Kraken Robotics (I don’t get it)

illusion-147 · 2026-07-09T14:45:14+00:00

=== SUMMARY === - The author questions why Kraken Robotics trades at only 13x EBITDA (~$110M net EBITDA) compared to American peers at 20-30x, arguing it is undervalued. - They imply a market inefficiency where Canadian/European companies are unfairly discounted relative to US counterparts. - The post is a basic valuation comparison, not deep fundamental DD; it relies on a single multiple metric without discussing growth, debt, or competitive moats. - Quality assessment: Speculation / light analysis – lacks detailed financial breakdown or catalysts; more of a rhetorical observation than a researched thesis. === SENTIMENT === BULLISH === TRADE IDEAS === TICKER - KRKNF | direction: LONG | confidence: 0.55 | sentiment: +0.65 Speaker: u/illusion-147 Thesis: 1. THE FACT: Kraken’s net EBITDA is ~$110M and market cap is ~$1.32B, implying a 13x EV/EBITDA multiple vs. US defense/robotics peers at 20-30x. 2. THE BRIDGE: If multiples compress toward US norms (even to 18x), the stock could re-rate ~40% higher, offering a value play on sector mispricing. 3. THE VERDICT: A potential mean-reversion trade based on cross-border valuation disparity, but lacks catalyst timeline. 4. RISKS: Lower liquidity (OTC), no US listing, currency risk, possible errors in EBITDA calculation (author says “net EBIDTA” unclear), or structural discount for Canadian small-caps. Timeframe: medium-term Key Points: - 13x EBITDA vs US peers 20-30x - Potential re-rating if cross-border gap closes - Low liquidity / OTC risk - No catalyst discussed by author - Verify EBITDA accuracy and debt

u/illusion-147 · Reddit — r/ValueInvesting · July 09, 2026 at 14:45 · ⬆ 15 pts · 💬 30 comments | View on Reddit ↗

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Summary

The author questions why Kraken Robotics trades at only 13x EBITDA (~$110M net EBITDA) compared to American peers at 20-30x, arguing it is undervalued.
They imply a market inefficiency where Canadian/European companies are unfairly discounted relative to US counterparts.
The post is a basic valuation comparison, not deep fundamental DD; it relies on a single multiple metric without discussing growth, debt, or competitive moats.
Quality assessment: Speculation / light analysis – lacks detailed financial breakdown or catalysts; more of a rhetorical observation than a researched thesis.

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Kraken Robotics (I don’t get it)

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