margin 8.23% reported

이번 분기에 달라진 점

01
Demand

Demand visibility extends to 2028; orders at record levels

Management consistently describes demand as 'exceptionally strong' with 'no signs of attenuation,' and reiterates accelerating growth and expanding capacity.

02
Capex

Six-inch indium phosphide ramp ahead of schedule

Capex was $290M in Q3, up sharply from prior quarters, and is expected to increase again in Q4, reflecting investments in internal indium phosphide capacity (6-inch), OCS production, and other growth areas. The company is doubling indium phosphide capacity by end of 2026 and…

03
AI

CPO opportunity estimated at $15B+; NVIDIA partnership key

Management says AI-driven demand for optical networking, transceivers (800G/1.6T), OCS, and CPO remains exceptionally strong, with orders extending into calendar 2028, and CPO revenue ramps starting 2H 2026 (scale-out) and 2H 2027 (scale-up). They are expanding capacity to meet…

04
Demand

OCS market opportunity raised to $4B+

Demand visibility extends to 2028; orders at record levels. Management consistently describes demand as 'exceptionally strong' with 'no signs of attenuation,' and reiterates accelerating growth and expanding capacity.

AI, 자본지출 및 수요 분석

AI

플랫폼 및 수익화

Management says AI-driven demand for optical networking, transceivers (800G/1.6T), OCS, and CPO remains exceptionally strong, with orders extending into calendar 2028, and CPO revenue ramps starting 2H 2026 (scale-out) and 2H 2027 (scale-up). They are expanding capacity to meet demand, and see AI as a multi-year growth driver.

수요

수주 및 전환

Demand visibility extends to 2028; orders at record levels. Management consistently describes demand as 'exceptionally strong' with 'no signs of attenuation,' and reiterates accelerating growth and expanding capacity.

자본지출

투자 및 생산능력

Capex was $290M in Q3, up sharply from prior quarters, and is expected to increase again in Q4, reflecting investments in internal indium phosphide capacity (6-inch), OCS production, and other growth areas. The company is doubling indium phosphide capacity by end of 2026 and plans to more than double again by 2027.

톤 · Bullish

Management consistently describes demand as 'exceptionally strong' with 'no signs of attenuation,' and reiterates accelerating growth and expanding capacity.

병목

Manufacturing capacityresolved

Coherent resolved a production bottleneck in OCS systems, enabling rapid output ramp across two facilities.

OCS is a fast-growing high-value layer of AI networking; removing this bottleneck lets Coherent convert its record backlog and positions it to take share from incumbent OCS vendors.

“We recently resolved a bottleneck in our production capacity and are now ramping output rapidly across two production facilities.”
Jim Anderson
Manufacturing capacity

As I mentioned in their prepared remarks, We did kind of have a breakthrough over the last couple months on removing a bottleneck in the production capacity that's allowed us to ramp production at a much faster rate, and we're ramping in two sites in parallel.

“As I mentioned in their prepared remarks, We did kind of have a breakthrough over the last couple months on removing a bottleneck in the production capacity that's allowed us to ramp production at a much faster rate, and we're ramping in tw”
Jim Anderson

공급망 알파

A1

6-inch indium phosphide capacity ramp is ahead of schedule; the goal of doubling internal capacity will be reached one quarter earlier than planned, and capacity will more than double again by end of calendar 2027.

“We remain on track to achieve our goal of doubling internal indium phosphide output capacity by the end of this calendar year, and based on current execution, we now expect to reach that milestone one quarter earlier than originally planne…”
Jim Anderson
A2

Coherent resolved a production bottleneck in OCS systems, enabling rapid output ramp across two facilities.

A3

Coherent is signing multiple LTAs with strategic customers that include upfront investments to support capacity expansion.

“We have signed or are in the process of finalizing long-term supply agreements with multiple strategic customers that include both multi-year demand commitments and upfront investment to support capacity expansion.”
Jim Anderson

향후 가이던스

ImprovingGuidance · revenue to $1.98B · was IN LINE last Q
향후 가이던스
지표기간범위중간값상태
EPSFY2026 Q4$1.52–$1.72$1.62GUIDED
Gross marginFY2026 Q439%–41%40%GUIDED
RevenueFY2026 Q4$1.91B–$2.05B$1.98BGUIDED

가이던스 신뢰도

2 / 3달성 또는 상회
가이던스 신뢰도
제시 시점지표목표 기간가이던스실제결과
FY2026 Q2EPSFY2026 Q3$1.28–$1.48$1.41Met / beat
FY2026 Q2Gross marginFY2026 Q338.5%–40.5%37.66%Missed
FY2026 Q2RevenueFY2026 Q3$1.7B–$1.84B$1.8056BMet / beat

기업 영향 분석

+3.6%
발표 이후
$207.80$215.38
파트너공급망 알파

6-inch indium phosphide capacity ramp is ahead of schedule; the goal of doubling internal capacity will be reached one quarter earlier than planned, and capacity will more than double again by end of calendar 2027. — Resolution of the industry-wide InP constraint is a critical gating factor for 1.6T transceiver and CPO volumes, and Coherent's early ramp enables share gains at the expense of competitors reliant on external InP supply.

“This partnership includes both NVIDIA's $2 billion equity investment in Coherent and a multi-year supply agreement extending through the end of the decade.”
Jim Anderson
+28.9%
발표 이후
$146.70$189.08
공급망

6-inch indium phosphide capacity ramp is ahead of schedule; the goal of doubling internal capacity will be reached one quarter earlier than planned, and capacity will more than double again by end of calendar 2027. — Resolution of the industry-wide InP constraint is a critical gating factor for 1.6T transceiver and CPO volumes, and Coherent's early ramp enables share gains at the expense of competitors reliant on external InP supply.

“We remain on track to achieve our goal of doubling internal indium phosphide output capacity by the end of this calendar year, and based on current execution, we now expect to reach that milestone one quarter earlier than originally”
Jim Anderson
+21.5%
발표 이후
$91.51$111.15
공급망공급망 알파

Coherent resolved a production bottleneck in OCS systems, enabling rapid output ramp across two facilities. — OCS is a fast-growing high-value layer of AI networking; removing this bottleneck lets Coherent convert its record backlog and positions it to take share from incumbent OCS vendors.