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CMG FY2026 Q1 IMPROVING

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. 실적 발표

Apr 29, 2026 · 16:30 ET AdamCindyScott Boatwright
Buzzberg 분석

April comps stepped up to flat to plus 1% range, driven by innovation and rewards relaunch.

Chipotle reported Q1 revenue growth of 7.4% with positive transaction growth, but EPS declined 17% due to investments and lower margins. Management expressed cautious optimism on the 'Recipe for Growth' strategy, citing successful LTOs, loyalty relaunch, and operational improvements. Full-year comp guidance remains ~flat, but Q2 could range from -1% to +1% depending on macro conditions. Q1 revenue: $2.9B (+7.4% y/y), comps +0.5% (transactions +0.6%, check -0.1%), digital sales $1.2B.

Buzzberg 분석 April comps stepped up to flat to plus 1% range, driven by innovation and rewards relaunch. Chipotle reported Q1 revenue growth of 7.4% with positive transaction growth, but EPS declined 17% due to investments and lower margins. Management expressed cautious optimism on the 'Recipe for Growth' strategy, citing successful LTOs, loyalty relaunch, and operational improvements. Full-year comp guidance remains ~flat, but Q2 could range from -1% to +1% depending on macro conditions. Q1 revenue: $2.9B (+7.4% y/y), comps +0.5% (transactions +0.6%, check -0.1%), digital sales $1.2B. 전체 분석 보기분석 접기

Chipotle reported Q1 revenue growth of 7.4% with positive transaction growth, but EPS declined 17% due to investments and lower margins. Management expressed cautious optimism on the 'Recipe for Growth' strategy, citing successful LTOs, loyalty relaunch, and operational improvements. Full-year comp guidance remains ~flat, but Q2 could range from -1% to +1% depending on macro conditions. Q1 revenue: $2.9B (+7.4% y/y), comps +0.5% (transactions +0.6%, check -0.1%), digital sales $1.2B.

  • Q1 restaurant margin: 23.7% (adjusted for legal settlements), -40bps y/y due to labor and other costs.
  • Q1 EPS: $0.24 (-17% y/y), impacted by investments and higher G&A.
  • FY26 comp guidance maintained at ~flat; Q2 comp expected between -1% and +1%.
Revenue $3.0882B reported
EPS $0.24 reported
Gross margin 23.28% reported
Op margin 13.55% reported

이번 분기에 달라진 점

01
Demand

April comps stepped up to flat to plus 1% range, driven by innovation and rewards relaunch.

The CEO expresses confidence in the 'recipe for growth' strategy, citing early momentum, and states 'I've never been more confident in our strategy and a very long runway ahead as we continue building Chipotle into a global iconic brand.'

02
Operations

High-efficiency equipment package rolling to 2,000 restaurants by year-end, delivering comp lifts.

Q1 revenue: $2.9B (+7.4% y/y), comps +0.5% (transactions +0.6%, check -0.1%), digital sales $1.2B.

03
Loyalty

Loyalty relaunch driving 25% uplift in new member enrollment.

Q1 restaurant margin: 23.7% (adjusted for legal settlements), -40bps y/y due to labor and other costs.

04
Menu Innovation

Menu innovation LTOs generate few hundred basis points transaction lift and sustain gains.

Q1 EPS: $0.24 (-17% y/y), impacted by investments and higher G&A.

AI, 자본지출 및 수요 분석

AI

플랫폼 및 수익화

The company is leveraging AI in its restaurants via the 'Avocado' AI assistant, which is freeing manager time and has been expanded to assist with operational planning, cook-to-needs guidance, and facilities triage. The AI capabilities are being well-received by teams, including a standing ovation at the all-managers conference.

수요

수주 및 전환

April comps stepped up to flat to plus 1% range, driven by innovation and rewards relaunch.. The CEO expresses confidence in the 'recipe for growth' strategy, citing early momentum, and states 'I've never been more confident in our strategy and a very long runway ahead as we continue building Chipotle into a global iconic brand.'

톤 · Confident

The CEO expresses confidence in the 'recipe for growth' strategy, citing early momentum, and states 'I've never been more confident in our strategy and a very long runway ahead as we continue building Chipotle into a global iconic brand.'

병목

Components

Component availability is constraining production

“Also, we sustained part of this conflict longer term as many of our new after the limited time offer ends.”
Adam

공급망 알파

A1

Chipotle's new high-efficiency equipment package (dual-sided plancha, three-pan rice cooker, high-capacity fryer) is driving 200-400 basis points comp outperformance in test stores, but installs are limited to ~35-45 per week, suggesting a multi-year rollout through late 2027/early 2028.

“In markets where it has benefits translate into hundreds of basis points of improvement and comp sales.”
Scott Boatwright
A2

Chipotle's new Chipotle Kitchen digital make line display is rolling out to all restaurants by end of 2026, with meaningful improvements in on-time performance and digital order accuracy, suggesting potential for sustained digital sales growth.

“It is now live in over 100 restaurants, and we anticipate completing the rollout across all locations by the end of the year.”
Scott Boatwright
A3

Management noted that if geopolitics (Iran conflict, gas prices) deteriorate further, Q2 comps could be down 1%, but if trends hold, comps could be up ~1% — showing high sensitivity to consumer sentiment.

“Given especially with the conflict in Iran and gas prices... we believe that there's upside from there.”
Adam
A4

Chipotle is testing a $2.50 taco happy hour and other value measures, indicating aggressive use of price points to attract price-sensitive consumers while maintaining overall pricing power (1-2% pricing for FY26, below inflation).

“We're in a couple of weeks in one of our markets where we're testing a happier hour from 2 to 5 with tacos at $2.50.”
Scott Boatwright

향후 가이던스

ImprovingGuidance · revenue to $2.985B
향후 가이던스
지표기간범위중간값상태
RevenueFY2026 Q2$2.97B–$3Binline 컨센서스 대비$2.985BMAINTAINED

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