u/PresidentAounsSon ·
Reddit — r/wallstreetbets
· August 04, 2026 at 22:48
· ⬆ 404 pts
· 💬 156 comments
| View on Reddit ↗
AI Summary
Summary
Author predicts SpaceX (SPCX) will plummet on 8/6 due to a massive share unlock: 911.5M shares vs 693M at IPO, a 142% supply increase.
Thesis: institutional holders will finally sell, and retail “regards” cannot absorb the flood, so the event is not priced in.
Quality assessment: Event-focused speculation with valid supply data but weak reasoning and no valuation/fundamental support — more noise than researched DD.
Score404
Comments156
Upvote %93%
▶ Full Post Text
911.5 million shares will be unlocked that are primarily owned by institutional investors compared to the 693 million shares that were available at IPO. That's 142% more shares on the market. These investors have held these shares for years, and now that they've exponentially increased their gains, they're ready to fucking sell.
But it's priced in, right?
No, it's fucking not. About 30% of the shares sold through the IPO were sold to retail investors. And since then, I *think* the percentage of retail shareholders has only increased. And what letter does the word *retail* start with? That's right. The letter R.
And what other word starts with R? Regard.
That's right, folks. This can only mean one thing. More than 30% of current SpaceX shareholders are regarded, so the stock unlocking event cannot possibly be priced in.
This stock is going to plummet into hell. Fuck. It might even plummet past hell and end up in New Jersey.
911.5M shares unlock vs 693M available at IPO — a 142% supply surge. Lockup expiry creates a clear near-term supply/demand imbalance if institutions sell. Short SPCX into the 8/6 unlock, expecting downside repricing. Event may already be priced in; contrarian retail buying or short squeeze could force a rally.
This Reddit post, published August 04, 2026,
features u/PresidentAounsSon
discussing SPCX.
1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.