Apollo Global Management, Inc. (New) 실적 발표
2026 FRE growth expected 20%+
Apollo reported exceptional full-year results for 2025, with record origination volumes and inflows, and management issued highly confident guidance for continued growth in 2026. The call focused heavily on their strong positioning versus competitors in the software sector and their ability to expand into new markets like 401k and traditional asset management. Record originations of over $300 billion and record inflows of $228 billion in 2025.
Buzzberg 분석 2026 FRE growth expected 20%+ Apollo reported exceptional full-year results for 2025, with record origination volumes and inflows, and management issued highly confident guidance for continued growth in 2026. The call focused heavily on their strong positioning versus competitors in the software sector and their ability to expand into new markets like 401k and traditional asset management. Record originations of over $300 billion and record inflows of $228 billion in 2025. 전체 분석 보기분석 접기
Apollo reported exceptional full-year results for 2025, with record origination volumes and inflows, and management issued highly confident guidance for continued growth in 2026. The call focused heavily on their strong positioning versus competitors in the software sector and their ability to expand into new markets like 401k and traditional asset management. Record originations of over $300 billion and record inflows of $228 billion in 2025.
- Provided explicit 2026 guidance: 20%+ FRE growth and 10% SRE growth, with $85 billion in retirement services inflows.
- Management highlighted a key competitive moat: significant under-exposure to the troubled software sector, positioning the firm to gain share from competitors.
- Apollo announced a partnership with Schroders and a move to acquire $9 billion in assets from public BDC ARI for its own balance sheet, capitalizing on structural market inefficiencies.
지금 중요한 점
이번 발표에서 가장 의미 있는 변화를 정리했습니다.
Athene inflows target $85B for 2026
SRE growth reaffirmed at 10% through 2029
핵심 내용 3개 더 보기
Software exposure deliberately low across businesses
ARI transaction de-risks 2026 SRE growth
Positioned on offense in software
보고 실적
| 지표 | 보고값 | 변화 |
|---|---|---|
| 매출 | $8.114B | 보고값 |
| TOTAL_MANAGED 매출 | $938B | 보고값 |
| 주당순이익(EPS) | $2.47 | 보고값 |
| 매출총이익률 | 69.66% | 보고값 |
| 영업이익률 | 52.6% | 보고값 |
| 잉여현금흐름 | $2.819B | 보고값 |
향후 가이던스
| 지표 | 기간 | 범위 | 중간값 | 상태 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 매출FEE_RELATED_EARNINGS | FY2026 | 20% | 20% | 유지 |
| 매출SPREAD_RELATED_EARNINGS | FY2026 | 10% | 10% | 유지 |
| 매출RETIREMENT_SERVICES_INFL | FY2026 | $85B | $85B | 신규 제시 |
경영진 분석
Confident
Management repeatedly emphasized strong execution, record results, and a clear growth path, expressing confidence in continued outperformance and competitive advantages.
투자 및 생산능력
Management discussed infrastructure investment, particularly in next generation technology platforms, data and AI initiatives, which contributed to higher fee-related expenses in 2025. They expect continued investment in platform build-out to support six markets, with non-comp costs growing low double digits and comp costs high teens in 2026.
기업발표 이후 수익률
고객
Apollo is providing financing for data center infrastructure being leased by xAI, positioning Apollo as a key capital provider in the AI infrastructure build-out.
근거
“In December, we led a $3.5 billion capital solution to support Baylor's $5.4 billion acquisition and lease of data center infrastructure to a subsidiary of XAI.”
Apollo's loan to Russell Investments demonstrates its ability to provide large, bespoke financing solutions to asset managers.
근거
“And lastly, our hybrid and credit franchise delivered a $1.2 billion in strategic financing for Russell Investments, providing long-term capital and enhanced balance sheet flexibility to support their continued expansion.”
파트너
Apollo's PRIV ETF with State Street is growing in size and is among top performers in its category, suggesting strong client adoption of liquid private credit products.
근거
“And PRIV, our ETF with State Street, now approaches 700 million in size.”
Apollo's partnership with Schroders is expected to scale significantly, indicating a major channel for distributing private assets to a broader market.
근거
“Traditional asset managers, you saw the announcement with Schroeders this morning, which I expect to grow into a multi-billion dollar partnership.”
투자 대상
Mentioned as counterparties in high-quality (IG) debt investments on Athene's balance sheet, indicating a low-risk software exposure.
근거
“On Athene's balance sheet, we have de minimis exposure of 0.5%, which is virtually all IG rated, with hyperscalers such as Microsoft and Oracle.”
Apollo is transferring assets from its public BDC (ARI) to its private balance sheet (Athene), a move that highlights a structural advantage in being able to allocate capital across different forms of public and private structures. — This trend suggests Apollo can be one of the few actors that can buy undervalued assets from listed vehicles, consolidating assets at attractive spreads away from public market scrutiny.
근거
“The recently announced transaction with Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, ARI, is one such example where Athene will acquire, subject to ARI stockholder approval, $9 billion of commercial mortgage assets”
공급망
Apollo expects to deploy capital into the sports ecosystem, forecasting $30-50 billion of origination opportunities from its Sports Capital fund alone — This signals an aggressive push into sports financing, which could displace traditional lenders and provide new capital sources to teams and leagues, potentially increasing franchise valuations.
근거
“In addition to deploying the six or so billion in the sports capital fund, I believe this ecosystem will generate 30 to 50 billion of origination opportunities.”
공급망 알파 · 3발표 이후 수익률
Apollo re-affirms its minimal exposure to the volatile software sector, with 0% exposure in its PE business and less than 2% of total AUM, positioning it to benefit from other managers' distress.
Apollo is transferring assets from its public BDC (ARI) to its private balance sheet (Athene), a move that highlights a structural advantage in being able to allocate capital across different forms of public and private structures.
Apollo expects to deploy capital into the sports ecosystem, forecasting $30-50 billion of origination opportunities from its Sports Capital fund alone
방법론 및 범위
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